Fairview Wednesday 8th

There has been 112 mm rain the last 7 days, wonder how the poly will run

Some great posts and discussions, fantastic view points

My selections have been somewhat terrible lately, collecting from one book maker and feeding another. Looking to make amends today on a competitive card.

RACE 1 : GALAO - Will take a power of beating IMO, substantial move in the market and the money could be SPOT on here, dangers look to be COUNT ZAFONIC and LE SPINNAKER. I've opted to have a punt on the nose to build some reserves for the remainder of the meeting.

RACE 2 : Favorite on the drift but understandably after so many chances to win, BIPOT players will have to decide either banker the favorite or go wide, very difficult to make anything a worthy winner and for that reason I do believe the favorite will get it right today, so CHAMPAGNE SHOWERS for me all the way.

RACE 3 : I've included all but six runners in my PICK6, they include SUN NEVER SETS, JACARANDA FLOWER, SEVEN ROSES, VISION QUEST, TIGER'S ROAR and LINE OF FIRE.

RACE 4 : CREDIBILITY has certain claims from pole position and some decent CAPE form BUT like so many runners that are backed a day before the race... NO SHOW! however looking at this runner, the money cannot be ignored, I believe she has a BIG chance Others I've included are STAMFORD BRIDGE, MANDY, ABYSSINIA, SEXY AND FREE. 11/10 a place on ABYSSINIA looks the right wager in this race as four places are paid out.

RACE 5 : BOLT OF LIGHT the value in this race without a doubt, probably my best value bet for today so I will be shouting him home. As discussed previously it's a pretty open race and winning sentiments can be made for each and every runner. A very interesting pointer however is that early money for the SNAITH runners usually indicates nothing at all so I'm brassing NAVAL INTELLIGENCE here, DANDYMANCAN my other inclusion for exotic purposes, KING OF INDIANS and ZOO BISCUIT not for me either and if you're taking a straight bet on either I would do so with caution.

RACE 6 : GOGETTHESHERIFF will shoulder top weight with ease, despite the SHAMS having a strong hand here, IMO they will all have to grow wings to beat GGTS, I'm 99,99% sure he will win. the remaining 01% is reserved for SEATTLE STORM and LE VAR, exacta's and swingers with the top weight.

RACE 7 : Another very open looking handicap over 1300m and obvious chances here for many runners especially STRONG MAN SAM who's cracked a super draw, I've included for exotic purposes the following... JAY'S MAN, SUDDEN SURPRISE, TRAPPED IN ICE, MING WARRIOR and REBEL HOUSE, I would go wider if I had the reserves to do so. I'm leaning towards TRAPPED IN ICE and MING WARRIOR to fight out the finish.

RACE 8 : PIPPI, DOVER BEACH and BELLA COCO in a trifecta boxed many times DOVER BEACH makes BIG appeal to me here and probably the next best bet on today's card, so it looks as if LERENA is the one to follow today, so I'm hoping :whistle:

Good luck to all!

R1 - Count Zafonic
R2 - Missing Link
R3 - Jacaranda Flower
R4 - Crime of passion
R5 - Naval Intelligience
R6 - National Road
R7 - Voice of Kings
R8 - Rustic Romance

R1 Count Zafonic has some respectable if not particularly strong Greypoly form and that may give him the edge here, thanks to Oscar for the confidence vote, all the best bud. Munaaseb is usually thereabouts and finished 4.25l ahead of Tour De Force in February, TDF beat Le Spinnaker lto by 2l, though the latter lost 5l at the start. LS's chances will depend on the start he gets. Galao makes his PE debut. He has the (turf) beating of LS by a couple of lengths on 2 CT runs (all 3 who beat him lto won nto. Purely on straight comparisons it would seem he and Munaaseb will have little between them. 7th Brother has struggled for form in his 2 come back runs, if the 3rd run brings about a return to earlier c form then he could be competitive. Count Zafonic x Munaaseb x Galao

R2 Pricy Asset e/w looks to me to be a better bet than win on Champagne Showers. PA was eased when they met lto and still was within 0.25l of CS. With the 1 box here I fancy PA to win but will probably play safe with an e/w. The interesting one is perhaps Cherry Bomb who did not show much on PE debut but that was after a 43 week break, his second and last run in Gauteng did not work out so badly though and with Lerena up for a stable whose form seems to be improving, has possibilities. Jazzmatazz and Joy Of Hope could be quartet inclusions.

R3 Jacaranda Flower takes on the boys and despite Lerena up, over this d might find a few too strong. Sun Never Sets has improved since arriving in PE and is now on 3rd run after a rest, 4th after gelding. This will be his 3rd run in about 2 weeks and although the PE debut was over 1300, I have a few stamina concerns but still looks the most likely to me. At idiot odds, Satchmo and King's Blog both have bits and pieces in their form which imo hint they could be competitive here. Both have negatives though, Satchmo comes back off a 16 week rest while KB is drawn wide and has a jockey without c experience but, the blinkers come off and that might bring about about a much improved showing. Line Of Fire will be competitive if recovering from a recent dip in form, Seven Roses has claims on his penultimate run if coming on for his PE debut, Draco is on 3rd run after a rest and though he looks held, his early form is probably better than those of his two come back runs when drawn wide, San Diego's form doesn't look the strongest but may improve in PE with the blinkers removed and dropped in d, the two Bremner horses, hmmm, difficult to entirely discount them for no good reason. Tiger's Roar has improved of late but is another where the d is a concern.

R4 Credibility x Abyssinia x Classic Victory x Toby Jug x Mandy
R5 Taarish x King Of Indians x Naval Intelligence
R6 Symbolik x Brother In Arms x Le Var
R7 Strong Man Sam x Tiger Right x Soleil Royal x Sudden Surprise (R1 The Helmsman)

R8 If not for their draws then I would give the Paddock pairing of Saint Angelique and Diamond Diva decent chances and might still be worth small idiot e/w nibbles. Pippi is consistent on this surface and has a decent draw, that might give him the edge over other possibly better horses who may also prefer a little further, Dover Beach and Belle Coco for me the principals who fall into that catagory. Storming Cat has been disappointing in his last couple of outings with possible excuses lto, with 3 wins from his 5 c runs, he could prove a big danger. Rustic Romance a nagger,

Be(s)t of luck to all

If I am forced with a gun to my head.... Naval Intelligence will be the one.

Gogetthesherriff will have to be really good to beat Symbolik

R1 Munaaseb
R2 dancing in the snow
R3 Sun never sets
R4 Abyssinia
R5 dandy man can
R6 gGTS/pacyano
R7 Strong man Sam
R8 pippi/belle coco/royal lecture/stormin cat.

Bob Brogan wrote: Gogetthesherriff will have to be really good to beat Symbolik

Just can't see it Bob, SYMBOLIK not even a contender here IMO, if it were 1400m plus I would agree but this trip raises questions the way he finishes. If GOGETTHESHERIFF sets the pace up front from a decent draw, it's race over before they reach the bend.

I fancy a Hekkie Stydom place atc in the 2nd,3rd and 4th.All ex Vaal.
Runaway Time,decent poly debut.
Sun Never Sets, excellent poly debut.(should win)
Zenas Own, decent poly debut

Pa 1 3/4/3 8/2 4 5/4 6 10/4 5 15/2 3 4 paddock

While every1 is punting Symbolik and GGTS i will be on Brother in arms who might just steal the march in this race with his paper weight.

Winning_Post wrote:

Bob Brogan wrote: Gogetthesherriff will have to be really good to beat Symbolik

Just can't see it Bob, SYMBOLIK not even a contender here IMO, if it were 1400m plus I would agree but this trip raises questions the way he finishes. If GOGETTHESHERIFF sets the pace up front from a decent draw, it's race over before they reach the bend.

Hmmm I would say gogets best form is over 1600m