Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
- Englander
-
Topic Author
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 11538
- Thanks: 829
Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
As always please use the daily thread for your comments, selection etc...
Some competitive racing and some tricky cards with a few sand debutants. Did the jottings before prices went up and as usual there are some that seem very poor value in the early prices, have not adjusted comments once prices released...
RACE1 - 1600 MAIDEN
1 AJUBA - Pettigrew/MVR. Sand debut. Drawn 10 and nothing in breeding suggests will love the surface but 2 3rds in 3 d runs gives him a chance if so doing
2 FRENCH LOVER - Sand debut. A little in the breeding implies he might enjoy the sand. Much improved last turf effort when setting the pace and drawn ok in 6. Maybe worth a small e/w idiot if a big price
3 PACIFIC SOUND - Sand debut. Nothing to say he will take to the surface and is drawn widest of all. Nothing appeals and is seemingly not stable elect but has received a little outsider support in his last few turf runs, if 50s plus might do an R1 e/w
4 VODKA ROCKS - Better since returning from last rest and is on 3rd run after rest, drawn ok in 5 and appie takes weight off but was 4,75l and 2.75l behind Banjo Bay and Hobb's Flight respectively last time out here over 1450. Would not be the biggest shock but unlikely
5 BANJO BAY - 4 top 3s in 6 c runs over shorter and usually thereabouts since sand debut. Has been running on recently and Khumalo retains the ride. 2l ahead of HF last time over 1450 with 2 others further back. Form of penultimate (1200) has been franked. Should be a major player
6 TOBE TURF TERROR - 0/2 on c and 0/3 at d. 5l behind BB over 1200. Decent draw in 2 but should be an also ran
7 HOBB'S FLIGHT - 8 top 3s in 24 c runs improving to 4 in 8 over c/d. 2l behind BB last time out, not always the best starter, drawn wide in 11 and trainer form seems poor of late but, if breaking on terms then no reason why he should not be far away at the death
8 THE BUCKET BOY - Poor latest over 1450 when slow away from a wide draw and well behind BB, HF and VR. Has 1 top 3 in 3 c runs but that place was in his penultimate run under this appie over this d (only place in 8 d runs). Was 1l behind HF that day but has a much improved draw here. If repeating penultimate then a chance
9 GENERAL CUSTER - Well beaten in only c run over 1000 but run creditably in 2 sprints at Bingo (2 of his 3 places in 18 total runs). Trainer in a little form and usually not too far off so not without a chance but tries the d for the first time. a watching brief
10 LUNAR DESTINY - Yet to be in the first 3 in 4 c runs and behind HF and TBB last time out over c/d. Drawn wide in 12 and unlikely to win
11 AD KAHN - Better run lto at Bingo, drawn 1 and is on 3rd run after a rest but yet to place in 5 c runs or 3 d runs. Hard to make a winning case though given overall form
12 ALPHA MALE - Azzie. Sand debut. Well beaten 2 turf runs and gelded after last. Rested 11 weeks. Breeding suggests a fair chance he will like the c though and from the 4 box is well worth chancing R1 e/w IF you can get the 50/1 forecast by Winning Form
13 HIGH STAKES - Azzie/Delpech. Sand debut. Seemingly stable elect. 2nd run after a rest but only on 3rd career run. Nothing suggests to me a definite taker to the surface and given the combo likely to be restrictively short in the market and thus not a realistic punting proposition, likely to be a watching brief unless a market surprise!
Difficult due to the number of newcomers to the surface. Banjo Bay looks strongest of those with c experience but not convinced the form amounts to a great deal. Jockey booking suggests High Stakes is Azzie's preferred runner but his other appeals if the price is right. French Lover I am not lol but that one also attracts me a little... a sane person would probably go with BB or HS but I'm an idiot so based on value and hope... ALPHA MALE x FRENCH LOVER X HIGH STAKES
RACE 2 - 1600 H'CAP-86
1 SHATTERED IMAGE - Magner. 11 top 3s in 20 c runs and 2 silvers in 4 efforts over c/d. Good win over 1450 lto and appie helps bring the weight down to a reasonable level. Has a chance from poll
2 FLITTER - GVZ/Strydom. Sand debut. Breeding suggests a possibility that she will take to the surface and the booking of PS possibly a significant indicator. Good draw in 2. Also tries the d for the first time. Interesting contender and one who might well (after the event) tick all the boxes but nothing to confirm so now. She is quite likely to stop me having a punt on the race, market watch and possibly watching brief
3 ELEGANT BAY - Pettigrew/MVR. Won last 2 well over 1600 and 1800 (Scarletto 7.5l back). Has 3 wins in 6 c visits and chance of the hat-trick but big rise in class
4 PINTARI - Spies/Chambers. Not in sight of the winner in his 2 c runs and seemingly not firing on all cylinders at the moment despite improving at Bingo lto. Drop in trip may help but not for me until shows something worthwhile at this venue
5 TRAVEL UP FRONT - MDK/Delpech. Sand debut. Usually thereabouts and has been 4th twice and 5th in 3 turf runs over this d. Breeding suggests a fair chance of taking to the surface and if so doing must be in with a shout on 3rd run after a rest
6 SCARLET BERRY - Azzie. Won well on debut over c/d but that was not the strongest of maidens and no franking of the form. Can't be discounted but will find this much tougher
7 SCARLETTO - Beaten 7.5l by EB when returning from a 25 week rest and could come on for that run but think others are stronger here
Small field but tricky with a couple of sand debutants who if taking to the surface could easily win and a couple with decent c form. My gut says go with Flitter and for these purposes that is who I'll go with but unlikely to have a bet on this one... FLITTER x SCATTERED IMAGE X TRAVEL UP FRONT
RACE 3 - 1200 MAIDEN
1 STROKE ONE - A Laird. Respectable silver on c debut over this d lto but it was a weak maiden. Usually thereabouts, has 4 top 3s in 6 d runs and a good draw in 3 and must have a decent chance in a weak looking field
2 FLOATING MOON - Sand debut. Strydom up but nothing in the breeding says to me he will be a definite taker to the surface and turf form uninspiring. Watching brief
3 FOR YOUR EYES ONLY - 0-1-1 in 11 c runs and only one additional bronze in 28 career runs. Better under Khumalo over 1000 last time and although, on collateral formlines, SO would seem to (probably) have his measure, FYEO stumbled at the start in that run and Khumalo retaining the ride over longer makes her of much greater appeal than would otherwise have been the case
4 DAYLAMITE - Debut. Nothing in breeding to indicate he will enjoy the surface and drawn widest of all will make it difficult even if he does
5 VELVET FINISH - Debut. Nothing in breeding to indicate he will enjoy the surface and trainer seemingly not in the best of form
6 WOODROSE - 3rd and 4th (1450) in his two c runs but they were in weak fields and he was beaten 6.5l and 10.25l respectively. Can't be completely discounted but from a wide draw of 11 I think he is unlikely to be victorious
7 IM NO MICKEY MOUSE - No top 3s in 5 c runs and 6.5l behind SO in only d attempt. Slow away then and better drawn here but a form reversal is still hard to see
8 PAGE ONE - Sand debut. Comes off a 13 week rest. Nothing in breeding to say he will be a sand-lover, shown little on the turf, trainer form not hot and despite a good draw and appie taking weight off, hard to see him being the first past the post
9 KEEP MY PROMISE - Sand debut. Two poor turf runs but breeding suggests a good chance he will like he surface. Drawn wide in 13 but, again, if the 50/1 predicted by Winning Form, or better is available, R1 e/w will be chanced
10 ROYAL QUEST - Beaten 10.5l on c debut in a weak maiden over 1450. Drop in trip may help and ran a reasonable 2.25l second on debut at Bingo (not the strongest field again but 5th and 7th have won since). Has appie taking weight off and from pole position could be a joker in the pack but not one I would be on with any confidence
11 SEATTLE RYTHM - Pettigrew/MVR. Faded on debut over 1000 here but could come on from that run with combo and breeding suggesting she may do ok on the surface and a decent draw in 4
12 SHINGA - Magner/Chambers. Sand debut. Nothing in two turf runs or in the breeding to indicate she will take to the surface but an ok draw in 6 and could possibly improve given the combo. Maybe R1 e/w if a mammoth price!
13 STEPHANIE ANN - Reserve. 10l behind SO on d when well drawn which is not the case here. Another who may improve but a form reversal is hard to envisage
14 SEEKING SEATTLE - Magner. Reserve. Breeding suggests could well be better on the surface than her two efforts to date have shown. Blinkers are removed which may help but the wide draw will not
A poor looking field but with a couple of hopefully big priced ones which may be worth risking R1 e/w. With little confidence... FOR YOUR EYES ONLY x STROKE ONE x ROYAL QUEST
RACE 4 - 1000 PROGRESS PLATE
1 JIMMI CHOO - Sand debut. Good turf form and a big runner if taking to the surface with Brown up (of 6 Erasmus stable entries) but breeding suggests that taking to the surface is questionable. Likely to be a short price and as such no more than a watching brief for me this time
2 NORMANZ - C Laird/Strydom. Sand debut. Well beaten in two Grade 1s following two good wins but another where a liking for the sand is far from guaranteed. Watching brief
3 VELVET VERONA - Spies/Chambers. 1-1-1 in 3 c runs with the win over this d and the 2nd and 3rd (beaten over 6l) winning subsequently. Seemingly has a goof draw in 10 and possibly the strongest of those with c experience though somewhat disappointing last time out over 1200
4 DREAM LEADER - Beaten 1.75l by Estancia on only c run over this d (Estancia finished 1l behind VV over 1200 on this c and VV has also convincingly beaten DL on turf) ). rested 12 weeks and has a low draw. Can't be completely discounted but seemingly not stable elect (Erasmus), unlikely
5 GREASEPAINT - Magner/Khumalo. Sand debut. Convincing maiden winner over this d though perhaps not the strongest field. Drawn low but strong combo and breeding suggests a fair chance he will take to the sand
6 HIGHLAND LAD - 1-0-2 in 7 c runs but only broke out of the maidens at the 13th attempt last time out in a WR. Finished 4ls adrift of VV in the run behind Dynamite over 1200. Perhaps better over this d but work to do to reverse the form from a low draw
7 MIGHTY VAR - Goosen. Sand debut. 1st and 2nd on turf at 1/4 and 1/4. Again, breeding suggests that taking to the surface is questionable, watching brief
8 SHANNON'S BOY - Well beaten both c runs and beaten 14l by Estancia. Appears not to be stable elect (Erasmus) and hard to see form reversals
9 TIGER TERRITORY - Won penultimate lto over c/d finishing 2.25l ahead of SB but prior to that beaten 6.5l by VV. Seemingly not stable elect (Erasmus) and on face value hard to see form reversals. However, the second c run showed big improvement, finishing 8.25l infront of HL, in a time that was 2.37 seconds quicker than when behind VV. With a good draw in 9 could well represent decent e/w value
10 LORD DUBOIS - Beaten 4.75l into 5th of 15 lto over c/d when, perhaps significantly, drawn 1. All 4 who finished ahead had won their previous outing, HL 3ls further back. Had 4 turf runs between but, on debut, on this c was finishing well when beaten only 0.75l by Estancia with HL and DL. Seemingly not stable elect (Erasmus) but with the appie taking a little weight off then based on Estancia runs and at the weights, again could represent some value from a good draw in 11
11 STYLING - Appears to not be stable elect (Erasmus), well beaten on both c runs since maiden win and drawn 1. Hard to see him making the required improvement
Another where the sand debutants require an element of guesswork. I'm going to take a chance and brass them all and go with two of the (seemingly) lesser lights from the Erasmus stable in Tiger Territory and Lord Dubois with the former my main choice and possibly the best value in the race. TIGER TERRITORY x LORD DUBOIS x VELVET VERONA
RACE 5 - 1600 H'CAP-86
1 MARCHING BAND - Has a 1-2-0 record in 4 c visits but overall has only one 3rd in 8 d attempts, though that was his last try at the d and penultimate d run was beaten only 2.8l. Not been to the c in over a year, did disappoint at Bingo in his penultimate run but that was perhaps over too much ground. Usually competitive and from a good draw in 2 has a chance
2 SPECTROSCOPE - 3 wins and 2 3rds in 8 c runs and 2-0-1 in 5 over c/d. Good win under Gunter lto over 1800 and consistent for the most part, likely to be thereabouts again
3 ACES HIGH - 3 wins in 4 c runs and 2/3 over c/d. Won last two convincingly under MVR over 1600 and 1450. The second from the run over 1600 won well next time out. The 1450 field was a strong one and the way he won there makes him the one to beat for me
4 ROCK THE COUNTRY - Woodruff. Beaten 7.5l by Spectroscope on c debut at this d but that was 2nd run after a rest and is now 10.5kgs better off. On his 2nd visit, lto, he was beaten 3.5l by Velddrifter (who was 9l behind AH last time) and 1.25l ahead of Where's My Chop (who was 16l behind AH last time). Times of last runs for RTC and AH are comparable but the d's seem to give AH a strong upper hand
5 ENCHANTED GUEST - Following a 12 week rest was 3rd on c debut lto, beaten 3.5l by Pylon over 1450. Was slow away that day and running on and if not suffering 2nd run after the rest should come on for it, has PS up and a good draw in 3 and in with a chance
6 CARYL'S LAW - 2 wins and a silver in 7 c/d runs but has not been within 8ls of the winner in her last 8 outings. Has the 1 draw but looks well held by some here and very unlikely
7 MUTHIAH PILLAI - Yet to place in 3 c runs, on 2nd run after a rest and on collateral form looks well held
8 NIGHT EMBERS - Also yet to place in 3 c runs, on 2nd run after a rest and on collateral form looks well held
9 MCALLISTOR - Has 3 wins in 8 c/d runs but was beaten 24l by Spectro in penultimate run. Returns from a 12 week rest and though he should have no chance, he is one of those inconsistent horses a punter could well do without as he occasionally puts in a run way above his usual, if you can afford it put a small saver on just in case he chooses to really p1ss a lot of punters off again
Strong on Aces High here after his impressive last run. Think a few in a with chance though and as said, McAllistor could make us all cry. ACES HIGH x ROCK THE COUNTRY x SPECTROSCOPE
RACE 6 - 1600 H'CAP-65
1 MISS K - Goosen. 3 top 3s in 6 visits including 2 wins in 3 c/d attempts when drawn poorly. Ignoring the latest when reported not strding, has finished 1st twice and 2nd twice in her last 4 runs. Drawn much better today than last few. In penultimate beat Olympic Spring by 0.35l and is now 3kgs better off. Good chance but slight concern that having been off 8 weeks, might not quite be at her sharpest
2 OLYMPIC SPRING - 6 top 3s in 12 visits including a 2nd and 3rd in 4 c/d attempts. Consistent for the most part and was beaten only 0.35l by Miss K 5 runs back but is now 3kgs worse off. However, is also better drawn (as is MK) and Striker is up rather Pretorious. Good chance
3 SILVALINE - Woodruff. Sand debut. Appie takes a little weight off but breeding suggests a liking for the sand is far from guaranteed, drawn in 9. Watching brief
4 SUMMER SARI - Has 5 top 3s in 19 c runs including a silver at the d but looks well held by Olympic Spring in a number of runs and beaten 4.15l by Miss K over c/d. Has a wide draw and trainer seems not to be firing currently, should not reverse the form on the evidence available!
5 TIZASMARTDOLLAR - Has 3 top 3s in 8 c runs including a win at the d but looks well held by Olympic Spring in a number of runs and beaten 9l by Miss K over c/d. Trainer seems not to be firing currently and should not reverse the form on the evidence available!
6 OLYMPIC GOAL - Spies/Chambers. Well beaten on both c visits including a 7,5l defeat to Miss K with only a 2.5kg swing in his favour. Recent turf form has been poor and not for me despite a combo to be respected
7 SWEET CANDY - Pettigrew/MVR. Well behind on both sand starts including last time out when beaten 14l over 1450. Has a poor draw again and will have to show a lot of improvement to feature
8 BESAME MUCHO - Although only one 3rd in 3 c runs those were over 1000 and 1200 and she is probably better suited to further. Attempted this d only twice on the turf but only beaten 0.6l and 0.75l in those runs. Inconclusive as to whether she appreciates the surface but was 3rd last time in a not so bad field over 1200. Has the 1 draw here and depending on the price, could represent some e/w value
9 SEATTLE FAIRY - Well beaten in 3 runs at the c since winning maiden. Has been running over sprint d's and takes a big step up to 1600 here. Appie up giving her a light mass, good draw in 3 and if she stays then not without hope. Depending on price the idiot might like to have a sneaky a couple of rand e/w on her
10 KAILANI - In good form with 3 wins in the last 4 turf runs, with the only defeat coming over much further. Prior to that visited this c 3 times without finishing in the top 3, with her last attempt a 3.75l defeat by MK over c/d and now is 2kgs better off. Likely to be a short price but not for me until she proves herself on the surface, as it stands currently I see no reason to say she will definitely reverse form with MK
11 ROMEO'S FAN CLUB - Good draw in 2 but no top 3s in 5 c visits, only won maiden at the 30th attempt in a WR race 3 runs back and beaten a minimum of 7.5l since. Stable appear not to be at their best at the moment, not for me
Interesting battle Miss K and Olympic Spring, with PS likely to make OS the shorter of the two I see MK as potentially the better value but the 8 weeks away is a slight concern. Seattle fairy could shock if the d is not a problem but in the hope that the price is fair, I think the best e/w value might be with Besame Mucho from a good draw and a d that seems to suit. BESAME MUCHO x MISS K x OLYMPIC SPRING x SEATTLE FAIRY
RACE 7 - 1200 STAKES
1 FOLLOW THE PIPER - Tarry/Delpech. Excellent 4-3-0 record in 7 c/d runs and seems to me this could be her ideal trip based on recent runs over further, though it could be that she is simply not at her best at the moment, must have a definite chance with the c/d record
2 FORMATION - SJG. Only out of the top 3 once in 15 c runs but goes this shorter trip for the first time. Hard to be sure that the drop will suit and is also on 2nd run after a rest. Impossible to ignore with such a c record but as with FTP possibly she is not at her best at the moment. Questions to be answered for me but no surprise if she wins
3 KINEMATIC COUNTESS - Magner/Gunter. 3 wins and 2 seconds in 10 c runs. Very good silver at Bingo lto when just failing to catch Mr Vindaloo. Slight concern that she has just one third 4 d attempts but has performed respectably over 1160 on the turf
4 TOBE'S LASS - Spies/Chambers. For the most part has been extremely consistent this year buit has run the majority of her races at Bingo where her record is much better than the 1 silver in 12 runs at this venue. With the opposition today and coming off a 12 week rest it is difficult to see her troubling the judge
5 TAYBA - MDK. Won on both visits to the c. Beat Ferrari Dawn by just 0.75l over this d in penultimate run and is now 3kgs worse off but seemed to improve lto when a much more convincing winner over 1000. For me, quite possibly still on the up and the one to beat
6 PRINCESS ALBERTA - Spies. Seemingly not stable elect, no top 3s in 4 c runs and beaten 16.5l by Tayba three runs back over 1000, has a good draw in 2 but hard to see her winning in this company
7 VELVET JAR - Probably best at this d. Although the overall c/d record of 3 wins and a 2nd in 13 runs does not look too special, that stat is much improved when just looking at her last three over c/d... 2-1-0. Not without a chance but from the 9 draw it may be too much of ask in this field
8 VAN LOVEREN - Won maiden convincingly on the c three runs back over 1000 and the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th and 7th have all exited the maidens since. This is a big jump in class though and even with Khumalo up is likely to be a step too far coming off a 20 week rest
9 FERRARI DAWN - Woodruff. Beaten 0.75l by Tayba over this d lto and is now 3kgs better off but it may well be Tayba has come on since then. Has to have a chance based on that run but has the widest draw here and that will make it tougher
10 ABU MASHAR - Course debut. Good recent runs at Bingo and trainer in a little form , 1 draw should help as will the light weight with the appie on but I suspect she is aiming a little too high here
It seems strange to say it with their exceptional records but I am just not convinced about Follow The Piper and Formation at the moment and it could be that Tayba, despite being on the "dreaded" 4-timer can take advantage (apologies maestro! lol). Other contenders too and should be an interesting race. TAYBA x FOLLOW THE PIPER x FORMATION
RACE 8 - 1200 STAKES
1 SNOWDON - Sand debut. Breeding suggests a fair chance that he will take to the surface and if so doing must have a decent chance. Latest was after a 12 week so should have come on for that and has been beaten by more than 2.25l only once in his last eight starts. 1-1-1 in 4 d runs .
2 UNCLE TOMMY - Very good 3-2-1 record in 6 c runs and though yet to go over c/d he has a 5-4-0 overall record at the d. That said, he has been campaigned over further, with one exception, this year, and it remains to be seen if this d may prove too sharp for him now in this company. Definite chance though if not and he has the benefit of pole and an appie taking weight off who has won twice and been 2nd twice in his 4 times aboard
3 ACROSS THE ICE - Tarry/Delpech. 10 top 3s in 15 c runs but outstanding over c/d with a 4-1-0 in 5 tries.
4 STORM SURF - 5 wins and a silver (only d attempt) in 7 c runs. Won last 3 over 1450 but another who might find this a little sharp, especially from a wide draw of 9
5 CONTADOR - C Laird/Strydom. Dismissed opposition by 9.25l on only c run. Much better opposition here though and a tricky draw in 8 but has won with Striker aboard previously and if overcoming the draw is in with a shout.
6 APPROACHABLE - Woodruff. Decent 3rd on only c visit and appie takes a little weight off and generally a very consistent performer. But, rested 22 weeks after reporting lame from his last run and together with the 12 draw is likely to find this difficult
7 ASTRO NEWS - C Laird. Well beaten on only c run over 1450 and questions remain whether he is suited to the surface. Striker on trainer's other runner. Good draw and placed in all 3 d runs but not likely
8 TIPO TINTO - Drier/MVR. Sand debut. 6 top 3s in 11 d runs but nothing in the breeding to suggest that he will definitely be c suited. Chance if so doing
9 YUKON GOLD - Azzie, 1st and 3rd in 3 c runs with the win coming lto when crushing a decent field in beating Escape Clause into a 9.25l runner-up. Up against stronger and a tough draw of 10 but that win came off an 11 week rest, has a light mass and an overall 4-1-1 d record
10 NICE STRIDE - Good win last time out on sand debut but up against stronger from the widest draw will be a big ask
11 HERE COMES BILLY - Sand debut. Pretty sure the trainer was saying this horse was being aimed for this race as had shown very good work on the sand. Assuming that is correct, and the breeding seems to supports the possibility of enjoying the surface, and with his recent very good defeat of Snowdon on the turf, he could well be a big runner. The concern is the 11 draw.
12 EUGENES - Azzie. 5 top 3s in 9 c runs all over further. Drop in trip may suit and from the 5 box not without a chance
13 BENBOW - Reserve. Beaten 2.25l by NS over 1000 last time out and drawn 13 and with only 2 silvers from 7 c/d runs likely to find it tough if getting a run
14 ESCAPE CLAUSE - Reserve, Convincingly beaten by YG lto and although came off a 27 week rest and has a good draw in 2, hard to see a reversal of that form
Clearly plenty decent horses and plenty in with a chance. I'm going to risk believing the stable's words and hope Here Comes Billy proves to be a very good sand performer... HERE COMES BILLY x YUKON GOLD x ACROSS THE ICE
RACE 9 - MAIDEN 1200
1 KALAMATA BABY - Pettigrew/MVR. Creditable 4th on sand debut lto over 1450 when drawn wide and starting slowly. Drops in trip and perhaps a little temperamental but if neither an issue then has a chance from the 7 box
2 CLUB LANE - Sand debut. Breeding indicates that he may enjoy the surface and has Brown up but a big drop in trip following 10 week rest and drawn 13
3 MOGOO'S GOLD - Magner/Gunter. Sand debut. Recent turf form has been poor but breeding indicates that he may enjoy the surface and is on 3rd run after a rest. Drawn 10 which won't help but maybe worth R1 e/w if the price permits
4 ROYAL STOCK - no top 3s in 5 c runs and though well drawn in 2 will need to do more before I get involved
5 NINJA WARRIOR - Sand debut. Turf form not the best recently and seemingly not stable elect but breeding indicates that he may enjoy the surface and from the 3 box may be another worthy of an R1 e/w if the price is big enough
6 SUB SHAAWES - Sand debut. Better turf run at the 3rd attempt and a little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface. A tricky 9 draw but Khumalo up and has a chance if liking the sand
7 BIG LION - Well beaten last two over 1800, big drop in trip but best run was over 1450 and PS retains the ride. Expensive for me last time and a watching brief this time
8 JUDGEANDJURY - Sand debut. Not the worst turf form and a little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface. Drawn in pole and appie takes a little weight off, has a chance if liking the sand
9 DON VITO - SJG. Well beaten both sand runs over 1000 but did manage 3rd last time and can't be totally discounted from the 4 box
10 JIMMYS LIGHTNING - Sand debut. Shown little on turf and seemingly not stable elect but a little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface. Drawn widest of all but another worthy of R1 e/w if a decent enough price
11 ANTONIUS CHARM - Debut. Nothing confirms to me that he will definitely take to the surface, stable quiet and drawn 12, not likely
12 PERFECT TRIP - Debut. A little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface and appie takes weight off with a good draw of 5 but trainer form a concern. Plenty ticks so yet again a possible R1 e/w venture depending on price
13 KING BULL - Magner. Reserve. Sand debut. Achieved little in 3 turf runs but a little in the breeding suggests that he might take to the surface.
14 RISING TIGER - Reserve. Beaten 35l on c debut over 1600. Big drop in trip but trainer form poor, did little on the gturf and wide draw in 11. Highly unlikely
Plenty potentials but not a lot who look very likely... KALAMATA BABY x NINJA WARRIOR x JUDGEANDJURY
Some competitive racing and some tricky cards with a few sand debutants. Did the jottings before prices went up and as usual there are some that seem very poor value in the early prices, have not adjusted comments once prices released...
RACE1 - 1600 MAIDEN
1 AJUBA - Pettigrew/MVR. Sand debut. Drawn 10 and nothing in breeding suggests will love the surface but 2 3rds in 3 d runs gives him a chance if so doing
2 FRENCH LOVER - Sand debut. A little in the breeding implies he might enjoy the sand. Much improved last turf effort when setting the pace and drawn ok in 6. Maybe worth a small e/w idiot if a big price
3 PACIFIC SOUND - Sand debut. Nothing to say he will take to the surface and is drawn widest of all. Nothing appeals and is seemingly not stable elect but has received a little outsider support in his last few turf runs, if 50s plus might do an R1 e/w
4 VODKA ROCKS - Better since returning from last rest and is on 3rd run after rest, drawn ok in 5 and appie takes weight off but was 4,75l and 2.75l behind Banjo Bay and Hobb's Flight respectively last time out here over 1450. Would not be the biggest shock but unlikely
5 BANJO BAY - 4 top 3s in 6 c runs over shorter and usually thereabouts since sand debut. Has been running on recently and Khumalo retains the ride. 2l ahead of HF last time over 1450 with 2 others further back. Form of penultimate (1200) has been franked. Should be a major player
6 TOBE TURF TERROR - 0/2 on c and 0/3 at d. 5l behind BB over 1200. Decent draw in 2 but should be an also ran
7 HOBB'S FLIGHT - 8 top 3s in 24 c runs improving to 4 in 8 over c/d. 2l behind BB last time out, not always the best starter, drawn wide in 11 and trainer form seems poor of late but, if breaking on terms then no reason why he should not be far away at the death
8 THE BUCKET BOY - Poor latest over 1450 when slow away from a wide draw and well behind BB, HF and VR. Has 1 top 3 in 3 c runs but that place was in his penultimate run under this appie over this d (only place in 8 d runs). Was 1l behind HF that day but has a much improved draw here. If repeating penultimate then a chance
9 GENERAL CUSTER - Well beaten in only c run over 1000 but run creditably in 2 sprints at Bingo (2 of his 3 places in 18 total runs). Trainer in a little form and usually not too far off so not without a chance but tries the d for the first time. a watching brief
10 LUNAR DESTINY - Yet to be in the first 3 in 4 c runs and behind HF and TBB last time out over c/d. Drawn wide in 12 and unlikely to win
11 AD KAHN - Better run lto at Bingo, drawn 1 and is on 3rd run after a rest but yet to place in 5 c runs or 3 d runs. Hard to make a winning case though given overall form
12 ALPHA MALE - Azzie. Sand debut. Well beaten 2 turf runs and gelded after last. Rested 11 weeks. Breeding suggests a fair chance he will like the c though and from the 4 box is well worth chancing R1 e/w IF you can get the 50/1 forecast by Winning Form
13 HIGH STAKES - Azzie/Delpech. Sand debut. Seemingly stable elect. 2nd run after a rest but only on 3rd career run. Nothing suggests to me a definite taker to the surface and given the combo likely to be restrictively short in the market and thus not a realistic punting proposition, likely to be a watching brief unless a market surprise!
Difficult due to the number of newcomers to the surface. Banjo Bay looks strongest of those with c experience but not convinced the form amounts to a great deal. Jockey booking suggests High Stakes is Azzie's preferred runner but his other appeals if the price is right. French Lover I am not lol but that one also attracts me a little... a sane person would probably go with BB or HS but I'm an idiot so based on value and hope... ALPHA MALE x FRENCH LOVER X HIGH STAKES
RACE 2 - 1600 H'CAP-86
1 SHATTERED IMAGE - Magner. 11 top 3s in 20 c runs and 2 silvers in 4 efforts over c/d. Good win over 1450 lto and appie helps bring the weight down to a reasonable level. Has a chance from poll
2 FLITTER - GVZ/Strydom. Sand debut. Breeding suggests a possibility that she will take to the surface and the booking of PS possibly a significant indicator. Good draw in 2. Also tries the d for the first time. Interesting contender and one who might well (after the event) tick all the boxes but nothing to confirm so now. She is quite likely to stop me having a punt on the race, market watch and possibly watching brief
3 ELEGANT BAY - Pettigrew/MVR. Won last 2 well over 1600 and 1800 (Scarletto 7.5l back). Has 3 wins in 6 c visits and chance of the hat-trick but big rise in class
4 PINTARI - Spies/Chambers. Not in sight of the winner in his 2 c runs and seemingly not firing on all cylinders at the moment despite improving at Bingo lto. Drop in trip may help but not for me until shows something worthwhile at this venue
5 TRAVEL UP FRONT - MDK/Delpech. Sand debut. Usually thereabouts and has been 4th twice and 5th in 3 turf runs over this d. Breeding suggests a fair chance of taking to the surface and if so doing must be in with a shout on 3rd run after a rest
6 SCARLET BERRY - Azzie. Won well on debut over c/d but that was not the strongest of maidens and no franking of the form. Can't be discounted but will find this much tougher
7 SCARLETTO - Beaten 7.5l by EB when returning from a 25 week rest and could come on for that run but think others are stronger here
Small field but tricky with a couple of sand debutants who if taking to the surface could easily win and a couple with decent c form. My gut says go with Flitter and for these purposes that is who I'll go with but unlikely to have a bet on this one... FLITTER x SCATTERED IMAGE X TRAVEL UP FRONT
RACE 3 - 1200 MAIDEN
1 STROKE ONE - A Laird. Respectable silver on c debut over this d lto but it was a weak maiden. Usually thereabouts, has 4 top 3s in 6 d runs and a good draw in 3 and must have a decent chance in a weak looking field
2 FLOATING MOON - Sand debut. Strydom up but nothing in the breeding says to me he will be a definite taker to the surface and turf form uninspiring. Watching brief
3 FOR YOUR EYES ONLY - 0-1-1 in 11 c runs and only one additional bronze in 28 career runs. Better under Khumalo over 1000 last time and although, on collateral formlines, SO would seem to (probably) have his measure, FYEO stumbled at the start in that run and Khumalo retaining the ride over longer makes her of much greater appeal than would otherwise have been the case
4 DAYLAMITE - Debut. Nothing in breeding to indicate he will enjoy the surface and drawn widest of all will make it difficult even if he does
5 VELVET FINISH - Debut. Nothing in breeding to indicate he will enjoy the surface and trainer seemingly not in the best of form
6 WOODROSE - 3rd and 4th (1450) in his two c runs but they were in weak fields and he was beaten 6.5l and 10.25l respectively. Can't be completely discounted but from a wide draw of 11 I think he is unlikely to be victorious
7 IM NO MICKEY MOUSE - No top 3s in 5 c runs and 6.5l behind SO in only d attempt. Slow away then and better drawn here but a form reversal is still hard to see
8 PAGE ONE - Sand debut. Comes off a 13 week rest. Nothing in breeding to say he will be a sand-lover, shown little on the turf, trainer form not hot and despite a good draw and appie taking weight off, hard to see him being the first past the post
9 KEEP MY PROMISE - Sand debut. Two poor turf runs but breeding suggests a good chance he will like he surface. Drawn wide in 13 but, again, if the 50/1 predicted by Winning Form, or better is available, R1 e/w will be chanced
10 ROYAL QUEST - Beaten 10.5l on c debut in a weak maiden over 1450. Drop in trip may help and ran a reasonable 2.25l second on debut at Bingo (not the strongest field again but 5th and 7th have won since). Has appie taking weight off and from pole position could be a joker in the pack but not one I would be on with any confidence
11 SEATTLE RYTHM - Pettigrew/MVR. Faded on debut over 1000 here but could come on from that run with combo and breeding suggesting she may do ok on the surface and a decent draw in 4
12 SHINGA - Magner/Chambers. Sand debut. Nothing in two turf runs or in the breeding to indicate she will take to the surface but an ok draw in 6 and could possibly improve given the combo. Maybe R1 e/w if a mammoth price!
13 STEPHANIE ANN - Reserve. 10l behind SO on d when well drawn which is not the case here. Another who may improve but a form reversal is hard to envisage
14 SEEKING SEATTLE - Magner. Reserve. Breeding suggests could well be better on the surface than her two efforts to date have shown. Blinkers are removed which may help but the wide draw will not
A poor looking field but with a couple of hopefully big priced ones which may be worth risking R1 e/w. With little confidence... FOR YOUR EYES ONLY x STROKE ONE x ROYAL QUEST
RACE 4 - 1000 PROGRESS PLATE
1 JIMMI CHOO - Sand debut. Good turf form and a big runner if taking to the surface with Brown up (of 6 Erasmus stable entries) but breeding suggests that taking to the surface is questionable. Likely to be a short price and as such no more than a watching brief for me this time
2 NORMANZ - C Laird/Strydom. Sand debut. Well beaten in two Grade 1s following two good wins but another where a liking for the sand is far from guaranteed. Watching brief
3 VELVET VERONA - Spies/Chambers. 1-1-1 in 3 c runs with the win over this d and the 2nd and 3rd (beaten over 6l) winning subsequently. Seemingly has a goof draw in 10 and possibly the strongest of those with c experience though somewhat disappointing last time out over 1200
4 DREAM LEADER - Beaten 1.75l by Estancia on only c run over this d (Estancia finished 1l behind VV over 1200 on this c and VV has also convincingly beaten DL on turf) ). rested 12 weeks and has a low draw. Can't be completely discounted but seemingly not stable elect (Erasmus), unlikely
5 GREASEPAINT - Magner/Khumalo. Sand debut. Convincing maiden winner over this d though perhaps not the strongest field. Drawn low but strong combo and breeding suggests a fair chance he will take to the sand
6 HIGHLAND LAD - 1-0-2 in 7 c runs but only broke out of the maidens at the 13th attempt last time out in a WR. Finished 4ls adrift of VV in the run behind Dynamite over 1200. Perhaps better over this d but work to do to reverse the form from a low draw
7 MIGHTY VAR - Goosen. Sand debut. 1st and 2nd on turf at 1/4 and 1/4. Again, breeding suggests that taking to the surface is questionable, watching brief
8 SHANNON'S BOY - Well beaten both c runs and beaten 14l by Estancia. Appears not to be stable elect (Erasmus) and hard to see form reversals
9 TIGER TERRITORY - Won penultimate lto over c/d finishing 2.25l ahead of SB but prior to that beaten 6.5l by VV. Seemingly not stable elect (Erasmus) and on face value hard to see form reversals. However, the second c run showed big improvement, finishing 8.25l infront of HL, in a time that was 2.37 seconds quicker than when behind VV. With a good draw in 9 could well represent decent e/w value
10 LORD DUBOIS - Beaten 4.75l into 5th of 15 lto over c/d when, perhaps significantly, drawn 1. All 4 who finished ahead had won their previous outing, HL 3ls further back. Had 4 turf runs between but, on debut, on this c was finishing well when beaten only 0.75l by Estancia with HL and DL. Seemingly not stable elect (Erasmus) but with the appie taking a little weight off then based on Estancia runs and at the weights, again could represent some value from a good draw in 11
11 STYLING - Appears to not be stable elect (Erasmus), well beaten on both c runs since maiden win and drawn 1. Hard to see him making the required improvement
Another where the sand debutants require an element of guesswork. I'm going to take a chance and brass them all and go with two of the (seemingly) lesser lights from the Erasmus stable in Tiger Territory and Lord Dubois with the former my main choice and possibly the best value in the race. TIGER TERRITORY x LORD DUBOIS x VELVET VERONA
RACE 5 - 1600 H'CAP-86
1 MARCHING BAND - Has a 1-2-0 record in 4 c visits but overall has only one 3rd in 8 d attempts, though that was his last try at the d and penultimate d run was beaten only 2.8l. Not been to the c in over a year, did disappoint at Bingo in his penultimate run but that was perhaps over too much ground. Usually competitive and from a good draw in 2 has a chance
2 SPECTROSCOPE - 3 wins and 2 3rds in 8 c runs and 2-0-1 in 5 over c/d. Good win under Gunter lto over 1800 and consistent for the most part, likely to be thereabouts again
3 ACES HIGH - 3 wins in 4 c runs and 2/3 over c/d. Won last two convincingly under MVR over 1600 and 1450. The second from the run over 1600 won well next time out. The 1450 field was a strong one and the way he won there makes him the one to beat for me
4 ROCK THE COUNTRY - Woodruff. Beaten 7.5l by Spectroscope on c debut at this d but that was 2nd run after a rest and is now 10.5kgs better off. On his 2nd visit, lto, he was beaten 3.5l by Velddrifter (who was 9l behind AH last time) and 1.25l ahead of Where's My Chop (who was 16l behind AH last time). Times of last runs for RTC and AH are comparable but the d's seem to give AH a strong upper hand
5 ENCHANTED GUEST - Following a 12 week rest was 3rd on c debut lto, beaten 3.5l by Pylon over 1450. Was slow away that day and running on and if not suffering 2nd run after the rest should come on for it, has PS up and a good draw in 3 and in with a chance
6 CARYL'S LAW - 2 wins and a silver in 7 c/d runs but has not been within 8ls of the winner in her last 8 outings. Has the 1 draw but looks well held by some here and very unlikely
7 MUTHIAH PILLAI - Yet to place in 3 c runs, on 2nd run after a rest and on collateral form looks well held
8 NIGHT EMBERS - Also yet to place in 3 c runs, on 2nd run after a rest and on collateral form looks well held
9 MCALLISTOR - Has 3 wins in 8 c/d runs but was beaten 24l by Spectro in penultimate run. Returns from a 12 week rest and though he should have no chance, he is one of those inconsistent horses a punter could well do without as he occasionally puts in a run way above his usual, if you can afford it put a small saver on just in case he chooses to really p1ss a lot of punters off again
Strong on Aces High here after his impressive last run. Think a few in a with chance though and as said, McAllistor could make us all cry. ACES HIGH x ROCK THE COUNTRY x SPECTROSCOPE
RACE 6 - 1600 H'CAP-65
1 MISS K - Goosen. 3 top 3s in 6 visits including 2 wins in 3 c/d attempts when drawn poorly. Ignoring the latest when reported not strding, has finished 1st twice and 2nd twice in her last 4 runs. Drawn much better today than last few. In penultimate beat Olympic Spring by 0.35l and is now 3kgs better off. Good chance but slight concern that having been off 8 weeks, might not quite be at her sharpest
2 OLYMPIC SPRING - 6 top 3s in 12 visits including a 2nd and 3rd in 4 c/d attempts. Consistent for the most part and was beaten only 0.35l by Miss K 5 runs back but is now 3kgs worse off. However, is also better drawn (as is MK) and Striker is up rather Pretorious. Good chance
3 SILVALINE - Woodruff. Sand debut. Appie takes a little weight off but breeding suggests a liking for the sand is far from guaranteed, drawn in 9. Watching brief
4 SUMMER SARI - Has 5 top 3s in 19 c runs including a silver at the d but looks well held by Olympic Spring in a number of runs and beaten 4.15l by Miss K over c/d. Has a wide draw and trainer seems not to be firing currently, should not reverse the form on the evidence available!
5 TIZASMARTDOLLAR - Has 3 top 3s in 8 c runs including a win at the d but looks well held by Olympic Spring in a number of runs and beaten 9l by Miss K over c/d. Trainer seems not to be firing currently and should not reverse the form on the evidence available!
6 OLYMPIC GOAL - Spies/Chambers. Well beaten on both c visits including a 7,5l defeat to Miss K with only a 2.5kg swing in his favour. Recent turf form has been poor and not for me despite a combo to be respected
7 SWEET CANDY - Pettigrew/MVR. Well behind on both sand starts including last time out when beaten 14l over 1450. Has a poor draw again and will have to show a lot of improvement to feature
8 BESAME MUCHO - Although only one 3rd in 3 c runs those were over 1000 and 1200 and she is probably better suited to further. Attempted this d only twice on the turf but only beaten 0.6l and 0.75l in those runs. Inconclusive as to whether she appreciates the surface but was 3rd last time in a not so bad field over 1200. Has the 1 draw here and depending on the price, could represent some e/w value
9 SEATTLE FAIRY - Well beaten in 3 runs at the c since winning maiden. Has been running over sprint d's and takes a big step up to 1600 here. Appie up giving her a light mass, good draw in 3 and if she stays then not without hope. Depending on price the idiot might like to have a sneaky a couple of rand e/w on her
10 KAILANI - In good form with 3 wins in the last 4 turf runs, with the only defeat coming over much further. Prior to that visited this c 3 times without finishing in the top 3, with her last attempt a 3.75l defeat by MK over c/d and now is 2kgs better off. Likely to be a short price but not for me until she proves herself on the surface, as it stands currently I see no reason to say she will definitely reverse form with MK
11 ROMEO'S FAN CLUB - Good draw in 2 but no top 3s in 5 c visits, only won maiden at the 30th attempt in a WR race 3 runs back and beaten a minimum of 7.5l since. Stable appear not to be at their best at the moment, not for me
Interesting battle Miss K and Olympic Spring, with PS likely to make OS the shorter of the two I see MK as potentially the better value but the 8 weeks away is a slight concern. Seattle fairy could shock if the d is not a problem but in the hope that the price is fair, I think the best e/w value might be with Besame Mucho from a good draw and a d that seems to suit. BESAME MUCHO x MISS K x OLYMPIC SPRING x SEATTLE FAIRY
RACE 7 - 1200 STAKES
1 FOLLOW THE PIPER - Tarry/Delpech. Excellent 4-3-0 record in 7 c/d runs and seems to me this could be her ideal trip based on recent runs over further, though it could be that she is simply not at her best at the moment, must have a definite chance with the c/d record
2 FORMATION - SJG. Only out of the top 3 once in 15 c runs but goes this shorter trip for the first time. Hard to be sure that the drop will suit and is also on 2nd run after a rest. Impossible to ignore with such a c record but as with FTP possibly she is not at her best at the moment. Questions to be answered for me but no surprise if she wins
3 KINEMATIC COUNTESS - Magner/Gunter. 3 wins and 2 seconds in 10 c runs. Very good silver at Bingo lto when just failing to catch Mr Vindaloo. Slight concern that she has just one third 4 d attempts but has performed respectably over 1160 on the turf
4 TOBE'S LASS - Spies/Chambers. For the most part has been extremely consistent this year buit has run the majority of her races at Bingo where her record is much better than the 1 silver in 12 runs at this venue. With the opposition today and coming off a 12 week rest it is difficult to see her troubling the judge
5 TAYBA - MDK. Won on both visits to the c. Beat Ferrari Dawn by just 0.75l over this d in penultimate run and is now 3kgs worse off but seemed to improve lto when a much more convincing winner over 1000. For me, quite possibly still on the up and the one to beat
6 PRINCESS ALBERTA - Spies. Seemingly not stable elect, no top 3s in 4 c runs and beaten 16.5l by Tayba three runs back over 1000, has a good draw in 2 but hard to see her winning in this company
7 VELVET JAR - Probably best at this d. Although the overall c/d record of 3 wins and a 2nd in 13 runs does not look too special, that stat is much improved when just looking at her last three over c/d... 2-1-0. Not without a chance but from the 9 draw it may be too much of ask in this field
8 VAN LOVEREN - Won maiden convincingly on the c three runs back over 1000 and the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th and 7th have all exited the maidens since. This is a big jump in class though and even with Khumalo up is likely to be a step too far coming off a 20 week rest
9 FERRARI DAWN - Woodruff. Beaten 0.75l by Tayba over this d lto and is now 3kgs better off but it may well be Tayba has come on since then. Has to have a chance based on that run but has the widest draw here and that will make it tougher
10 ABU MASHAR - Course debut. Good recent runs at Bingo and trainer in a little form , 1 draw should help as will the light weight with the appie on but I suspect she is aiming a little too high here
It seems strange to say it with their exceptional records but I am just not convinced about Follow The Piper and Formation at the moment and it could be that Tayba, despite being on the "dreaded" 4-timer can take advantage (apologies maestro! lol). Other contenders too and should be an interesting race. TAYBA x FOLLOW THE PIPER x FORMATION
RACE 8 - 1200 STAKES
1 SNOWDON - Sand debut. Breeding suggests a fair chance that he will take to the surface and if so doing must have a decent chance. Latest was after a 12 week so should have come on for that and has been beaten by more than 2.25l only once in his last eight starts. 1-1-1 in 4 d runs .
2 UNCLE TOMMY - Very good 3-2-1 record in 6 c runs and though yet to go over c/d he has a 5-4-0 overall record at the d. That said, he has been campaigned over further, with one exception, this year, and it remains to be seen if this d may prove too sharp for him now in this company. Definite chance though if not and he has the benefit of pole and an appie taking weight off who has won twice and been 2nd twice in his 4 times aboard
3 ACROSS THE ICE - Tarry/Delpech. 10 top 3s in 15 c runs but outstanding over c/d with a 4-1-0 in 5 tries.
4 STORM SURF - 5 wins and a silver (only d attempt) in 7 c runs. Won last 3 over 1450 but another who might find this a little sharp, especially from a wide draw of 9
5 CONTADOR - C Laird/Strydom. Dismissed opposition by 9.25l on only c run. Much better opposition here though and a tricky draw in 8 but has won with Striker aboard previously and if overcoming the draw is in with a shout.
6 APPROACHABLE - Woodruff. Decent 3rd on only c visit and appie takes a little weight off and generally a very consistent performer. But, rested 22 weeks after reporting lame from his last run and together with the 12 draw is likely to find this difficult
7 ASTRO NEWS - C Laird. Well beaten on only c run over 1450 and questions remain whether he is suited to the surface. Striker on trainer's other runner. Good draw and placed in all 3 d runs but not likely
8 TIPO TINTO - Drier/MVR. Sand debut. 6 top 3s in 11 d runs but nothing in the breeding to suggest that he will definitely be c suited. Chance if so doing
9 YUKON GOLD - Azzie, 1st and 3rd in 3 c runs with the win coming lto when crushing a decent field in beating Escape Clause into a 9.25l runner-up. Up against stronger and a tough draw of 10 but that win came off an 11 week rest, has a light mass and an overall 4-1-1 d record
10 NICE STRIDE - Good win last time out on sand debut but up against stronger from the widest draw will be a big ask
11 HERE COMES BILLY - Sand debut. Pretty sure the trainer was saying this horse was being aimed for this race as had shown very good work on the sand. Assuming that is correct, and the breeding seems to supports the possibility of enjoying the surface, and with his recent very good defeat of Snowdon on the turf, he could well be a big runner. The concern is the 11 draw.
12 EUGENES - Azzie. 5 top 3s in 9 c runs all over further. Drop in trip may suit and from the 5 box not without a chance
13 BENBOW - Reserve. Beaten 2.25l by NS over 1000 last time out and drawn 13 and with only 2 silvers from 7 c/d runs likely to find it tough if getting a run
14 ESCAPE CLAUSE - Reserve, Convincingly beaten by YG lto and although came off a 27 week rest and has a good draw in 2, hard to see a reversal of that form
Clearly plenty decent horses and plenty in with a chance. I'm going to risk believing the stable's words and hope Here Comes Billy proves to be a very good sand performer... HERE COMES BILLY x YUKON GOLD x ACROSS THE ICE
RACE 9 - MAIDEN 1200
1 KALAMATA BABY - Pettigrew/MVR. Creditable 4th on sand debut lto over 1450 when drawn wide and starting slowly. Drops in trip and perhaps a little temperamental but if neither an issue then has a chance from the 7 box
2 CLUB LANE - Sand debut. Breeding indicates that he may enjoy the surface and has Brown up but a big drop in trip following 10 week rest and drawn 13
3 MOGOO'S GOLD - Magner/Gunter. Sand debut. Recent turf form has been poor but breeding indicates that he may enjoy the surface and is on 3rd run after a rest. Drawn 10 which won't help but maybe worth R1 e/w if the price permits
4 ROYAL STOCK - no top 3s in 5 c runs and though well drawn in 2 will need to do more before I get involved
5 NINJA WARRIOR - Sand debut. Turf form not the best recently and seemingly not stable elect but breeding indicates that he may enjoy the surface and from the 3 box may be another worthy of an R1 e/w if the price is big enough
6 SUB SHAAWES - Sand debut. Better turf run at the 3rd attempt and a little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface. A tricky 9 draw but Khumalo up and has a chance if liking the sand
7 BIG LION - Well beaten last two over 1800, big drop in trip but best run was over 1450 and PS retains the ride. Expensive for me last time and a watching brief this time
8 JUDGEANDJURY - Sand debut. Not the worst turf form and a little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface. Drawn in pole and appie takes a little weight off, has a chance if liking the sand
9 DON VITO - SJG. Well beaten both sand runs over 1000 but did manage 3rd last time and can't be totally discounted from the 4 box
10 JIMMYS LIGHTNING - Sand debut. Shown little on turf and seemingly not stable elect but a little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface. Drawn widest of all but another worthy of R1 e/w if a decent enough price
11 ANTONIUS CHARM - Debut. Nothing confirms to me that he will definitely take to the surface, stable quiet and drawn 12, not likely
12 PERFECT TRIP - Debut. A little in the breeding suggests that he may enjoy the surface and appie takes weight off with a good draw of 5 but trainer form a concern. Plenty ticks so yet again a possible R1 e/w venture depending on price
13 KING BULL - Magner. Reserve. Sand debut. Achieved little in 3 turf runs but a little in the breeding suggests that he might take to the surface.
14 RISING TIGER - Reserve. Beaten 35l on c debut over 1600. Big drop in trip but trainer form poor, did little on the gturf and wide draw in 11. Highly unlikely
Plenty potentials but not a lot who look very likely... KALAMATA BABY x NINJA WARRIOR x JUDGEANDJURY
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- shrek
-
- New Member
-
- Thanks: 0
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
Very nice preview, thanks. (tu)
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Frodo
-
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 13118
- Thanks: 3032
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
Fantastic stuff as always, E - plenty of food for thought (tu)
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- heinrich
-
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 2534
- Thanks: 375
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Deeno
-
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 8174
- Thanks: 483
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
Brilliant Stuff.......Englander.
How do you make time to do such a comprehensive preview.
Compliments mate!
How do you make time to do such a comprehensive preview.
Compliments mate!
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Pirhobeta
-
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 24740
- Thanks: 1600
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
agra Wrote:
> Brilliant Stuff.......Englander.
>
> How do you make time to do such a comprehensive
> preview.
>
> Compliments mate!
agree....(tu)
> Brilliant Stuff.......Englander.
>
> How do you make time to do such a comprehensive
> preview.
>
> Compliments mate!
agree....(tu)
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- SirPuntalot
-
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 2131
- Thanks: 150
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
Shot englander always a pleasure reading ur stuff.
Race 1 french lover been supported in frm 16's could make winning sand debut.currently 8's on hollywood
Race 9 antonius pius first timer.
Supported into 8/1 from 25/1.
Could be anything but drawn wide.
Small e/w double can't hurt.
Small jackpot for the day.
3,5,9
1,2,4,5,8,9,10
1,3,5,7,9,10
1,2,3,4,5,7,11
Race 1 french lover been supported in frm 16's could make winning sand debut.currently 8's on hollywood
Race 9 antonius pius first timer.
Supported into 8/1 from 25/1.
Could be anything but drawn wide.
Small e/w double can't hurt.
Small jackpot for the day.
3,5,9
1,2,4,5,8,9,10
1,3,5,7,9,10
1,2,3,4,5,7,11
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Loopy Logic
-
- New Member
-
- Thanks: 0
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
Thx for the preview Englander,
Thought I will use your thread to add my software ratings mate (so technically I did not look at the card LOL... to see how they go... note they are still work in progress so I am only ranking the 1st 4 every race as they come out:
Race # Horse No. Horse Total Form Total R Form Total S Form Super Rule Total % Total Intent
1 5 BANJO BAY 16.5 5.5 11 100.0% 3
1 7 HOBB'S FLIGHT 13.5 11.5 2 50.0% 7
1 1 AJUBA 12.5 7.5 5 25.0% 2
1 8 THE BUCKET BOY 11.5 5.5 6 50.0% 3
2 5 TRAVEL UP FRONT 27 13 14 75.0% 7
2 3 ELEGANT BAY 20 14 6 87.5% 4
2 4 PINTARI (AUS) 14 8 6 75.0% 5
2 6 SCARLET BERRY 13 7 6 87.5% 0
3 1 STROKE ONE 21.5 13.5 8 75.0% 7
3 2 FLOATING MOON 17 5 12 62.5% 6
3 6 WOODROSE 16 13 3 25.0% 5
3 3 FOR YOUR EYES ONLY 12.5 4.5 8 87.5% 2
4 1 JIMMI CHOO 25 17 8 87.5% 8
4 2 NORMANZ 20.5 10.5 10 50.0% 2
4 3 VELVET VERONA 17 15 2 62.5% 1
4 8 SHANNON'S BOY 17 14 3 50.0% 9
5 3 ACES HIGH 20 17 3 87.5% 5
5 6 CARYL'S LAW 18 9 9 62.5% 5
5 7 MUTHIAH PILLAI 16 7 9 75.0% 4
5 9 MCALLISTOR 14 7 7 50.0% 4
6 10 KAILANI 22.5 16.5 6 87.5% 7
6 2 OLYMPIC SPRING 19.5 8.5 11 100.0% 4
6 1 MISS K 17.5 13.5 4 62.5% 5
6 5 TIZASMARTDOLLAR 13 10 3 62.5% 8
7 5 TAYBA 26.5 19.5 7 87.5% 5
7 8 VAN LOVEREN 22 14 8 62.5% 7
7 1 FOLLOW THE PIPER 15 4 11 87.5% 1
7 2 FORMATION 13 10 3 75.0% 5
8 5 CONTADOR 25 13 12 50.0% 8
8 11 HERE COMES BILLY 18 12 6 75.0% 7
8 3 ACROSS THE ICE 18 9 9 75.0% 4
8 14 ESCAPE CLAUSE 16 14 2 50.0% 6
9 7 BIG LION 18.5 8.5 10 62.5% 5
9 9 DON VITO 15.5 9.5 6 75.0% 4
9 1 KALAMATA BABY 15.5 8.5 7 75.0% 2
9 8 JUDGEANDJURY 10.5 5.5 5 50.0% 2
Regards,
Loopy
Thought I will use your thread to add my software ratings mate (so technically I did not look at the card LOL... to see how they go... note they are still work in progress so I am only ranking the 1st 4 every race as they come out:
Race # Horse No. Horse Total Form Total R Form Total S Form Super Rule Total % Total Intent
1 5 BANJO BAY 16.5 5.5 11 100.0% 3
1 7 HOBB'S FLIGHT 13.5 11.5 2 50.0% 7
1 1 AJUBA 12.5 7.5 5 25.0% 2
1 8 THE BUCKET BOY 11.5 5.5 6 50.0% 3
2 5 TRAVEL UP FRONT 27 13 14 75.0% 7
2 3 ELEGANT BAY 20 14 6 87.5% 4
2 4 PINTARI (AUS) 14 8 6 75.0% 5
2 6 SCARLET BERRY 13 7 6 87.5% 0
3 1 STROKE ONE 21.5 13.5 8 75.0% 7
3 2 FLOATING MOON 17 5 12 62.5% 6
3 6 WOODROSE 16 13 3 25.0% 5
3 3 FOR YOUR EYES ONLY 12.5 4.5 8 87.5% 2
4 1 JIMMI CHOO 25 17 8 87.5% 8
4 2 NORMANZ 20.5 10.5 10 50.0% 2
4 3 VELVET VERONA 17 15 2 62.5% 1
4 8 SHANNON'S BOY 17 14 3 50.0% 9
5 3 ACES HIGH 20 17 3 87.5% 5
5 6 CARYL'S LAW 18 9 9 62.5% 5
5 7 MUTHIAH PILLAI 16 7 9 75.0% 4
5 9 MCALLISTOR 14 7 7 50.0% 4
6 10 KAILANI 22.5 16.5 6 87.5% 7
6 2 OLYMPIC SPRING 19.5 8.5 11 100.0% 4
6 1 MISS K 17.5 13.5 4 62.5% 5
6 5 TIZASMARTDOLLAR 13 10 3 62.5% 8
7 5 TAYBA 26.5 19.5 7 87.5% 5
7 8 VAN LOVEREN 22 14 8 62.5% 7
7 1 FOLLOW THE PIPER 15 4 11 87.5% 1
7 2 FORMATION 13 10 3 75.0% 5
8 5 CONTADOR 25 13 12 50.0% 8
8 11 HERE COMES BILLY 18 12 6 75.0% 7
8 3 ACROSS THE ICE 18 9 9 75.0% 4
8 14 ESCAPE CLAUSE 16 14 2 50.0% 6
9 7 BIG LION 18.5 8.5 10 62.5% 5
9 9 DON VITO 15.5 9.5 6 75.0% 4
9 1 KALAMATA BABY 15.5 8.5 7 75.0% 2
9 8 JUDGEANDJURY 10.5 5.5 5 50.0% 2
Regards,
Loopy
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- louisg
-
- Elite Member
-
- Posts: 1766
- Thanks: 682
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
Excellent, Englander !
Mighty Jet - he is still heavy and blowing at track and appears he will need badly. We need to see or prep for Sophomore on 28th. Works OK on the course but on this course, with some, only a race will tell, but if he finishes within 5 lengths today, then I will have a "one for the ABC boys " in a few weeks time....
Miss K - bruised her heel in last run. Is well, but how do you oppose no.10 at the weights ? And then there's Striker on no.6...
Hope this helps a bit
Mighty Jet - he is still heavy and blowing at track and appears he will need badly. We need to see or prep for Sophomore on 28th. Works OK on the course but on this course, with some, only a race will tell, but if he finishes within 5 lengths today, then I will have a "one for the ABC boys " in a few weeks time....
Miss K - bruised her heel in last run. Is well, but how do you oppose no.10 at the weights ? And then there's Striker on no.6...
Hope this helps a bit
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Madji
-
- New Member
-
- Thanks: 0
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
All the best LouisG ... I shall take careful note of Mighty Jet's performance today

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mr hawaii
-
- Platinum Member
-
- Posts: 20062
- Thanks: 2653
Re: Re: Vaal Sand jottings - Saturday 31/08
11 years 9 months ago
louisg Wrote:
> Excellent, Englander !
>
> Mighty Jet - he is still heavy and blowing at
> track and appears he will need badly. We need to
> see or prep for Sophomore on 28th. Works OK on
> the course but on this course, with some, only a
> race will tell, but if he finishes within 5
> lengths today, then I will have a "one for the ABC
> boys " in a few weeks time....
>
> Miss K - bruised her heel in last run. Is well,
> but how do you oppose no.10 at the weights ? And
> then there's Striker on no.6...
>
> Hope this helps a bit
Mighty Var ?
> Excellent, Englander !
>
> Mighty Jet - he is still heavy and blowing at
> track and appears he will need badly. We need to
> see or prep for Sophomore on 28th. Works OK on
> the course but on this course, with some, only a
> race will tell, but if he finishes within 5
> lengths today, then I will have a "one for the ABC
> boys " in a few weeks time....
>
> Miss K - bruised her heel in last run. Is well,
> but how do you oppose no.10 at the weights ? And
> then there's Striker on no.6...
>
> Hope this helps a bit
Mighty Var ?
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
Time to create page: 0.116 seconds