I know it fairly early, however i saw some of the Clan waxing lyrical about Pretty Young Thing after her effortless victory on the 19/06 where she hacked in by 3 lengths.
Have a look at race 4 and see who PYT ran second to before winning her maiden, Third Runway (5/1). Not only did Third Runway beat PYT, she punished her by a little over 4 lengths. In the same race was the stable companion, Elusive Flight, a further 5 lengths back, and outsider White Lace.
Third Runway shouldn't start at the current odds come race time.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by bayern. Reason: date should read 19/06 (above) and not 22/06 as incorrectly stated
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Race 6, I tend to agree with Mark Vanderventer on the Interbet podcast, and make Shamrock Wind the one to beat. On her last two runs to Helens Ideal, i think she has run better than rated, and a repeat of those efforts could see her in the winners box.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
We have some lively runners today. Going soft and a light tailwind.
Race 4: Drama Queen will enjoy this trip and a strong winning chance. Wide draw but a small field and strong jockey so not a problem. Was very unlucky last time when bumped and baulked- with a clear run she would have at least got 2nd. Caught on the line in penultimate when giving the winner 2kg. Driving Miss Daisy will not be far off but I think that we have her held. Third Runway is hard to assess but may be the main danger as she won well last time and the runner up a subsequent good winner.
Race 6: Secret Depths is in a competitive Ladies Mile. On her official rating she is under sufferance, but last time was only 4L off Helen’s Ideal, and if she reproduces that effort has a good ew chance from a fair draw. Dynamic Diana and Platinum Class are top sorts but must give weight all round and DD a wide draw. Shamrock Wind is in with a shout, but she is 4kg worse off with us for 2 lengths last time. Ontenderhooks is also well in on best form.
Race 7: Helen’s Ideal has won her last 4 against fillies, from 1250m to 1600m She must have an excellent chance of landing the Cape Triple Tiara. I think she will see out the trip based on her pedigree and her good run against the boys in the Cape Derby, although the testing ground is a slight concern. Star Fighter has not been far off and is again the main danger, while Duchess of Bourbon should be thereabouts. Coral Bay had top earlier form and if she bounces back she is a lurker.
Race 8: Parade March stays the trip but is out at the weights with the top 4. If any of those don’t stay he could possibly sneak a place. Majestic Mozart and Herodotus look likely to fight it out, while St Vladimir won a nice race in PE against weaker but can’t be ignored. Nexus is on the upgrade and is bred for the trip but needs to improve to win.
Race 1: Not much between Norfolk Pine, Khopesh and Peter Paul Reubens, and they meet some useful 2yos in Backgammon, Dai Ichi and Captain Flanders. I think I will side with the older horses in the soft going, and Khopesh has the plum draw and is first pick.
Race 2: Not much between Louisa May and Forest Field with a slight preference for LM. Veld Flower is an improving 2yo and should challenge. Sigma Alpha was a bit disappointing last time but has ability.
Race 3: A tricky handicap- go wide. Racine has done well this course and distance and may be a value play.
Race 5: Silver Operator was impressive on debut, and could be anything but I can’t see value at the price. Finding Camelot, Double Alliance and King of Gems have all shown good enough form to win a race like this. Djockovic could show further improvement this trip. Ew value may be Double Alliance at 8/1.
Race 9: A very open race to end the day, and the shortlist is 1,2,3,4,5 but I will go Field in the pick 6.
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Orffer didn't cover himself in glory there, despite being slow away, he had every opportunity to take second place on the rail before the companion took the race by the scruff of the neck.
Guessing has never been widely acclaimed as a good gambling strategy.
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bayern wrote: I know it fairly early, however i saw some of the Clan waxing lyrical about Pretty Young Thing after her effortless victory on the 19/06 where she hacked in by 3 lengths.
Have a look at race 4 and see who PYT ran second to before winning her maiden, Third Runway (5/1). Not only did Third Runway beat PYT, she punished her by a little over 4 lengths. In the same race was the stable companion, Elusive Flight, a further 5 lengths back, and outsider White Lace.
Third Runway shouldn't start at the current odds come race time.
bayern wrote: I know it fairly early, however i saw some of the Clan waxing lyrical about Pretty Young Thing after her effortless victory on the 19/06 where she hacked in by 3 lengths.
Have a look at race 4 and see who PYT ran second to before winning her maiden, Third Runway (5/1). Not only did Third Runway beat PYT, she punished her by a little over 4 lengths. In the same race was the stable companion, Elusive Flight, a further 5 lengths back, and outsider White Lace.
Third Runway shouldn't start at the current odds come race time.
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