TURFFONTEIN SAT 29 APRIL - WSB CHAMPION5HIPS FINALE

Cmputaform az-pgl-dsi-ag-cdn-aztabstorage.4racing.c...NTEIN@2023.04.29.pdf

Great looking card looking forward to this race day :woohoo:

Could be a case of 'famous last words' again as this does not look that hard imo ..... thoughts ....

R1: Can't find too many spooks here - unless of course one of the first-timers are catching pigeons at home - but we will only find that out if the money talks closer to race time; on raced form I think Cala Muretta looks the right one from Phantom Express who is drawn right down the inside - at least this should show up any draw bias early

R2: Looking at the form, Max the Magician is the right one - out of a Rambo Dancer dam he should not have any problems with the 1600 (even being out of What a Winter); he does have to give Dakota Cat 6kgs, so that is a bit of a leveler; Holocene improved last time and should improve more this trip (although the dam does not drive that point home), but on collateral form he should be held by Max

R3: This looks a match race between Mo the Man and Free Movement who was really disappointing last time, but may be worth another chance; Royal Guide a very expensive yearling and has only debuted as a 4yr old - would have to step up, but may do so this trip

R4: Fillies Nursery, so hard to tell which filly will improve most; all 3 of American Graffiti, Leaving Las Vegas and Mrs Geriatrix have won consecutive races, so those 3 must be considered; debut winners trying for two-in-a-row include Rani of Kittur and Cullinan Blue; so a bit of guesswork, but I do think Mrs Geriatrix has plenty going for her despite being drawn towards the inside

R5: Colts Nursery - and more guesswork; Lucky Lad still unbeaten and should hold the filly Amber Rock; not a lot between Pure Predator and Fire and Flames, who looks the value imo

R6: Computaform Sprint; Master Archie has this at his mercy if maintaining his impressive local form; Princess Calla does look better over an extended sprint and Isivunguvungo has finished close to her before, but he does have the inside draw - don't think anything else can match these

R7: Champion's Challenge - for me if Puerto Manzano is back to the form that saw him win the Summer Cup, he will take plenty of beating; Rain in Holland imo not in the same league as PM at these weights, but should still finish 2nd; don't really fancy any of the others at the weights

R8: I do fancy a bit of Bon Vivant; has to beat Kiss Me Captain, while the Cape challengers could feature

R9: Competitive; Gilded Butterfly my first choice, but has never gone 2000 - still she should get the trip imo; Bless My Stars the biggest danger imo from Terra Time; think Emirate Gina will put her last poor effort behind her

R10: Disappointing field; Shangani has to give lots of weight away, but should be good enough; the one I fancy to run second is Future Pearl

Enjoy

Changes as at 29 April 07:36

Late Scratchings:

Race # Horse # Horse Name Reason Time Date Adv. Advised By
1 1 Anamericaninvenice Coughing 07:27 20230429 J A Janse van Vuuren
1 8 Tail Of The Comet Inflamed elbow 07:03 20230429 Sean Tarry
6 1 Master Archie Bruised Off Fore Foot 07:25 20230429 Tony Peter
9 9 Lady Of Power CARD SCRATCHING 07:40 20230425 System

Frodo wrote:

Could be a case of 'famous last words' again as this does not look that hard imo ..... thoughts ....

R1: Can't find too many spooks here - unless of course one of the first-timers are catching pigeons at home - but we will only find that out if the money talks closer to race time; on raced form I think Cala Muretta looks the right one from Phantom Express who is drawn right down the inside - at least this should show up any draw bias earl

Enjoy

.....would tread carefully here as there are more than a few 1st timers that may have a bit of ability.....

Hearing Master Archie has been scratched