Race 6 : Smokey Affair , I see wsb has 22/10 which seems very generous to me , last 2 starts in feature company , now right down in class , top boy on top , I am all in :woohoo:
The following user(s) said Thank You: johnnycomelately
Smokey Affair if not in need of the run should win this.
Oh Behave, was disappointed to see the original favourite Dancer being scratched because Oh Behave opened at 6/1 before the scratching and even with Dancer in the race, I didn't think he was the likely winner. Oh Behave is my punt on the day.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
The following user(s) said Thank You: King Tut, Young generation
Race8: We have Sylvanite running. She is fit and well and should run a good race from a decent draw. Very open fillies handicap so just about any result possible.
Race 4: Small share in Stellarstone. Showed a glimmer of form last time. Very weak maiden, so he has a chance but a number of inconsistent performers that could pop up on the day.
Race 1: Rose in Bloom the one to beat but price very short. Casual Diamond looks better ew value.
Race 2: Gadget Man has the best form but the stable has only just resumed sending out runners so fitness could be an issue. The well bred C'est la Vie must be considered. Risky Rambo should go into PAs.
Race 3: Lindsey's Lane put up a good debut and looks good ew value. Waterbaby is improving and should be respected. Dawn Rising and Katniss are capable at best but have failed to live up to their ratings lately.
Race 5: The improving Sister Susie and Janice's Secret are preferred to the well tried Colorado Rose and Margylle.
Race 6: Smokey Affair is better than her official rating so should win this if not needing the run. If she fails then wide open. California Girl and Amarillo Rose the main dangers.
Race 7: Half Moon Hotel is well in with the claim. Streak of Silver good effort last time and should be thereabouts. Gregorian Chant has a good chance if fit. Fly like the Wind has a lot to do at the weights but his last run was good against some decent horses. Very open race for exotics.
Last edit: 8 years 3 months ago by PeterD.
The following user(s) said Thank You: King Tut, thisotherdude
ROSE IN BLOOM
GADGET MAN - needs to follow something did not ejoy setting pace last and found heaps of trouble in his previous start
KATNISS and MISS MYMONEY in exotics
STELLARSTONE - was hampered last Approaching the 200m STELLARSTONE (G Cheyne) steadied off the heels of INDONESIA - amazing that he actually earned - inc FIREWALKER in exotics - very strong formelines gets blinkers and 4kg claim
SMOKEY AFFAIR - many supporters on ABC - not sure how she gets beaten
LE HARVE e/w
SYLVANITE 5\1 from a good draw worth a small smack - could get an easy run in if MISS STAKE sets pace from a handy draw and 4kg claim
Looking at the opener you have an odds on favourite that was not fancied at all on debut but ran well then you have the stable companion making debut which costs 4.5 million and is 9/4. I know which one i will be having a bet on.
Rose in Bloom ran a great debut - Dam Raise The Bar : 38r-8w, 1000-1450m(AR101-MR103) should not have been 28/1 in debut . Maybe because Joe doesn't always tune his first timers up first run. The stable companion may need further . However I don't think the race ends there.
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