Turffontein Thursday 12/11/15

Discuss the card below

Pretty decent quality card for a midweek meet

Ntoma x bull valley @4/1 best bet. Putting ntoma in all bets, will walk home.

4) Loco Por Ganar (Arg) - 1.6 (W)
Turf Inside - Race 2
X
Win
(5) Ntoma - 0.5 (W)
Turf Inside - Race 5

One of my early bird doubles.

Dublin rebel x finchatton. X notoma

R3 Sapphire Girl x R5 Ntoma x R6 Bull Valley.

In the Ntoma race i think Princess Chacha can improve plus with a good draw there is no harm in taking swingers & places on PC

Race 5 - Ntoma looks hard to beat.

Race 8 - I like Dance Kid to place. Has done well this cd and had excuses last time in what looked an ok field(pulled early and met a little interference in the straight). Drawn well, 3rd rar and MR has dropped a fair bit. Has also finished in front of Flaming Ace(current favourite) this cd when a 3 year old.

So 4 to 1 a place (first 4) and small win at 33 to 1.

I agree Ntoma looks a penalty kick - Night on the hill will probably try and steal it at the top of the straight from that 1 draw, but Ntoma imo will win going away

Not so sure that Bull Valley and Isca can give that much weight to Noah from Goah and especially Lunar Approach who I make a huge runner.

I liked Hawaiian Sun's last run behind Candy Rock and in the last I think Crimson Magic is the value at the odds

Nothing else jumps out at me - race 1 we have work riders, so anything possible, race 2 very competitive handicap where any of the 6 could pop up depending on the pace, races 3 and 4 one needs a pin in deciding between the first timers, race 7 I think if Miracle Rising can put her last poor run behind her, she could surprise

Enjoy

I just feel for bull valley, can't crack a decent draw in anything. Drawn very wide in the graham beck, furthest out today and in the deepest of bushes for the dingaans. Will need to win today with the odds against him to have a chance in the dingaans jumping from gate 16 in all liklihood

for those very few like myself who believe in the handicapers ratings the 6th race is very interesting..bull valley races off its correct rating of 99 but noah from goah and lunar approach imo do not..noah from goah got its max 8 pound penalty for its last win so he is a few pounds well in but the interesting runner is lunar approach ..he ran 5th last time so couldn't get a penalty BUT THE 4th horse unbelievable chad who ran off a mr 84 and beat lunar a length off levels went from an 84 to a 95 ..lunar races off a 80 so if the handicapper is right then he is slung in here ..also liege who finished 2nd beating lunar 2 lengths is now a 97 from an 84 ..malak el malook went from a 90 to a 95..will be brassing bull valley today putting my hopes in the handicaper

Thanks for that Pirates

I am going to miss the grooms race the fav does look good however my only bet will Ntoma

Good punting