Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
- thisotherdude
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago
Nothing in 4 starts then bolts up at 3 million to 1.....hmmmm :whistle:
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- durbs
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago
When any tom dick and harry can breed horses there will always be an abundance of drakensberg quality horses,KZN stables filled with them,and one of them has to win the race littered with these low quality horses.
The problem is here in SA we have way too many bad horses which means a lot of low MR races and the form gets turned upside down as bad horses are inconsistent horses.
The problem is here in SA we have way too many bad horses which means a lot of low MR races and the form gets turned upside down as bad horses are inconsistent horses.
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- Neon
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago
Boys - KDM going to get down to 52.5kg on a 10/1
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- Muhtiman
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago.....really like the ped pic of the well named Fushimi Inari (Japanese shrine) ....and it stood out at the sales over a year ago....does not look ready yet ....so places, and throw into swingers with Brettski and the top 2 in the betting....![]()
Certain connected trainers making mockery of the game. Crazy what's going on. And poor jockey gets 6 months suspension for doing some cocaine !!!
........:S.....not sure what in my post had anything to do with the result.....but my overweight aging dog can run faster than that field.....and although the result was a real shocker.... I doubt that any trainers with runners are in anyway connected and planned or engineered that result....but that course does appear to be very inconsistent and may have played a part along with that snail pace.....did not think it was the greatest field of horse flesh and thus went for a totally underdone 1st timer.... which may only have been in the field because the connections out from the Island .....had lowly maiden a winner yesterday and may have wanted to see their more recent investment stretch his legs today....

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- durbs
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago
1 Shangani 1.43 1.25 1.11 1.00 0.91 0.87 0.83 0.87
Heavily backed and runs poorly
2 Nebraas 1.82 2.00 2.27 2.50 3.03 3.33 3.57 4.00 4.55 5.00 5.56
Massive drift,bookies knew this horse wasn't in a condition to race today,runs a shocker and the stable companion wins.
I'm so glad I only waste my money once or twice a week on our bullshit racing now..Soon,I hope,it will be once a month only.
Heavily backed and runs poorly
2 Nebraas 1.82 2.00 2.27 2.50 3.03 3.33 3.57 4.00 4.55 5.00 5.56
Massive drift,bookies knew this horse wasn't in a condition to race today,runs a shocker and the stable companion wins.
I'm so glad I only waste my money once or twice a week on our bullshit racing now..Soon,I hope,it will be once a month only.
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- Sylvester
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago - 2 years 1 month ago
Nebraas and Shangani ran 40 to 50 points below their official ratings. Does NHRA investigate????
Last edit: 2 years 1 month ago by Sylvester.
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- durbs
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago - 2 years 1 month agoNebraas and Shangani ran 40 to 50 points below their official ratings. Does NHRA investigate????
Shangani could of just been an off run but Nebraas a different story.
Ran a week ago of 2800m and run again over 3200m a week later.
Tarry obviously knows what to do most times so we trust the trainer that the horse is right,but today he should have scratched the horse.
Not only the huge drift told us somebody knew something but the way the horse was traveling in the race,in my opinion,tells me he wasn't ready for this race.
Last edit: 2 years 1 month ago by durbs.
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- Bob Brogan
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- Beyond The Pale
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago1 Shangani 1.43 1.25 1.11 1.00 0.91 0.87 0.83 0.87
Heavily backed and runs poorly
2 Nebraas 1.82 2.00 2.27 2.50 3.03 3.33 3.57 4.00 4.55 5.00 5.56
Massive drift,bookies knew this horse wasn't in a condition to race today,runs a shocker and the stable companion wins.
I'm so glad I only waste my money once or twice a week on our bullshit racing now..Soon,I hope,it will be once a month only.
Oh I pray to the Lord that quote may come true as I would love to no longer read your continuous wailing and whining about a subject you have no idea about .
I will just give a moment to try and explain that there is no " illuminati " of bookmakers sitting in the background with the day's card in front of them , working out ways to puncture the punters.
Let's take your example in case , you admit the horse Nebraas only ran last week , 18/10 was a daft price and accordingly went on the drift , personally I would have offered at least 4/1 as an opening price , I expected Shangani the horse to beat and money to come for one or two light weight horses .
Nebraas has had a fair amount of racing and his win over Shangani was hard fought.
The market in general is is swayed by supply and demand , if there is no support for a horse or confidence it will drift , that is not to say it can't win but it means the bookies can't give it away and are now laying a horse at 6/1 in most cases and possibly better, not great for their book especially if they've laid Shangani at a top price .. However most would not have laid it.
I have said in the past that I have operated on exchanges for years and it's one of the hardest industries to make money , I also know of many shrewd , much shrewder than I , professional punters who have given up trying to lay horses as it's just too difficult and they've gone back to punting , mainly sports.
There may be the odd bookmaker who receives advice from trainers and jockeys but in my experience they have been stuck out more than they have made a fortune for.
Stop being such a miserable doomsayer , get out of the business if it's such a poison and turn to casinos or something but please stop with your utter tripe and consistent guess work .
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- Dave Scott
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago
Morning Beyond
I would certainly agree that laying horses via an exchange is certainly not as easy as it sounds. 😉
I would certainly agree that laying horses via an exchange is certainly not as easy as it sounds. 😉
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- Muhtiman
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago
......I'd like to add that I was so glad that this Shangani race was not part of the exotics last week....and when moved due to abandonment made it even more difficult this week.....I once used to pride myself in being a fundi on staying races having grown up in a stable where my grandfather mainly sought after and successfully trained long distance sorts .....but alas I am clueless now about todays staying sorts and shy away from these events often loading them in the exotics expecting almost any form of result...because imo locally we actually do not breed proper stayers.....have so much varied pace in races in every racing jurisdiction.....then those prepping for a staying event get washed out and have to try again while trying to keep the horse competitive on inconsistent tracks.... as we have had plenty rain almost every 2nd day in the late afternoon and imagine what the tracks at Turffies and Raintjies look like early morning the following day....so the result of the race came at no surprise and seeing the more fancied horses battle in the conditions and their runs best be ignored.....the winner even floundered when it crossed that inconsistent patch in the straight around the 400m mark.....as did many others in earlier races....but some others motored across that softer spot....:whistle:
......
......
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- durbs
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Re: Turffontien on Sunday 7th May
2 years 1 month ago1 Shangani 1.43 1.25 1.11 1.00 0.91 0.87 0.83 0.87
Heavily backed and runs poorly
2 Nebraas 1.82 2.00 2.27 2.50 3.03 3.33 3.57 4.00 4.55 5.00 5.56
Massive drift,bookies knew this horse wasn't in a condition to race today,runs a shocker and the stable companion wins.
I'm so glad I only waste my money once or twice a week on our bullshit racing now..Soon,I hope,it will be once a month only.
Oh I pray to the Lord that quote may come true as I would love to no longer read your continuous wailing and whining about a subject you have no idea about .
I will just give a moment to try and explain that there is no " illuminati " of bookmakers sitting in the background with the day's card in front of them , working out ways to puncture the punters.
Let's take your example in case , you admit the horse Nebraas only ran last week , 18/10 was a daft price and accordingly went on the drift , personally I would have offered at least 4/1 as an opening price , I expected Shangani the horse to beat and money to come for one or two light weight horses .
Nebraas has had a fair amount of racing and his win over Shangani was hard fought.
The market in general is is swayed by supply and demand , if there is no support for a horse or confidence it will drift , that is not to say it can't win but it means the bookies can't give it away and are now laying a horse at 6/1 in most cases and possibly better, not great for their book especially if they've laid Shangani at a top price .. However most would not have laid it.
I have said in the past that I have operated on exchanges for years and it's one of the hardest industries to make money , I also know of many shrewd , much shrewder than I , professional punters who have given up trying to lay horses as it's just too difficult and they've gone back to punting , mainly sports.
There may be the odd bookmaker who receives advice from trainers and jockeys but in my experience they have been stuck out more than they have made a fortune for.
Stop being such a miserable doomsayer , get out of the business if it's such a poison and turn to casinos or something but please stop with your utter tripe and consistent guess work .
The ones making money laying horses are the people in the know.They probably know the horse is not fit and coming to the races for a prep run.If you know your horse is not fit and got a small chance of winning why wouldn't you lay it on overseas exchanges.It's much easier to lose a race than try win it,think about that.
The way our racing is policed it's easy to do this even trainers who drug horses get away with a fine rather than expeltion from the game.
A bookie is not in the business to give money away and when a horse drifts to triple it's opening price they not just guessing.
You seem to be very naive thinking our racing is 100% honest.
If every horse came to the races fit and wanting to win I'm sure our racing wouldn't be a dieing game as the punters would have confidence in what they backing yet we just guess on the fitness of a horse as there is no trials to prove it's fitness.
Just compare HK racing to ours and see the professionalism they have compared to us.That racing is all above board and if anything suspect happens an enquiry is opened right away.
And remember who is keeping the game going in this country.....it's the bookmakers who have bailed them out...they make good money with our racing so for sure they want to try keep it going.
It all comes down to not every horse is in the race to win,need to get it's MR down,need a punt in the future so give it a few bad runs to get a price when they do have it fit.
And in the meantime they making money laying the horse.
Believe me beyond the pale I'm not that stupid and I know these things do go on and our stipes are not good enough to try and prove this is going on.
So you got your view and I've got mine,and unfortunately I've lost confidence in our racing compared to 20 years ago.
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