Turffontein Inside track, Thursday 27 April

Key Element... On it's debut run...i strongly fancy it to win

Race 7 Norton Sound - Interesting runner. Assume not here for a holiday.

Sylvester wrote:

Race 7 Norton Sound - Interesting runner. Assume not here for a holiday.

worth a nibble @ 20/1

Deez's Daily Bets, Thursday, 27 April @ Vaal

R4 Fostinovo
R5 Cosmic Star

🏇http://ow.ly/tzvA50NW6wb

Pirhobeta wrote:

Key Element... On it's debut run...i strongly fancy it to win

Hope you got some of the 5/1 , hollywood currently 16/10

Peter yard is firing , Vanderbilt and Napoleon double could be worth a few rands

Craig Pienaar wrote:

Peter yard is firing , Vanderbilt and Napoleon double could be worth a few rands

Hard to study form when you have a Peter horse in the field.

Drop in distance plus better going should suit Uniteds Ransom in Race 3.Having an each way strike and hope it is taken to the front again as it is very pacy...... if it goes to the front it will be hard to reel it in.....

A few jump out at me today - tonight I'll either be celebrating - or hanging my head in shame

R1: I'm not convinced that Key Element's first run was that great; must have a chance though in what seems to be a moderate field, but I don't see any value in the current price; at the weight-turnaround one has to fancy Spring in Heaven above Soldier's Eye, but the one that looks good value imo is Leonessa - improving with racing and a neat draw

R2: None of these are going to Hollywood; Idabelle may have needed her last run, so with any improvement I make her the one to beat; Dame Colleen the value at current odds - did finish in front of Unyielding some time back; no surprise though if Miss Christmas turns out to be the winner in a weak lot

R3: Looks another moderate field; not a lot between Damned If I Do and Southern Style (having her 19th try to leave the Maidens); Azucar is finding the market support and from a neat draw needs to be considered; Chilli Marmalade is only having her 4th start and should improve as she goes further, but a wide draw is not ideal

R4: Cian the Conqueror has pole position and a big run can be expected if he handles the turn - almost won his last start when seemingly doing everything right - only to be caught on the line by an inspired ride from Gav Lerena; biggest danger imo is Smith and Wesson - on form the 1200 does seem a stretch, but with a handy draw should be right there; Fostinovo next best for me, while Goliath Heron also seems best over 1000, and if you like that one, you need to consider both Vegas Hi Rise and Mardi Gras as well

R5: Seems a trappy race with chances to many imo; Cosmic Star goes around the turn after winning his first start down the straight and for me has something to find at the weights (even over 1000); stable mate Covert Operator has form this track and trip and does get 3kgs from CS, so I think he will finish in front of CS today; Stormy Seas will try his best again, but also has something to find at the weights with Dark Tide, who looks the value at current odds; both Webber runners have wide draws, but not impossible if luck goes their way - difficult race to predict, but Dark Tide would be my hesitant first choice

R6: At first glance looks a two-horse contest between Wokonda and Avoontoast, but both are drawn wide, so I'm willing to take them on with Simple Simple, whose rating has come tumbling down - has pole position and de Melo takes the ride; Princess Philppa is suited to this track and trip and from a good draw can feature as well

R7: Another race where the draw could play a part; Forever Mine obvious chance over his favorite track and trip, but has drawn wide and I'm hoping that Team Gold from pole position could run him down; Vanderbilt another front runner, so chances are there is going to be a hot pace and Team Gold could be in a prefect position to strike coming to the last 200m; Outofthedarkness also has a wide draw and will be trying to run them down late, while Godswood tries further after running on well over 1200 last time - from a good draw he could feature as well

R8: Not a lot between Mcebisi and Napoleon and both could feature again; this is a Classified Stakes though, and neither features in the top 5 of the best-weighted column - but they are not out a whole lot so neither here nor there; Tinder Dry best weighted but arguably better over 1800 up - should still hold Kwazzi's Lady on their last meeting; Fish Eagle and Libeccio next best for me

Enjoy

I will have to go see the optometrist after todays racing.

Shocking picture quality from Turffontein