Kenilworth Tuesday 16 June

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1 Horse Racing South Africa KENILWORTH RACE 2 2020-06-16 12:20 7. PACIFIC DUKE M/Win 2.00 Pending
2 Horse Racing South Africa KENILWORTH RACE 6 2020-06-16 14:40 2. SILVER DE LANGE M/Win 2.50 Pending

hi all...this is the type of card that could go either way

here are my thoughts

Not too keen on Ryanair lasting home so my bet will have to be on Innogen to mow him down…respect money for the Adam Marcus runner , Val Gardena

Tough start to the bipot with many chances but will side with in form jockey and trainer combinations….all of 11/10/9/8/7 and 3

Going to follow the money here with 2 , 6 , and 10 with a slight preference for 10

Have to respect the money for Swazi queen but tough race load up

Maitland magic banker for me but respect for the newcomer Policy Target

Tough race here but will row in with Holy Warrior…respect for Silver the Lange

Tanzanite queen top chance but respect for Garfield blinker strike and the first timer Maison Merci

Sudden Star will no doubt be tough to beat but respect money for the Fourie/Marcus combination in Alnwick Castle

Freedom Seeker obvious chance but weight may tell in the last few strides so I will take my chances with Vodka Lime and On Captains Side

Have a Royal day

Bass Racing Stable Comments

RACE COMMENTS – KENILWORTH, 16 JUNE

Ryanair: Knocking on the door prior to the break, Each Way Chance.

Nan: Needs to improve but will enjoy the going.

Princess Angeline: Needs to Improve

Ballroom Bliss: Nice filly, shows ability and could flash up first time out if not too green.

Cut Glass: Looking for the turn, but should give a fair account of herself,. She should need this run back.

Kunming: Nice athletic filly, will be looking for further and will probably need a run or two, but wouldn’t be surprised if she runs on into money.

Swazi Queen: Looking for further, not expecting much.

Winter Peace: Needs to improve.

Turn It Up Harvey: Done well with the break and will be looking for further, could run well fresh.

Celestial Prince :Should need this run back, but won’t be too far off them.

Holy Warrior: He has had a run back and should have a good each way chance here.

Crowded House: Prep run. Poor form prior to the break, but she is working very well and could run a nice race fresh.

Vandah’s Spirit:Talented filly that’s lost her way, but will enjoy the softer going and we hoping for improvement.

Jack Milner’ Kenilworth selections

Race 1: 2 Innogen, 1 Ryanair, 4 Chai, 5 Floatlikabutterfly

Race 2: 10 Somerset Maugham, 3 Fairy Warrior, 7 Pacific Duke, 8 Savannah Buddy

Race 3: 10 Soft Day, 6 Kayc Al, 8 Madam Seville, 2 Ballroom Bliss

Race 4: 3 Flower Of Saigon, 2 Dazzling Sun, 1 Autumn Sky, 11 Wife Of Windsor

Race 5: 2 Fort Agopian, 4 Parktown, 3 Maitland Magic, 7 Policy Target

Race 6: 5 Holy Warrior, 4 Anse Lazio, 2 Silver De Lange, 3 Celestial Prince

Race 7: 14 Tanzanite Queen, 12 Musical Glitch, 7 Magical Midlands, 8 Maison Merci

Race 8: 1 Pannington, 3 Silver Sky, 2 Sudden Star, 5 Blue Ground

Race 9: 6 Vodka Lime, 1 Freedom Seeker, 5 Vandah’s Spirit, 11 On Captain’s Side



BEST BET

Race 7 No 14 Tanzanite



VALUE BET

Race 9 No 6 Vodka Lime



BEST SWINGER

Race 9 1×6



BIPOT

R288

Leg 1: 3, 7, 10

Leg 2: 2, 6, 8, 10

Leg 3: 2, 3

Leg 4: 2, 3, 4, 5

Leg 5: 2, 4, 5

Leg 6: 14



PLACE ACCUMULATOR

R288

Leg 1: 6, 10

Leg 2: 1, 2, 3

Leg 3: 2, 3

Leg 4: 2, 4, 5

Leg 5: 14

Leg 6: 1, 2, 3, 5

Leg 7: 1, 6



PICK 6

R1680

Leg 1: 1, 2, 3, 11

Leg 2: 2, 3, 4, 7

Leg 3: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Leg 4: 14

Leg 5: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10

Leg 6: 1, 5, 6





JACKPOT 1

R140

Leg 1: 2, 3, 4, 7

Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Leg 3: 14

Leg 4: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10



JACKPOT 2

R245

Leg 1: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7

Leg 2: 14

Leg 3: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10

Leg 4: 1, 2, 5, 6, 9, 11, 12

KENILWORTH TUESDAY 16 JUNE 2020 COMMENTS BY WARREN LENFERNA

COMMENTS:
1
Preview: FLOATLIKEABUTTERFLY (5) has improved lately and can go close to winning. INNOGEN (2) has run some okay races before and has each way claims and RYANAIR (1) is taking time but has the form to be competitive – respect. (Warren Lenferna 5-2-1)
2
Preview: SOMERSET MAUGHAM (10) is well bred and could be absolutely anything. Watch the betting. This yard is no strangers to having two year old debut winners. Glen Kotzen could have two speedy Querari’s here. HIGHWAY STAR (5) and MY BESTIE (6) could go close on debut – watch. (Warren Lenferna 10-5-6)
3
Preview: KAYC AL (6) is well bred being by Captain Al – comes from the Snaith yard and gets the services of Richard Fourie. If she were to make a winning debut I would not be shocked. SOFT DAY (10) showed huge improvement in her second start and should win her maiden soon, if not today. BALLROOM BLISS (2) could be anything – watch this one. (Warren Lenferna 6-10-2)
4
Preview: FLOWER OF SAIGON (3) made an eye catching debut and with natural improvement can win. WIFE OF WINDSOR (11) is well bred and might be able to go close first time at school. STEPITUPBABY (9) has shown and might well have more to offer – value for the places. Horses AUTUMN SKY (1) and DAZZLING SUN (2) are wort including in the quartet. (Warren Lenferna 3-11-9)
5
Preview: FORT AGOPIAN (2) is improving with racing and has a bright winning chance. MAITLAND MAGIC (3) is another that is improving and merely found one too strong last time and also has a bright winning chance and PARKTOWN (4) should have more in the tank and is a must for most bets. (Warren Lenferna 2-3-4)
6
Preview: SILVER DE LANGE (2) stays well and should be right there at the finish. He flew last time from far back and ended up nearly winning – big chance. CEDAR MAN (1) has a massive 66kg’s to carry and that might tell in the final stages of the race – but he should be in the shake up and CELESTIAL PRINCE (3) is holding his form and has a shout in a small field over ground! (Warren Lenferna 2-1-3)
7
Preview: TANZANITE QUEEN (14) was the second fastest finishing on debut and nearly won – that effort was eye catching. She rates the one they have to beat. Plenty of cheek can be expected from the stable mate MUSICAL GLITCH (12) whom finished fifth behind Delta Queen last time. This was a good run and this Jay Peg filly can get much closer but will more than likely find the stable mate too strong. AQUILA GREEN (1) can improve with blinkers and the debut run out the way. (Warren Lenferna 14-12-1)
8
Preview: SUDDEN STAR (2) is knocking at the door and looks ready to get it right. SILVER SKY (3) ran on encouragingly last time to run the best race of his career thus far – a lot more can be expected from him and PANNINGTON (1) should not be a maiden for too much longer and is a must for most bets. (Warren Lenferna 2-3-1)
9
Preview: FREEDOM SEEKER (1) is winning and winning well. She looks set to carry on that way and seems very progressive and worth following. SPIRIT FESTIVAL (12) and VODKA LIME (6) have consistent form and look set to fight it out for the minor positions. (Warren Lenferna 1-12-6)

Play at www.tabgold.co.za or trackandball.co.za

The price on Tanzanite Queen in the Klawervlei feature seems extremely expensive.


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Lots of first timers make today very difficult.
Race 2 Fairy Warrior the only raced runner and not a bad debut.
race 3 Soft day improved second run . Madam Seville fair last two runs behind decent sorts.
Race 4 Flower Of Saigon decent debut. Autumn Sky fair debut. Lots of talk about Dazzling Sun.
Race 5 An open maiden and it would not surprise to see an unraced horse pop up. Fort Agopian was improving steadily before the break. maitland Magic consistent form. Turn it up Harvey no show in the sales race from a wide draw, but capable on earlier form.
Race 6 Cedar Man has to carry a huge weight. Holy Warrior and Miraculously Ours have had a run since the break, but an open race.
Race 7 Kotzen has a very strong hand. Tanzanite Queen very short price but looks the right one. Musical Glitch next best of those that have raced.
Race 8 Quite a few with chances. Not much between Paddington, Sudden Star and Silver Sky, but P has had the benefit of a run a week ago. Alfred's legacy also in with a shout.
Race 9. Very competitive handicap. freedom Seeker goes for 4 in a row and On Captain's Side won last two.

SPEED MACHINE in quartets

I see the Cape Trainers are still battling to judge their 2 year olds.
1st race winner,first timer,wins by over 10 lengths at R10 on the tote.
2nd race winner,also a first timer 4th choice from the Kotzen stable,wins at R34.

Wow.
Kotzen double pays R1741.
Bi-pot after 2 legs 143 tickets left paying R705.
Very big chance of being a bi-pot carryover I would think.

Places

Kunming
River Cafe
Lady Catherine...after a bad draw last time, I expect some improvement