Kenilworth 4/12/2013

I'll start the ball rolling ....

R2) If MR's work, then Forest Indigo must have this field stone cold and 9/10 represents a good price especially over a distance she is more suited too.

R3) From draw 10 I don't think 16/10 is good value about African Fish Eagle. Being a horse who races fairly handy, he could run out of steam towards the end, must have a winning chance, but not for me. The same could apply to Black Beluga who was up there from a good draw last time out, so 6/1 is better value (than AFE) especially over less ground than last time. Unholy Allegiance, only those connected to the stable will know how fit and ready he is, so not for me. I think Bandido Caballero (5/1) from a fairly good draw could run them all down. Appears to have struggled to quicken last time out, however I think one, if not all of the above three will ensure a decent gallop. Difficult betting race, siding marginally with BC.

R4) The favourite Acrostar (1/1) looks to be the most likely improver and the one they all have to beat.

R5) Roman Manner (16/10), I think this horse is well in at the weights and the one they all have to beat. This horse is a more than decent handicapper. Has run to stronger.

R8) I fancy Luna De Victoria (15/2) from a good draw. Down in class on her last two runs, I think she's the one to beat.

Played the patent :-

Forest Indigo X Acrostar X Roman Manner

Break a leg.

E/W bet Superfly, Cape Cutter, Maties Wildekat

As of now going is good to soft but no rain in the week :S Over watered??? Could be good by race time though I guess, hoping so!

Only scratching thus far, R6 1 Third Avenue

Not Riding : G Hatt

Weather Forecast: @12h00: Partly cloudy; N/W wind - tail wind (03.12.13 @ 15h00);

Rain 24 Hours: Nil Rain 7 Days: Nil Pen Reading: Average 24 (Straight 25; Turn 23)
Irrigation 24 Hours: N/A Irrigation 7 Days: 40mm Track Cond.: Good to Soft
False Rail Pos.: Winter Course: 4m

Forrest Indigo definitely needed 1st run in cape will come home wih no companions 2mro.
His forrest is a real racehorse and is going to make his presence felt in the cape

Hi Guys, with all the race meetings abandoned I started early at work to work through the card. Here's my likings:
Race 1: I believe Surrey will be the winner. I also like the first timer Inca Silver to run in the first three. Elite jet also a contender. My value bet in this race is Superfly and include in your play.
3 x 6 x 15 x 1
Race 2: Forest Indigo will be too good. Classy horse!!!! Cape Cutter to chase him down. My value bet Top Jet from the Bass stable.
2 x 3 x 5 x 1
Race 3: African Fish Eagle got a strong chance to win this. Bandido Caballero is improving with every run and will be right there.Unholy Allegiance made a cracker of a debut and is not out of this. My value bet Black Beluga.
2 x 3 x 12 x 4
Race 4: Arcostar from the inform Snaith stable will be hard to beat. Tobesuretobesure next best with Victim of Love to follow. My value bet is Princess Aura.
3 x 2 x 10 x 4
Race 5: Roman Manner again looks hard to beat and can make it three in a row. Eternal Jet back to his right distance and could be a tread. My value bet Silver Bluff- with 2.5 better on a run with Roman Warrior can see him make rapid improve ment. Don't ignore!!
1 x 6 x 3 x 4
Race 6: Danzey Green is in good nick and can pull this one through. I like the look of Sovereign Sound and Third Avenue. My value bet is KUKAMA.
9 x 6 x 7 x 1
Race 7: Imperial Fabrege looks classy and Dennis Drier would have round this lady nicely off. I expect a Good run again. Countess of Rhynie ( although big weight) will be in the play. Attachment looks also usefull. My value bets in the race: Cosmic Flower and Aksaray.
4 x 1 x 6 x 2 x 10
Race 8: This is a field race in the jackpot and P6:
Go as wide as possible. I like Theme Song a lot.K Neisius doing well for the Sands yard and is my first choice.Dark Journey, Lune de Victoria Madame Rooney and London Theatre is my value bet in the race.
9 x 1 x 3 x 7 x 10
Race 9: Tigress Dance my first choice. Lemonade River do has scope for nice improvement. Rushintothewind and Boniface can run into the money. My value bet of this race is CHanging Heart to make the quartets pay.
9 x 4 x 10 x 1 x 8

My best winning bets:
Race 1 : Surrey xxx
Race 2: Forest Indigo xxxxx
Race 3: African Fish Eagle xxxx
Race 4: Acrostar xxxxx
Race 5: Royal Manner xxxxx
Race 7: Imperial Fabrege xxxx
My best value bet:
Race 5 : Silver Bluff
Race 7: Cosmic Flower
Play well everybody !!!!!

Surely forrest Indigo is a GOOODTHING

ShezaPunter Wrote:

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> Surely forrest Indigo is a GOOODTHING

Sheza, 9/10 is a good price about FI, if my calculation is correct, the second favourite Cape Cutter is 8.5kgs out at the MR. By the way, FI is a he and not a she as I mentioned above, apologies. See he still has a pair for good measure:D. I'd be surprised if this horse starts 9/10 or bigger.

Cosmic Flower...

It looks like a day for favourites?

bayern Wrote:

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> ShezaPunter Wrote:
>

---

>

---

> > Surely forrest Indigo is a GOOODTHING
>
> Sheza, 9/10 is a good price about FI, if my
> calculation is correct, the second favourite Cape
> Cutter is 8.5kgs out at the MR. By the way, FI is
> a he and not a she as I mentioned above,
> apologies. See he still has a pair for good
> measure:D. I'd be surprised if this horse starts
> 9/10 or bigger.

My advice to all the big players out there, just put ur whole daily budget on FI and relax and enjoy the rest of the day.

R1 With Surrey, Inca Valley, Superfly and Lessflashmorecash all drawn on the high side, I'm siding e/w with Satchmo who has performed well from high(ish) draws in the last two and now gets a low draw. Will also have a small e/w idiot e/w on Cherry Breeze.
R2 Odds-on shot, clanners all over it. No disrespect intended to my esteemed fellow clanners of course but, I'll pass, seen them beaten too often. I'll take my chances on Silver Haven e/w, think it a fair price.
R3 If I had to pick one it would be African Fish Eagle but has an open look about it and I'll probably stick to trifectas n quartets
R4 Acrostar
R5 Tiger Tiger e/w
R6 If its running on the soft side, Danzey Green. If good, Wise Choice e/w
R7 Imperial Faberge
R8 Theme Song. If its good going, outsider of the lot Lola Budd shouldn't be discounted imo. Butterfly Girl, Dark Journey, Intimateconnection will go in trifectas n quartets.
R9 If its running on the soft side, Boniface, if not then Lemonade River. Tigeress Dance thereabouts and Changing Heart and Abbey Creek may add value to trifectas n quartets

Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

Hunting Horn was 11 kg's out at the weights last time with Forest Indigo and beat him so it is not cut and dried. Forest Indigo was way above himself last time going to the start and was also drenched in sweat. Will see how he looks tomorrow.