Flamingo Park Monday

Magi wrote:

The Beast wrote: Good day to all

Here are my bets for today

PA
LEG 1: 2,6,9
LEG 2: 3,5,6
LEG 3: 2,4,6
LEG 4: 1,5
LEG 5: 1*
LEG 6: 5,9
LEG 7: 2,4
R216

BEST BET
Race 2 (5) : Britain's Best

VALUE BET
Race 1 (2) Talk Wrench

I would suggest you edit your post and remove the word 'Value' above Talk Wrench......just saying

why?

pirates wrote:

Magi wrote:

The Beast wrote: Good day to all

Here are my bets for today

PA
LEG 1: 2,6,9
LEG 2: 3,5,6
LEG 3: 2,4,6
LEG 4: 1,5
LEG 5: 1*
LEG 6: 5,9
LEG 7: 2,4
R216

BEST BET
Race 2 (5) : Britain's Best

VALUE BET
Race 1 (2) Talk Wrench

I would suggest you edit your post and remove the word 'Value' above Talk Wrench......just saying

why?

Should have known that would pop up considering past discussions around 'value' and 'perceived value'.

In my opinion there is no value in punting a 2yr old on the kimberley track at 4/10.... where there is any amount of possible improvement for the other runners, as well as newcomers to the Flamingo track. Add to this the relatively unexposed form....{shrug}

I actually took some 16/1 on Iron Maiden.

The missing link wrote: Trying the CnC method at Kimberly, honestly feel more confident than trying to study form. Lets see what happens :silly: :lol:

Pocahontas Girl @9/2
Ananda @11/2
Desert Sunset @evens
Hosanna @7/1
Aramouse @22/10

you will come out with a profit.

my mate who prices up made it a 1 to 8 shot and has climbed into the horse at 5 to 10

pirates wrote: my mate who prices up made it a 1 to 8 shot and has climbed into the horse at 5 to 10

Fair enough.

pirates wrote: my mate who prices up made it a 1 to 8 shot and has climbed into the horse at 5 to 10

1/8 at Kimberley? A Frankel foal?

I think Talk Wrench will win today. Likes the surface and the blinkers over this distance will likely help as i get the feeling he will need further.

chicken n chips wrote:

pirates wrote: my mate who prices up made it a 1 to 8 shot and has climbed into the horse at 5 to 10

1/8 at Kimberley? A Frankel foal?

wouldnt know dont have a book for flamingo but hes highly successful at punting having the same stake on a horse he percieves as value whether its 5 to 10 or 10 to 1

chicken n chips wrote:

pirates wrote: my mate who prices up made it a 1 to 8 shot and has climbed into the horse at 5 to 10

1/8 at Kimberley? A Frankel foal?

it's not about the ability of the horse only

one must consider the strength of th race

horses doesn't have to beat Frankel it must just beat what's in the race

Colour Vision finished well her race off nicely over 1400m, draws well and hopefully can hold that form over the extra distance. Did run well over 1600m at turffontein earlier in career so this d should be fine.

Tim wrote: I think Talk Wrench will win today. Likes the surface and the blinkers over this distance will likely help as i get the feeling he will need further.

it appears that this horse has had a number of runs at Kimberley and has still not won

Stable have 3 others so i have gone with Iron Maiden at 25/1 as you never know. Most prob i will once again have egg on my face but you cant win a nice amount without sticking your neck out.

chicken n chips wrote:

Tim wrote: I think Talk Wrench will win today. Likes the surface and the blinkers over this distance will likely help as i get the feeling he will need further.

it appears that this horse has had a number of runs at Kimberley and has still not won

Stable have 3 others so i have gone with Iron Maiden at 25/1 as you never know. Most prob i will once again have egg on my face but you cant win a nice amount without sticking your neck out.

You can't win much if you back short prices and i prefer finding a nicer price. That said there isn't much in the field and TW will likely win. My bet today is Colour Vision.