Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

  • Adams
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago - 7 years 6 months ago
#702033
Raw untouched forecast odds - use to find value in the ante-post market - of course SA Ante Post doesn't really offer value - mostly SA ante post odds forces the punter to take underlays on their selections -- at least below should help to identify how much of an underlay your bookie is giving :)

0 Legal Eagle Sean Tarry 123 7/1
0 Marinaresco Candice Bass-Robinson 118 11/1
0 Deo Juvente Geoff Woodruff 115 12/1
0 Hat Puntano (ARG) M G Azzie/A A Azzie 116 '13/1
0 Heavenly Blue (AUS) Mike de Kock 106 16/1
0 Captain America Brett Crawford 118 17/1
0 Edict Of Nantes Brett Crawford 113 18/1
0 Nebula Brett Crawford 105 21/1
0 Safe Harbour Sean Tarry 101 22/1
0 Nother Russia Mike de Kock 108 22/1
0 Eyes Wide Open Glen Kotzen 99 27/1
0 Copper Force Justin Snaith 101 28/1
0 Sail South Brett Crawford 117 35/1
0 Nightingale Candice Bass-Robinson 105 36/1
0 Pack Leader Glen Kotzen 95 38/1
0 Gold Standard Glen Kotzen 115 38/1
0 Orchid Island Mike de Kock 100 41/1
0 Our Mate Art (AUS) Candice Bass-Robinson 103 44/1
0 Elusive Silva Justin Snaith 101 48/1
0 African Night Sky Justin Snaith 102 65/1
0 Krambambuli Justin Snaith 107 70/1
0 Last Winter Dean Kannemeyer 106 74/1
0 Coral Fever Robbie Sage 97 76/1
0 Horizon Candice Bass-Robinson 100 83/1
0 Silicone Valley Glen Puller 106 112/1
0 Silver Thursday Mike de Kock 95 124/1
0 Mambo Mime Dean Kannemeyer 95 185/1
0 Black Arthur Justin Snaith 102 347/1
0 Abashiri M G Azzie/A A Azzie 107 369/1
0 Mac De Lago (AUS) Weiho Marwing 99 384/1
0 Stonehenge Sean Tarry 91 403//1
Last edit: 7 years 6 months ago by Adams.

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  • mr hawaii
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Re: Re:Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702039
Mac wrote:
mr hawaii wrote:
Bokked wrote: Good field.

Makes the summer cup look a division race

They should kill that Premiers Cup and make the Summer Cup 6 million and you will see the field improve

I say make the Computaform Sprint R6 bar
top milers/middle distance horses can win "A" Division sprints but no true sprinter i've ever seen can win a 1800m-2000m "A" division race - for me a race up the straight normally has less problems for the competitors barring draws while a distance race around the bend with all the added problems that can occur is a true test - How many young horses a super sprinters at 2 and 3 yet when they mature they cannot match their elders -


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  • Adams
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago - 7 years 6 months ago
#702061
Runners to consider based on early market variations - in order of the largest variation.

0 Abashiri M G Azzie/A A Azzie 107
0 Silver Thursday Mike de Kock 95
0 African Night Sky Justin Snaith 102
0 Last Winter Dean Kannemeyer 106
0 Horizon Candice Bass-Robinson 100
0 Black Arthur Justin Snaith 102
0 Gold Standard Glen Kotzen 115
0 Mambo Mime Dean Kannemeyer 95
0 Nother Russia Mike de Kock 108
0 Edict Of Nantes Brett Crawford 113
0 Elusive Silva Justin Snaith 101
0 Stonehenge Sean Tarry 91
Last edit: 7 years 6 months ago by Adams.

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  • Karma
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702064
Best of luck beating Nother Russia...
Are you living your life or waiting to die?

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  • zain
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702073
Our Mate Art

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  • naresh
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Re: Re:Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702192
mr hawaii wrote:
Mac wrote:
mr hawaii wrote:
Bokked wrote: Good field.

Makes the summer cup look a division race

They should kill that Premiers Cup and make the Summer Cup 6 million and you will see the field improve

I say make the Computaform Sprint R6 bar
top milers/middle distance horses can win "A" Division sprints but no true sprinter i've ever seen can win a 1800m-2000m "A" division race - for me a race up the straight normally has less problems for the competitors barring draws while a distance race around the bend with all the added problems that can occur is a true test - How many young horses a super sprinters at 2 and 3 yet when they mature they cannot match their elders -


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Today's is the Merchants over 1200m in the Cape. In the 90's they had a filly, Wainui who won the Merchant's, Diadem Stakes, South African Fillies Sprint over 1200m. She also won a Queens Plate and ran third in the J&B in her heyday.

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  • Adams
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702286
Wonderfully informative race today --- horses run exactly to form, and franked the form nicely. Disappointment for me was Gold Standard, but at his best that horse is going to achieve great heights.

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  • Zelig
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702322
Looks a lovely book Adams. At just over 90% you can start backing the lot.

:unsure:

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  • Adams
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702325
LOL... I think Legal Eagle is the real deal , and while I haven't examined everything in detail I have given him one of the highest seasonal ratings of any runner, behind WILLIAM LONGSWORD b.c 3y 2013
WHISKY BARON (AUS) b.g 4y 2012 and MISS KATALIN b.f 3y 2014. After this run he will shift up a little in ratings - Edict Of Nantes, another class horse ran above his rating as did Gold Standard --

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  • Mini Tycoon
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702353
Adams wrote: LOL... I think Legal Eagle is the real deal , and while I haven't examined everything in detail I have given him one of the highest seasonal ratings of any runner, behind WILLIAM LONGSWORD b.c 3y 2013
WHISKY BARON (AUS) b.g 4y 2012 and MISS KATALIN b.f 3y 2014.

How can Legal Eagle have a rating behind Whisky Baron?
What is a "seasonal" rating?
Miss Katalin? About a 93 isn't she?

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  • Adams
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago - 7 years 6 months ago
#702357
Mini Tycoon wrote:
Adams wrote: LOL... I think Legal Eagle is the real deal , and while I haven't examined everything in detail I have given him one of the highest seasonal ratings of any runner, behind WILLIAM LONGSWORD b.c 3y 2013
WHISKY BARON (AUS) b.g 4y 2012 and MISS KATALIN b.f 3y 2014.

How can Legal Eagle have a rating behind Whisky Baron?
What is a "seasonal" rating?
Miss Katalin? About a 93 isn't she?

LOL -- no-one would understand my ratings - all I know is they work very well for me. This is my current top 10 from the past two seasons.

1 WILLIAM LONGSWORD b.c 3y 2013 154
2 WHISKY BARON (AUS) b.g 4y 2012 148
3 MISS KATALIN b.f 3y 2014 142
4 LEGAL EAGLE b.g 5y 2011 135
5 ALWAYS IN CHARGE b.c 3y 2013 108
6 LIVE LIFE b.f 3y 2013 105
7 AL SAHEM b.c 3y 2013 103
8 BIG BEAR b.c 3y 2014 99
9 LIEGE b.g 5y 2012 91
10 MARINARESCO b.g 4y 2012 89

I have Whisky Baron beating Legal Eagle by 1.5 lengths? Thats why Legal Eagle is behind Whisky Baron
Last edit: 7 years 6 months ago by Adams.

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  • AJ Yorker
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Re: Nominations and antepost betting for the 2018 MET

7 years 6 months ago
#702362
Those ratings are a joke.

Many of the horses on the list are either retired, haven't performed since last year and/or have gone overseas.
Richard Fourie is the greatest...

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