Vaal 18 Sept 2025

8 races
Race 1 Charliko 1.1 million from the Stenger yard. Mme Huntress from MDK yard. Current favorite at 2/1 Both Vercingetrix babies Tarry sends out  Villarrica for Drakenstein. related to Pacaya 
Race 2 Miami Mountain MDK fav at 1/1 Trajanus Tarry gelded and Wayne debut run for the wernars.
Race 3 Poor field Ethical fav at 1/1 but not strong form been expensive to follow
Race 4 My Lukcy charm MDK 5/10 look the right one
Race 5 Echo Check won really well on debut 16/10 but lots in with a shout
Race 6 Pistol Pete 9/2 been gelded. I cant seem him getting beat. 
Race 7 Competative . Care forgot 10/1 could be a decent bet
Race 8 Versace on Track 3/1 . but competative field

 

COMPUTAFORM: az-pgl-dsi-ag-cdn-aztabstorage.4racing.c.../VAAL@2025.09.18.pdf

Thoughts ....

R1: Mostly first-timers, but for the BP I'd include Willow Lady and Phuti (who is trading at single figures) ....

R2: Find it hard to spilt Miami Mountain and Trajanus - jockey arrangements and the betting drift indicates that Wayne would need it ...

R3: Not as straight-forward imo; Ethical obvious chance, but has been beaten the last 4 times when fancied; Frangipani looks held by Ethical; Blood of Eden improved last run, while Nkwenkwezi can easily beat these on best form; interesting market support for Lucky Chance

R4: My Lucky Charm should prove hard to beat if he gets the trip; only Majalun and Trip to Peace looks capable of upsetting the 7/20 favorite

R5: Echo Check all the rage after his easy debut win, but he has been given quite a hefty mark and on a line through Amandla Ngawhetu there should not be that much between Palace Attack and EC, while Eight Hats could also prove dangerous; Page Boy once beat subsequent multiple winner Chieftan's Shield by 6 lengths so could also be a lunatic inclusion

R6: This looks competitive depending on the race-readiness of the competitors; early betting support indicates that Pistol Pete may be ready after his gelding, but not easy as suggested by the 'best-weighted' column 

R7: Francilien just failed to give Pretty Persuasive 8 kgs, but has been beaten all ends up by Francine (might now need more ground) in Nov last year over this track and trip. Komati River could also prove dangerous with the apprentice allowance, while Raigning Rubies comfortably holds Valieva and could upset

R8: Versace on the Track gave the useful Anchorage 3 kgs and a beating, so looks fair value at this rating; Malibu is finding market support, so could prove dangerous (but the draw might be an issue); best outsider at these ratings imo Whirlybird

Enjoy 

 

CHARIKLO

RED SECRET - Best Bet

Will try a small eachway on Palace script , swinger's with red secret 

Trajanus
Epidaurus upset place chance

SW

NKWENKWEZI

Trajanus - lovely grey horse. wins next time

Lucky chance eachway for me 

All On Red - disturb