TURFFONTEIN THURSDAY 14 JULY 2022

I think Cap Estel is worth firing at 25s or E/W.

Back in a competitive rating race.

Race 4 - CHOPSTICKS
Race 5 - ZAZU
Race 7 - MERCURY RISING

Looks a punter-friendly card - after all 4 odds-on favorites in the first 4 races ..... thoughts:

R1: From the betting, looks like the first-timer Vivacious Spirit is past the post - especially as the raced runners look very moderate

R2: Drop of Time imo too short in the market - debutante Mr Bodacious finding support so could be the right one

R3: Imo the favorite also beatable; Positive Attitude good form before rest and despite a wide draw could go close; first-timer Atticus Finch could be anything

R4: Nyali Beach good debut and jockey arrangement seems to suggest that she is better than Bird in Space - I'm including both though; Chopsticks in form but no star

R5: Tough to find the right one in this handicap; Aryaam disappointing last two runs, but on previous form could feature at big odds - but this is wide open imo

R6: Another competitive handicap; I do think Bellevarde is the right one from the in-form Kind Judy; Un Deux Trois gets the allowance and could be competitive at the weights

R7: Mercury Rising generously priced imo and should prove hard to beat at the weights

R8: For me I fancy Bloomington form pole position - danger could be Rock of Africa who has dropped in the ratings and runs well this track and trip

Enjoy

SCABIOSA fixed 4 places
GREAT TIMES places
EYJAFJALLAJOKULL should win
NYALI BEACH win
ZAZU ew
PRAIRIE FALCON ew
MERCURY RISING first 2
two outsiders for exotics WAQAAS - blinkers back after 12 runs - won multiple races with them on.
TIMBAVATI RIVER - much better on the turn as it keeps his head straight.

I like the card and hope the connections of
EYJAFJALLAJOKULL make a nice speech 😉👍🙏

Great ride by Gavin 👏