Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

  • lushen
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Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago - 7 years 3 weeks ago
#727169
Early Thoughts:

Race 1 – (1] Bella Ciao 22/10 – Should not lose but all the money has been poured on (13] Mambo Model 11/10
Race 2 – (4] Neuf De Pape e/w 7/1 & 21/20
Race 3 – (6] Wottahottie win 28/10 / (8] National Key place 2.86/1
Race 4 – (1] Poormans lady 8/10 - Should not lose
Race 5 – Toss-up between (5] Goodness Me 8/1 & 32/25 / (12] Esploratore 8/1 & 32/25 / (9] Fly North 15/1 & 2.4/1
Race 6 – Between (4] Bold Viking 4/1 and (1] Shenanigans 7/2 – Last time big talk for (2] The Rocket Man 33/10
Race 7 – (7] Scotland 11/1 & 14/10 value bet run in first 4. (8] Desert Sunset roughie 28/1 & 3.64/1
Race 8 – (3] Dressed to Impress 5/2 - Should not lose.
Race 9 – Competitive but (4] Yer-Maan 6/1 & 8/10 should be in the shake-up, first 4 chance.
Last edit: 7 years 3 weeks ago by lushen.
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  • heinrich
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727170
An air of 'winnings' to romp home. Goes well with Pepperment tea

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  • Yeldah
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727171
lushen wrote: Early Thoughts:

Race 1 – (1] Bella Ciao 22/10 – Should not lose but all the money has been poured on (13] Mambo Model 11/10
Race 2 – (4] Neuf De Pape e/w 7/1 & 21/20
Race 3 – (6] Wottahottie win 28/10 / (8] National Key place 2.86/1
Race 4 – (1] Poormans lady 8/10 - Should not lose
Race 5 – Toss-up between (5] Goodness Me 8/1 & 32/25 / (12] Esploratore 8/1 & 32/25 / (9] Fly North 15/1 & 2.4/1
Race 6 – Between (4] Bold Viking 4/1 and (1] Shenanigans 7/2 – Last time big talk for (2] The Rocket Man 33/10
Race 7 – (7] Scotland 11/1 & 14/10 value bet run in first 4. (8] Desert Sunset roughie 28/1 & 3.64/1
Race 8 – (3] Dressed to Impress 5/2 - Should not lose.
Race 9 – Competitive but (4] Yer-Maan 6/1 & 8/10 should be in the shake-up, first 4 chance.

Bella Ciao - last two runs has yielded one winner and a couple of placed horses. Mambo Model last two runs 7 winners hence the flood of money.
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  • mydada
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727174
1 Mambo Model strong win
2 Keanan's Rock hunch
6 Killua Castle Murray me

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  • Dean321
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727178
mydada wrote: 1 Mambo Model strong win
2 Keanan's Rock hunch
6 Killua Castle Murray me

Keenan Rock for me as well.
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  • Pirhobeta
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727180
Milesende...

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  • Yeldah
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727181
R1 - Mambo Model
R2 - Pachuco & Sovereign Reign
R4 - Milesende
R5 - An Air of Success & Moss Gas
R7 - Double Tap (EW)
R8 - Dressed to Impress and White Rose (EW)
R9 - Fish River Canyon
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  • Frodo
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727213
Not the worst card imo - will be interesting to see how the draws play out down the straight - thoughts ....

R1: Mambo Model does seem to come out of some strong races, and the betting support suggests she will give the males carrots - Outside Edge could make her work from that inside draw

R2: Open handicap - bar the obvious ones as reflected by the betting, I think both Kurt's Approval and Hideaway can run into the money

R3: All 3 main contenders come out of the same form line - but I can't really see anything else :unsure:

R4: Poormanslady looks hard to beat - Raspberry Red has finished in front of Milesende both times they met - but needs improvement on her last two efforts

R5: Competitive; Moss Gas is in form and the 4 kg claim means she is well in again; Gimme Hope Johanna a danger with Goodness Me - draws could be decisive :unsure:

R6: Field seems closely matched - slight preference for Bold Viking

R7: Looks a match between Albacore and Lord Silverio, but Double Tap looks good value and Scotland is coming back to form, so those 4 for me

R8: Again it looks a match between Awfaa and Dressed to Impress, but I think Jamra could be a real danger and as a roughie I like White Rose - gets cheek pieces again today and a comes in with a light weight from pole position

R9: At the weights I think this could finally be the day for Skynight to get his nose in front again; Yer-maan the biggest danger imo

Enjoy B)
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  • triple tempo
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727217
Dean321 wrote:
mydada wrote: 1 Mambo Model strong win
2 Keanan's Rock hunch
6 Killua Castle Murray me

Keenan Rock for me as well.

I agree....I think Khumalo's riding style will suit. Has to be held up and then produced under a strong ride. I am big on this today!

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  • heinrich
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727220
Yeldah wrote:
lushen wrote: Early Thoughts:

Race 1 – (1] Bella Ciao 22/10 – Should not lose but all the money has been poured on (13] Mambo Model 11/10
Race 2 – (4] Neuf De Pape e/w 7/1 & 21/20
Race 3 – (6] Wottahottie win 28/10 / (8] National Key place 2.86/1
Race 4 – (1] Poormans lady 8/10 - Should not lose
Race 5 – Toss-up between (5] Goodness Me 8/1 & 32/25 / (12] Esploratore 8/1 & 32/25 / (9] Fly North 15/1 & 2.4/1
Race 6 – Between (4] Bold Viking 4/1 and (1] Shenanigans 7/2 – Last time big talk for (2] The Rocket Man 33/10
Race 7 – (7] Scotland 11/1 & 14/10 value bet run in first 4. (8] Desert Sunset roughie 28/1 & 3.64/1
Race 8 – (3] Dressed to Impress 5/2 - Should not lose.
Race 9 – Competitive but (4] Yer-Maan 6/1 & 8/10 should be in the shake-up, first 4 chance.

Bella Ciao - last two runs has yielded one winner and a couple of placed horses. Mambo Model last two runs 7 winners hence the flood of money.

ill race them with OUTSIDE EDGE who has the inside edge on them lol

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  • shrek
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727222
Looks a tough card today.

I will be having one bet today again and that will be Moss Gas in the 5th.

She is in excellent form and the 4 kg's young Lerena will be taking off her back will do her chances no harm. This filly gave Dylan his first winner. My concern is the draw, it seems to be a lottery where the better going is of late but hopefully the draw will not count against her. The 6/1 looks very decent EW value to me.

Play well.

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  • zain
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Re: Vaal Thursday 24 May 2018

7 years 3 weeks ago
#727224
Connect in the first does seem a good place bet if not win!

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