My predicts for 13 Feb 2009

Hi Everyone,

Here is my predictions for 13th Feb, both at Durbanville & Fairview. It's all in the experimental stage.

Reading the figures, 1st the Horse name, 2nd, the rating for the horse, third, the difference between the current horse & previous horse. The higher this difference, the higher the probability that the previous horse will beat it. Asterisks indicate a possible banker.

All analysis is pure computer analysis, pure clinical, no heart or emotion included in the prediction.
Once again, I re-iterate, it's still experimental so take everything here with a pinch of salt

Regards & thanks for bearing with me.
Patrick

Durbanville
Summary for Race: 1
7 SIBER SOO : 1378 : 0
2 J J'S HARBOUR : 1622 : 244
1 COUP DE FOUDRE : 3000 : 1378
3 LIGHT MY CANDLE : 4000 : 1000
4 MAGICAL COVE : 5000 : 1000
5 MEMENTA MIA : 6000 : 1000
6 PURIFICATION : 7000 : 1000
8 SVANDOVA : 8000 : 1000
9 ZOLA (ZIM) : 9000 : 1000

Summary for Race: 2
2 QUILLON : 3278 : 0
1 UBIZO : 3512 : 234
5 HAUGHTY WOLF : 3560 : 48
7 ON GOLDEN PARK : 4584 : 1024
4 AMEN : 4894 : 310
3 VANDROSS : 5169 : 275
6 NORTH WATCH : 5401 : 232
8 CAPE TAN MAN : 5602 : 201
9 INFINITYANDBEYOND : 9000 : 3398
10 TEXAS JACK : 10000 : 1000

Summary for Race: 3
7 CHARISMATIC : 2518 : 0
4 CONCOURT : 2631 : 113
1 L'HOMME : 3937 : 1306
8 MISTER DANE : 4627 : 690
3 TIGER BAY : 5195 : 568
5 VAI QUEM QUER (BRZ) : 5838 : 643
2 ADVOCACY : 6262 : 424
6 DENVER COLORADO : 6281 : 19
9 OVELEPO : 7711 : 1430
10 BOLD GROOM : 10000 : 2289
11 PERFECT PIPER : 11000 : 1000

Summary for Race: 4
9 * BIG CITY BLUES * : 2445 : 0
4 GOLDEN LUCI : 4358 : 1913
2 PRISMATIC (ZIM) : 4468 : 110
8 KARL : 5312 : 844
5 ICE EAGLE : 5488 : 176
6 STRIKINRESEMBLANCE : 5710 : 222
7 CHEEKY BOY : 5766 : 56
3 ROSARO : 6651 : 885
10 HOUSE PARTY : 6749 : 98
1 SUMMER RECESS : 8053 : 1304

Summary for Race: 5
7 WILD KODIAK : 3468 : 0
1 NOBLE KIWI : 3831 : 363
10 RAW RECRUIT : 3905 : 74
9 THE GRADUATOR : 4342 : 437
8 NAVAL CROWN : 5224 : 882
6 MONTE CAVALLO : 5230 : 6
2 SLIP THIS WAY : 6538 : 1308
3 CRUISE MISSILE : 6863 : 325
5 DEGAS DANCER (FR) : 7415 : 552
4 DREAMWORKS : 8184 : 769

Summary for Race: 6
11 HEYDAY : 4947 : 0
10 TURK : 5489 : 542
12 LOVETORN (AUS) : 5519 : 30
2 STREAMS OF SONG : 5593 : 74
8 JOLIE ANGELINA : 5744 : 151
4 AQUATINT (AUS) : 6043 : 299
9 BAYARD CROWN : 6047 : 4
1 JOAN OF ARC : 6384 : 337
3 KATARA : 7048 : 664
6 RECONCILE : 7094 : 46
7 ANGEL CAKE : 9036 : 1942
5 DOMION D'OR : 9056 : 20

Summary for Race: 7
2 * THUNDER KEY * : 3420 : 0
1 ALFRED THE GREAT : 4565 : 1145
8 INDIGO BLUE : 4618 : 53
9 ASAAL'S MAGIC : 4686 : 68
6 STORMBERG : 4715 : 29
5 ROMAUNT : 5246 : 531
3 MAINBRACE : 5444 : 198
4 CHIEF BLACKFOOT : 5530 : 86
7 GEORDIE : 6776 : 1246

Summary for Race: 8
2 COOL HAND LUKE : 3766 : 0
4 PRIVATE PARK : 3806 : 40
6 LANGEBERG : 4559 : 753
1 HOWDOULIKEMENOW (SSL) : 5078 : 519
5 SPORTS COUPE : 5313 : 235
10 ROYAL EMPIRE : 5695 : 382
8 KIRRIBILLI : 5922 : 227
7 MISTER SEE : 5996 : 74
3 GOLDLINER : 6141 : 145
9 EBENEEZER (ZIM) : 8724 : 2583


**********************
Fairview

Summary for Race: 1
6 ROCK TAVERN : 1000 : 0
1 BEEPBEEP : 2000 : 1000
2 BOLD SILVANO : 3000 : 1000
3 COLOUR CHART : 4000 : 1000
4 COMEDY CARAVAN : 5000 : 1000
5 KREMLIN : 6000 : 1000
7 YOUTH CLUB : 7000 : 1000
8 BLUMIN AFFAIR : 8000 : 1000
9 GIMMEAWINK : 9000 : 1000
10 GREY MEMO : 10000 : 1000

Summary for Race: 2
3 CASEY'S SPIRIT : 3164 : 0
1 NUGGET OF GOLD : 4142 : 978
17 MALACCA : 5243 : 1101
4 BRUTUS : 5416 : 173
9 MIRRAKESH : 5975 : 559
7 HENRY'S BAR : 6695 : 720
2 HEELTHATDANCE : 7492 : 797
15 RUSSIAN LACE : 8106 : 614
13 WAR CHIEF : 8415 : 309
12 SNOW PATROL : 8965 : 550
8 WESTERN ASSEMBLY : 9479 : 514
6 SACRAMENT : 9509 : 30
18 HAVANA NIGHTS : 12079 : 2570
5 HAVE A DOLLAR : 12221 : 142
10 MORAL LAW : 13099 : 878
11 POSEIDAN : 16000 : 2901
14 WARRIOR EIGHT : 17000 : 1000
16 NEW ATTRACTION : 18000 : 1000

Summary for Race: 3
4 * ACHILLES * : 1970 : 0
9 PINK WEST : 4448 : 2478
2 NOMANDLA : 4639 : 191
10 LOZEN WARRIOR : 5287 : 648
1 WHIRLING : 6083 : 796
5 LAINE'S FLAG : 6207 : 124
8 CRYSTAL-GAZER : 6473 : 266
11 CARNIVAL HALL : 6902 : 429
7 STAKE A CLAIM : 7377 : 475
3 CABRINAH : 8650 : 1273
6 PASTTIME : 9492 : 842
12 CLASS IN A GLASS : 10472 : 980

Summary for Race: 4
8 EQUAL SHOW : 2649 : 0
7 DAY OF THE PIPER : 3110 : 461
6 THE MADJI : 3153 : 43
3 BATTLE LINE : 4891 : 1738
2 TURBO JET : 5520 : 629
1 BARTHEZ : 5857 : 337
4 GLIMMERING GOLD : 6386 : 529
5 HIGH JESTER (AUS) : 6537 : 151
9 STATE EXPRESS : 6897 : 360

Summary for Race: 5
17 STATE LOTTERY : 5931 : 0
4 THE FORD : 6141 : 210
8 DESERT LION : 6403 : 262
12 USIMELIKA : 7034 : 631
16 CABINET MINISTER : 7115 : 81
5 DESERT DELIGHT : 7432 : 317
3 JACK DAN : 8156 : 724
10 DOWNPOUR : 9227 : 1071
9 GOLD OF AFRICA : 9318 : 91
2 RICHARD THE GREAT : 9389 : 71
1 GOLDEN HIND : 9405 : 16
11 PRINCE OF PRUSSIA : 10008 : 603
14 KING JOSHUA : 10264 : 256
15 ORIENTAL LITES : 10552 : 288
6 MISTER MAMBO : 10956 : 404
7 KNIGHT OF ST JOHN : 12390 : 1434
13 NATIONAL RUBY : 13279 : 889

Summary for Race: 6
6 BEAUTYFULL FLAG : 3632 : 0
9 SMART CHARM : 4602 : 970
5 KNIGHT OF DARKNESS : 4816 : 214
8 SPECTRE BOY : 4850 : 34
10 MCINTOSH : 5855 : 1005
4 LIZARD'S DESIRE : 6004 : 149
2 U R THE BEST : 6067 : 63
7 NITE TIGER : 6361 : 294
3 LUCKY FLAG : 6367 : 6
1 THUNDERFLASH : 6446 : 79

Summary for Race: 7
2 FREECELL : 3165 : 0
1 ECOLE MILITAIRE : 3290 : 125
10 PINNACLE PAX : 4007 : 717
3 JUAN PABLO : 4538 : 531
4 VANGELIS : 5809 : 1271
5 SAVANNAH BEAT : 6205 : 396
9 RUMBA RHYTHM : 6418 : 213
6 MAZAR-E-SHARIF : 6588 : 170
7 DISAPPEAR : 7277 : 689
8 NOBLE LEOPARD : 7703 : 426

Summary for Race: 8
6 * SHADY OAK * : 3596 : 0
4 MILLVALE (AUS) : 4810 : 1214
7 KNOCKOUT GAL : 5193 : 383
1 AIRS OF LIGHT : 5324 : 131
5 WISE WOMAN : 5453 : 129
2 KALAJANA : 5810 : 357
8 PORT OF HAPPINESS : 6011 : 201
10 STARA MENNICA : 6042 : 31
9 SEA TIME : 6081 : 39
3 SIERRA LILY : 6680 : 599

damm i was thinking you where the grim reaper,gl with yer selections

Thanks, It's a whole new system I'm trying, Dry runs, for the past 2 weeks it's looked promising, but as they say, privately it's fantastic, as soon as you show it to someone, it falls apart.

And what are the ratings for all the first timers in R1 based on ?

I should have stated, first timers, in fact any with less than 3 runs should not be used, at the moment, the program's putting them in. I'll modify my program to remove any values against them, Thanks for pointing this out.

so the highest rated horse in the race wins? the horse with the highest handicap rating?

please explain a bit more

The horse with the lowest value is the best offering.

Here is the ratings for Fairview, Race 3.
Summary for Race: 3
4 * ACHILLES * : 1970 : 0
9 PINK WEST : 4448 : 2478
2 NOMANDLA : 4639 : 191
10 LOZEN WARRIOR : 5287 : 648
1 WHIRLING : 6083 : 796
5 LAINE'S FLAG : 6207 : 124
8 CRYSTAL-GAZER : 6473 : 266
11 CARNIVAL HALL : 6902 : 429
7 STAKE A CLAIM : 7377 : 475
3 CABRINAH : 8650 : 1273
6 PASTTIME : 9492 : 842
12 CLASS IN A GLASS : 10472 : 980

The rating for Achilles is 1970, the next horse, Pink West, has a rating of 4448, the 2478 is basically the difference between the two horses, in this case it's over 1000 so I would use Achilles as a banker. The difference between Pink West and Nomandla is only 191, allowing for a margin of error, I'd then put both Pink West & Nomandla as having an equal chance to come second.

Shit Patrick 123 don't even give my horses a chance.

My system is still very much in the testing phase, it's given me a couple of curve balls.

These were my predicts for yesterday at the Vaal. Race 6 came in as predicted, but race 7 was all over the show. That's why I say still testing

Summary for Race: 6 - 2009-02-12,VAAL,6,ZA

9 * SWEET SANETTE * : 3472 : 0
11 CHIPPI : 5571 : 2099
6 KESHA : 5817 : 246
5 COPPER JET : 6253 : 436
1 LADY PEREZ : 6538 : 285
8 CHEYENNE : 6561 : 23
7 LOVE BY DAY : 6954 : 393
10 MAMBO MAGIC : 7075 : 121
2 UBER ROCK (AUS) : 7075 : 0
3 ROSINANTE : 8320 : 1245
4 SEAT OF POWER : 8732 : 412
13 TRINKET : 9093 : 361
12 ELBA : 11392 : 2299
14 EGYPTIAN LOTUS : 12147 : 755


Summary for Race: 7 - 2009-02-12,VAAL,7,ZA

4 SAYADAW : 2810 : 0
8 ADAMY (AUS) : 3175 : 365
7 CARIBBEAN COAST : 4215 : 1040
2 AUSSIE'S CAPTAIN : 4587 : 372
9 FOX HUNT : 5609 : 1022
6 THE K.O. KID : 5617 : 8
5 URBAN REASON (BRZ) : 5949 : 332
1 PACIFIC WARRIOR : 6166 : 217
3 CANDY BAR (ARG) : 6872 : 706

whats your plans for your system when you iron out the bugs?

At this stage, I'm adding a Money management/betting strategy section to it as well. I hope to be able to market it at a reasonable price.

I looked at Lotto as well, and have a freeware version out that the guys quite like on lotto forums, called WinnaLotto.