Turffontein Saturday 19/8/17

Be lucky

Ones I think are over priced and worth including at e/w prices.

R5 British royale (I see has shortened a little from first inspection) 10's
R6 Ronin Warrior (stables last two have been in the money and drop in trip suits) 12's
R7 Snowdonia (course specialist and stable in form with a nice draw) 10's
R8 Kings King (ahead of the handicapper imo) 10's

:woohoo: PLACE ACCUMULATOR :side:


LEG1: 5

LEG2: 3

LEG3: 9

LEG4: 7

LEG5: 4

LEG6: 6/14

LEG7: 8

R100 (50TIMES) :woohoo:

SPICE QUEEN


ALPINE GLACIER


PICK6 BANKERS :blink:

Sir David Baird - 3 siblings won sprints in first 2 starts - I think a massive runner

Looks tough in the sense many horses 10/1 and under with chances.

I'm doing a yankee with Think Twice, Angels Power, Full Mast and She's a Dragon

Outsider of the day are Prince of War and Romin's Warrior

Have fun all

I like to see these in box one today
Think twice
Greek fire
Galactic warrior
Bono
Trip to Troy

Not the worst looking card - can't be confident though after the disaster on Thursday ....

Draws here very important - over 1800 almost 30% of runners drawn in pole position ends up winning :ohmy:

R2: Think Twice looks the right one - slight concern in that many of her siblings (including One Man's Dream) seemed best over shorter - so if she falls in a hole that last 200m, I think Kings Creek will finally be rewarded for consistency

R3: Not that straight-forward imo - Greek Fire a R3,000,000 yearling :ohmy: but this should be at the bottom end of his range - stable also did not seem overly confident, so Artax and Imperial Ounce (both seem to come out of moderate formlines) and perhaps Over Easy (set to improve but drawn wide) have to be included in the BP

R4: Two first timers at the top of the boards, so both need inclusion in the BP and PA, but for the P6, one might be able to get away with Red Indy and Darkest Hour as these stand out from raced runners; Sailor Man has a wide draw and looks held by DH - but could run into the quartet

R5: Tough sprint - many with chances and the ones with the best current form are drawn wide; so I'm going wide

R6: Pretty much the same applies as in the previous race; narrow first choice for me would be Mission Control who has the draw and is a winner over this 1000, from Secret Harbour; however most of the others look to have chances as well

R7: Interesting fillies and mares handicap; She's a Dragon weighted to turn the tables on High Seas Beauty and holds Shatoosh, but the draws should bring them pretty close together; Runalong has pole position and will try and control the pace; I narrowly prefer those 4 from Pool Party and Snowdonia

R8: Time to take a stand - Dawnbreaker tries extra ground and I'm hoping that he can be the first one in the family to get a bit of ground; he ran close to a horse like Happy Pills (twice a winner since) when his jock lost his crop in his penultimate and last time may have hit the front too soon; he gets 1.5 kgs from the year younger Full Mast and I think he may beat that one; biggest danger to D imo is Gonnafly - gets 5 kgs from FM and could make D run; Artemesia has pole position - tries the trip and does have to give all of them weight, but can place with Trip to Troy who has a wide draw but is 'flying at home; according to the stable; so if one does not take a stand with your fancy, it is becomes quite a tricky contest imo

R9: Fillies and mares handicap to close; again the draws may play a big part and September Bloom comes in with a big chance again from Monarch Air; Rose Water overdue to win and would have my first choice from a better draw; roughie that may need inclusion is Summer Wind who has come tumbled down the ratings

Enjoy

after backing 1st winner ( 33rd run ) am now going with KINGS CREEK - 25th run today... one day, one day will come home !

Needed 10 more meters Oom Elvis

ElvisisKing wrote: after backing 1st winner ( 33rd run ) am now going with KINGS CREEK - 25th run today... one day, one day will come home !

I say Artax will BEAT Azzie 3,mill horse GREEK FIRE....... how often does this happen, 2nd string wins ( look at Snaith yesterday P.E. True master 12/ 1 BEAT it is written 3/ 1)

O.K. got that wrong, 3 mill horse wins !