Entries Hollywood Gold Challenge

GOLD CHALLENGE (Grade 1)
0 Belgarion Justin Snaith 130
0 Catch Twentytwo Paul Peter 123
0 Chimichuri Run Sean Tarry 125
0 Cirillo Sean Tarry 120
0 Jet Dark Justin Snaith 130
0 Lady Of Steel J A Janse van Vuuren 111
0 Rainbow Bridge Eric Sands 134
0 Russian Rock Dean Kannemeyer 119
0 Seeking The Stars Vaughan Marshall 121
0 Sovereign Spirit Candice Bass-Robinson 124
0 Trip To Africa Duncan Howells 114

Hope we run a good race Frodo 🤞😉

Dave Scott wrote: Hope we run a good race Frodo 🤞😉

I see he is also in the Cup Trial - better trip imo - so let's see where they decide to run; best odds now seem 40/1 - and sure to shorten further if he runs as expected next week

Another interesting situation

Sovereign Spirit

33/1 times 40/1 same horse double less the 33.3% would still get you around 900/1 ish for July.

What do u think Frodo 🤔

Dave Scott wrote: Another interesting situation

Sovereign Spirit

33/1 times 40/1 same horse double less the 33.3% would still get you around 900/1 ish for July.

What do u think Frodo 🤔

I would advise against it - firstly he may rather take the Cup Trial route, and secondly I don't believe he can beat these at level weights - the July is another matter altogether as he will be receiving weight

You are too sensible for me Frodo, let's take the PLACE double 😉

Hi guys, I trust you all are duly well. Just a quick question, what are the chances Azores wins the Cup Trial and make the final field for the Durban July 2021.

Thangaveloo wrote: Hi guys, I trust you all are duly well. Just a quick question, what are the chances Azores wins the Cup Trial and make the final field for the Durban July 2021.

Azores was one of my roughies even pre-nomination - sadly he ran poorly at Scottsville (same race that Rascallion also ran below form); he may not even run in the Trial as he has drawn very wide, but if he does run and manages to win, he MIGHT get a run in the July imo, but it seems unlikely at this stage

Thangaveloo wrote: Hi guys, I trust you all are duly well. Just a quick question, what are the chances Azores wins the Cup Trial and make the final field for the Durban July 2021.

Messing around with numbers... 11 horses will be hoping for the 20th spot... (I assume 20 horses will be carded) ... Your answer at the very most I guess is 9% (1/11). But with recent recent form, etc, considered then 3% (square root of 9%) chance he will make the 20th spot.
Lol
If he wins the Cup Trial and if no one else wins something better then may be 80%. ???


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

What price for trial x what price for July = # then take 33.3% from that total and that will give you realistic chance for your question.

Good Punting

Dave Scott wrote: What price for trial x what price for July = # then take 33.3% from that total and that will give you realistic chance for your question.

Good Punting

That is to WIN the July .... the question was about making the July field