Turffontein Saturday thread

Friday racing wasn't good to the punter. Pick 6 carryover at Turffontein on Saturday. Any ideas?

R8) 12 Zappy Choice 14-1

Dat Tarry baby and Tilbury Fort is a buster for tomorrow

Racethegreenlight

Flipflash

Samurai Blade

Bokked wrote: Racethegreenlight

Bokked, I also think this is the right one in the race, however, if he doesn't arrive today, it will be must last flutter on this chap. Last time out didn't get the best of starts and to compound the issue, the jockey was caught out by some clever riding with there being no false rail. When he did get into the race, he was travelling well, then had to switch off the winner's quarters and to rub salt into the wound, he was found not to be striding out. Take all this out the race and his a winner. Seriously though, he must race a lot handier or even control the pace of the race as there will be no pace in this race and the run-in is a lot shorter today - can't be like one of those old V8's and take an eternity to get going.

Nice card imo - thoughts ....

R3: The top 3 all seem to have some question marks - Al Hamd comes off a gelding - must have chance as his form before the gelding seems ok; Ali Bon Dubai comes off a long break, so will probably need it and to me the stable is also not in the best of form; Zouaves needs to jump and may not be suited by the inside track; so at 7/1, I think the filly Light Indigo is a nice each-way bet here - ran less than 4 lengths behind Bi-Pot (which obviously has improved since) and boasts some good form against fair fillies.

R4: Not the easiest start to the P6 - Rose of Soweto has shortened in the betting and tries blinkers - so could win, but she has had a few chances and it may be worth opposing her; Princess Aurora (like RoS) is having her 9th start and is clearly limited as well; I'm including all of Grey's Delight (finding some form), Boudica (3rd start for Silvano filly - so plenty of improvement likely) and Seattle Tango (tough draw, but found betting support last time and gets a tongue tie today)

R5: Pinnacle Stakes which usually means 'go for the best weighted horse' - but in this case I think the answer lies in the collateral form - Tahini has won twice at this track and holds both Juxtapose (has never won at this track) and Intergalactic (said to need another week / run) on previous meetings - had a fair run 2 weeks back after returning from a largely disappointing Cape visit (where she did run 5.5 lengths behind the Met winner) and I think she is the right one today; Grey Light may be a touch high in the handicap, so although she is closely rated with Tahini, I think Tahini will hold her - but she could provide the 'upset'

R6: Looks a match race, both Tilbury Fort and Racethegreenlight on my calculations ran 13 points above their ratings in respectively their last and penultimate runs - I'm forgiving R his last start when imo he did not get the best of rides (in addition to 'not striding') and he will also appreciate this track and trip; Coral Fever also ran above his rating in his comeback effort after a long break, but although he likes the inside track, he has yet to prove that he goes the 1600 - still, as with Grey Light in the previous race, he could provide the 'upset'; the others are handicappers pretty much in their place, so would be a surprise to me to see any of them win

R7: Lovely feature handicap, and if Top Shot can reproduce his effort behind Samurai Blade in December, it will be no race - problem is that he may be better with blinkers imo - also I think he needs a strong pace (which I think there will be with the stable companion and Stonehenge in the race); if TS does not reproduce his best, it could be close between Samurai Blade (also entered in the Colorado King next week), Master Switch (stable on USO seemed to suggest that he should need the run), Romany Prince (winner this track and trip) and Arctica

R8: Very tough fillies and mares handicap and a case can be made for most of them - I'm guessing Bandola has improved when equipped with a tongue tie when winning her maiden beating a subsequent winner by 4.5 lengths - but her rating has been increased accordingly, so I would not like to be caught short here

R9: Another fillies and mares handicap; for me I think Dallie is overdue to win - did not see her last race, but according to the Computaform she was 27 lengths behind the leader at the 800 last time (and almost 17 lengths behind at the 400) :ohmy: - she should hold Cool Fantasy on their last meeting, so I think I might take a chance with her in the last; main danger imo could be Rose Water - also holds Cool Fantasy on her penultimate effort behind Parisienne Chic (won again during the week) - both these fillies probably needs a strong pace (hopefully to be provided by AP Chanel) as does my third choice Russian Friend, who does try blinkers, so could feature

Enjoy

Zouaves
Coral Fever - unsound but huge talent
Russian Friend e/w

Gavin Lerena too good a jock to wright off after 46 rides without a win... i expect him to hit them hard today with atleast 3 winners .

In pick 6 i will banker Romany prince , gavin won on him 2 from 2 and only start c/d for RP was last year in this same Drum Star when he won.
Romany Prince won this race last year as a 3yo rated 99 , now rated 103 (only 4 pounds higher) but i rate him much better 4yo than 3yo . He demolished Master Switch in this race last year by 4, 5L and MS is now fav ?????

I will banker Romany prince in pick 6 and will cover with 6/10 a place available on him.

edit: formatting did not work... so deleted.

Magi wrote: edit: formatting did not work... so deleted.

Jeepers dont tell me that you tried an ARM before the races even have begun :lol: :lol: