Vaal Sand Thursday

Frodo wrote: After the Englishman's mammoth effort, I feel obliged to add my 2 cents.........

The first 3 races seem pretty straight forward in that only about 4 runners need consideration - so no lurkers to be found imo

The 4th is a different kettle of fish - quite a few of horses priced up in double digits looking to spoil the party; these include Perfect Trip (blinkers come off and very competitively weighted), Tacitus (tries the sand and races off a 68 today after being as high as 81 - albeit in PE); and my real two lurkers Royal Chief (improved pace with the blinkers last time, has won his maiden this trip and now comes down to 56 after being rated 70 for winning his maiden - draw a minus though) and Limited Edition (found the Flamingo sand to his liking and there is a whopping 12.5 kg swing in the weights with favorite American Tiger on their runs behind Graduation Day - albeit on the turf)

R5 looks tailor-made for Trip Tease - if something beats him it could be a combination of that inside draw and Precursor who is extremely useful on the sand

The 6th and 7th look really competitive; in the 6th for some double-digit priced lurkers I'm looking at the juvenile Outa My Way (tries the sand, but less than 6 lengths behind Entisaar :ohmy: ), West Ridge (won her only start over this trip easily) and Coral Key who has run well on the sand off 66 and comes down to 60 today.

In the 7th. I think Ahlaam is the right one; on a line through Spellbound she should hold Escudo; the danger could be Fire Dancing who came right back to her best last time; obviously a few others like Peep Show, Julie Doolittle and the sand debutante Dream Galaxy need consideration as well - best roughie imo Mystic Tigress who has run some fair races on the sand.

In the last. Seattle Fairy stands out for me on her last effort - however that was over 1800, over the 1600 she may not get going in time, so I think both Walking on Air and Shamal are big runners

Enjoy

vyfsent wrote:

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