Speed ratings for those main contenders with previous Vaal Sand form –
With the 3 x 1000m races on 27 July producing the following ‘draw’ results –
13 ran : 12 – 11 – 13 – 3
16 ran : 14 – 11 – 13 – 4
16 ran : 13 - 6 - 15 - 16
Looks as though high barrier draws could have an influence in races 1 and 4…this pattern has been gathering momentum since May.
Race 1 MDN 1000m
84…Mr. Alfonso 4/1
82…Global Talk 11/2
82…Salute the Sun 14/1
80…Selazar 8/1
79…Handsome Dancer 25/1
79…Tornado Twister 25/1
??…Gems a Plenty 4/1
??…King of Magic 33/1
Mr. Alfonso looks to ‘figure’ here (although possibly better over 1200m), well drawn and trainer in fair VS form. Would be more interested in Salute the Sun from a better draw whilst the ‘untried sand runners’ Gems a Plenty and King of Magic are considered. Tornado Twister a definite inclusion in quartets.
Race 2 MR78 1800m
93…Olympic Spring 9/2
88…Lady Julia 18/10
86…Beautiful Dawn 10/1
85…Tresco 3/1
85…Tizasmartdollar 25/1
Olympic Spring’s last run ‘out of character’, if forgiving, she seems well-in here.
Lady Julia has been consistent and obviously can feature here.
Race 3 MDN-F 1450m
75…Cerise Silk 9/2
75…Woodrose 33/10
72…Radiant Wisdom 20/1
67…Royal Taska 5/1
65…French Approval 20/1
56…Hunt the Stars 20/1
Cerise Silk has been ultra consistent in her last 3 runs…whether this is good enough here has to be discovered. Woodrose performed well in first sand run as did Royal Taska from a lousy draw. The Radiant Wisdom figure is from last year yet if she stills has her ‘ability’ she can upset. Upset potential here.
Race 4 MR67 1000m
92…Gold Prospector 5/2
90…Jetsons 28/10
90…Victory Call 20/1
Look no further than the top 3 as the others are rated 5 lengths inferior.
Accounting for ‘high’ favourable draws the vote has to go with Jetsons although the price is skinny for a gelding with such erratic form. Victory Call only needs to repeat last run to feature here.
Race 5 MR76F 1200m
99…Love Vivien 1/1
95…Jolly Wood 10/1
94…Sing the Blues 8/1
93…Twilight Elva 10/1
92…Velvet Jar 12/1
90…Weekend Special 10/1
Love Vivien looks, and is priced, the days banker. Draw 12 (or 10 if reserve runners are scratched) is a concern, the next 3, all well drawn, look the main challengers on ratings and as the betting suggests.
Race 6 MR78 1800m
99…Spectroscope 7/1
97…Hunter Valley 7/2
94…Rashad 3/1
91…King’s Joy 7/2
90…Blue Concorde 7/1
90…Paintyourface 8/1
Spectroscope, back on the sand, looks good value in this competitive contest. Hunter Valley consistent (except June run) and Rashad was impressive on sand debut however its Spectroscope for me!
Race 7 MR68 1600m
94…White Squall 4/1
94…Ligeti 4/1
91…Giro Jet 4/1
91…Aces High 8/1
89…Kudos 11/2
89…King Scott 12/1
Always thought White Squall had the potential for better things…yet seems a perpetual ‘placer’. Ligeti and Giro Jet have good current form, tricky race.
Race 8 MDN 1600m
74…Nick of Time 12/1
70…Atlas Grove 10/1
70…Border Patrol 33/1
70…Hobb’s Flight 10/1
69…Sir Swarovski 15/10
64…Sengwa 8/1
Crystal clear that the 15/10 about Sir Swarovski is not ‘sparkling’, even though this is a ‘weak’ field. Nick of Time looks good value (ignore lto) and also Border Patrol, whilst Sengwa looks interesting in a race that has upset potential.
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