Turffontein Saturday

kaya wrote: Hope u got the 16 ruffian it showing 5-1 knw

Yip. Thanks.

The missing link wrote:

ruffian wrote: High Drama of Jooste scratched in first, making way for other jooste horse to get into the race.
700k Western Winter delpech up. Drawn wide, but may be only danger to the fav ?
16-1 bettingworld

Good spot at 16-1. Will have to be very good to beat the fav from that draw imo though.

I would not be rushing to get on considering that starting jump - Could well win but safer bets later

I like this card - thoughts:

R1: Obvious one is Street Flyer - too short fro me to get involved thought - interesting that the 700K Jooste runned now gets a run - with Delpech up - so make the odds on SF risky imo

R2: Competitive - Quiana, Ladies Club and the nicely priced Fannalies Girl definite contenders with She's a Flirt and have the draws in their favor, so I prefer them to Cherished Gold, Hit the Big Time and Penny for Jenny

R3: Graduation Day - but again too short for me - Bat Dot Accent or Beach in a Bottle need inclusion as backup imo

R4: Challenging handicap - Love Token looks progressive and should have the run of the race - Hawker Hurricane will be chasing and these 2 stand out imo - Kileigh and the de Kock pair to fight for 3rd an 4th

R5: Another competitive handicap, Kingmambo's Legacy probably a worthy favorite, The Elmo Effect big value at the weights on his last effort behind Scotsnog

R6: Wylie Hall runs well fresh and does look the value; Cagiva very talented but has his problems (only 11 starts as a 5 yr old); Tiger's Retreat in form, maybe a slight doubt about the 2000 - and Killua Castle can't be ignored - those 4 for me

R7: Very competitive - looking at the weights, Willow Magic has it all to do imo - Dollar Dazzler looks good value but I will load up

R8: Another competitive handicap - I think Tzigane is the right one at the odds - obviously Not Sulking can't be ignored - and I won't ignore Winter Passion, who can upset if they have managed to sort her issues with the gates.

R9: Lots of confidence about Alice Springs, but she is trying the 1600 for the first time and I prefer the chances at the odds of Divano, should have won last time and even receives weight from the year younger favorite

R10: Off the Mark the obvious one, but again as a roughie I'm looking at the year older Fort Wood filly, Princess Aura - if David has sorted out her breathing issues, she could be a factor here from a good draw

Enjoy

Bob Brogan wrote:

Frodo wrote:

Rambo Dancer wrote: @Frodo... Ntombe is a scratching. :dry:

Thanks - would expect the betting sites to show that - so what would happen to my multiples I took with her - would they all be cancelled?

Bets stand, just at reduced odds

If you took a atc with 4 horses you now have a treble obv

If you took a yankee now have

selections

a
b
c
scr

6 doubles
axb
axc
ax scr (single on the a)
b x c
b x scr (single on b)
c x scr (single on scr )

4 trebles

a x b x c
a x b x scr ( double a + b )
a x c x scr ( double a+c )
b x c x scr ( double b+c)

1 atc

a x b x c x scr ( treble)

blah blah

Thanks for the detailed explanation

Preferences (and no more than that!)...

R5 Lava Flow small e/w
R6 Cagiva
R7 One Man's Dream
R8 Tzigane
R9 Divano

Be(s)t of luck to all

Here are some of the horses that were mentioned on Thursday. I see most prices are now gone.
Apart from some doubles etc that I played, I am not playing any exotics.... out for the rest of the day.

Street Flyer
Graduation Day
Love Token

The treble worked out to 11/1 on Thursday (obvious deduction now)

Wylie Hall ( would love to see how WH will be ridden today)
Willow Magic
Not Sulking
Alice Spring
Off the Mark

Looks simple but we all have been racing for long enough to know that NOTHING is straight forward.

R9 Featherfoot E/W

Hawker hurricane will win
Master switch e/w
Aurom Pot win

My input:
R1-1 W
R2#10 e/w
R3#7 p
R5#5 e/w
R7#5 e/w

Will be playing around these

PA:
12/12/3/4/3/1/3

ATTACHMENT = MAURITIUS SORRY