Preview
Shatin AW track is USUALLY biased over 1650m. Horses drawn 9-14 RARELY win or place (Imperial Concorde in race 5 last won from stall 13).
There is little bias with 1200m races, draw 1&8 are the worst draws whilst being drawn 3.4.5.10.11.12 hands a better winning chance.
Depending with the amount of kick-back, usually the track doesnt favour horses coming off the pace esp races over mile & 1800m.
Race 2
Silly Buddies (10/1) was behind very talented Ugly Warrior ( Race 8 ) 4 starts back. Pacifiers refitted might do the trick from draw 2. Pace might be fast with Elite Boy (fav) being pressured by First Beaut from outside. Hearts keeper is danger but got the worst draw.
Race 4
I like Sempiternal (14/1)in this race and should get a lovely trailing run along the rails. He likes this track and distance and only failed to win once this CD with app Alving Ng aboard. Teetan is back. My best bet.
Race 5
Grand Habour (20/1) won this race last year on 1 March 2017 after leading all the way. Today the only pressure can come from widely drawn Beauty Connection and might develop to a pedestrian pace. This gives a hige advantage to Grand Habour and i wont be shocked if last year antics are repeated. Great Son (blinkered first time) might be there in the shake-up with Experto Prede, Golden Sleep, Golden Effort and Sky Treasure.
Race 6
Nuclear Power (7/2) was behind Jade Fortune (9/1) 2 starts back and im expecting Poon to reverse the form. On paper Gran Master is the best horse but from draw 13 the race might be over once trapped 3 wide on the first turn. Whampoa Star (45/1) has very good strike rate from Chantilly Polytrack over 1500-1600m and need to stay close to speed to be in the mix.
Race 7
Gunnison (9/2) is another talented sort from Size stable but draw 8 is a setback. Won 2 races from 2 starts incl a G2. Trialled 3 times won twice and it showed nice speed from the trials. The pedigree (Not A Single Doubt) doesnt suit AW much. If it likes AW track it will be hard to beat.
Race 8
Its hard to seperate between Ugly Warrior (2/1) and Pick Number One (2/1) on the clock. They are all well drawn and every chance. Looks like the easiest leg of jackpot and will just put these 2 to fight it out for the podium.
GOOD LUCK
Last edit: 7 years 3 months ago by eramutsamaya.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Andycap, drdom, manwatweet
