spot on Agra - tipped me Thursday Marcus r 4 and r5 both shortened dramatically - lets hope they can win! for me Dennis Drier Double r2 r4 LOAD CANNON. The Poet drawn in car park cant see that beat Sabre and Varbration Bosch thought they were racing at Greyville on USO lol
Interesting card with a potential bit of value imo if the favs fail to fire for whatever reason, nothing strong and may also all flunk lol but a few worth maybe a nibble...
R1 Princess Ariel possibly prefers this c and looks a decent e/w chance on the form prior to her last two outings. She may be on her 31st run and coming off a 15 week rest but I think some of Catching Zeds form is not as bad as the overall picture paints and in a race where there are so many unknowns, she may be worth risking a small e/w. Kadeze is drawn high but may still be able to complete the trifecta... Princess Ariel x Catching Zeds x Kadeze
R2 Generalassimo x Varbration x Royalsecuritypower
R3 Not a race where I particularly liked anything, of the shorter priced ones I prefer The Poet despite the high draw. As an e/w King's Archer may benefit from the drop in trip. Sabre Edge to make up the trifecta... The Poet x Kings Archer x Sabre Edge
R4 Festive Prince supported and respected but would rather stick with Theseus who I chanced with a small idiot last time and ran a decent second, assuming he comes on for the run then in with a decent chance here. Straw Man worth considering for an e/w at decent odds, possible he has a strong preference for this c based on his 4 turf runs and hopefully the Poly run following a 30 week rest will have got him all the fitter for this run... Theseus x Straw Man x Festive Prince
R5 Riff Raff well supported and Casciana has shown up well in two Poly runs. That said, first timer could be anything and Casciano must prove himself on the turf from a wide draw in 14. So, though they could easily fill the exacta, I'm going to take a chance and brass them both and look for value. In doing so, the one I am going to chance is Bold Attitude who may not have enjoyed the Poly lto and suffered a saddle slip in his penultimate run. Prior to those two efforts he finished within 2.3l of the winner in 6/7 of his post debutant runs (and in the other was drawn 15/16) over a variety of c's and d's and in the other was drawn 15/16. He was fav in the last 3 of those 7 runs. At 20s plus worth a small e/w. The consistent Mumsy's Jet must be in with a chance again but is now carrying a bridesmaid's tag while King Jay's last run can probably be ignored... Poly debut over 1200 following a 10 week rest and drawn 10/10. Tries the d for the first time but some creditable efforts over 1200 prior to the rest and likely to be thereabouts imo... Bold Attitude x Mumsys Jet x King Jay
R6 Peter Piper looks the one they have to beat and if one does then I think it could be something of a surprise in the form of Winning Edge who gets a light weight, decent draw, is on 3rd run after a rest and Muzi up for an in form stable. Also worth noting perhaps, that when coming out of the maidens WE beat Perfect Circle with the latter subsequently defeating 2nd fav Microstate by 3l, and WE is now 5kgs better off. Indian Connection not without hope and could fill the trifecta spot while Learn A Little has had a small idiot investment as his runs over c/d were respectable and it is possible to find an excuse for several of his recent efforts... Peter Piper x Winning Edge x Indian Connection x Learn A Little
R7 No Worries for me despite the weight, though the big mass does make hom a somewhat tentative selection. He is also yet to place over this d but he usually goes this d after a rest. No Worries x Distinguished x Tipo Tinto
R8 Looks a three horse race and not a straight win proposition for me as any of three could win it but my order... My Lovely x Desroches x Freudiana
R9 Top two in the market have questions to answer for me... Royal Honeymoon's most disappointing run came on this c, Flying Loot could dislike the Poly but has something to prove now for me. The safer bet of those leading the market would seem to be Reigning Wind but she is drawn high and looks closely matched with The Queen and Here We Are, both are potentially better drawn than RW and, though I am not big on weights over sprints, the one who appears to be best weighted to me is HWA. Cool Anne is an interesting runner, dropped to the minimum for the first time, she is closely matched with TQ on the Red Rosette run and in with a shout at decent odds imo. Could be a close finish, I'll chance... Here We Are x Cool Anne x The Queen x Reigning Wind
R10 A couple stepping up in d could mount a challenge but Divine Wind is the safer option for me, has shown ability over this d and looks likely to put in a big challenge. Sweet Orange had very good form over this c/d prior to the 40 week rest but he was well beaten lto on the return from that break, from a high draw of 15 here he is probably best watched but could mount a challenge if that last run has brought him on sufficiently. Make Me Money is worth a look at big odds, on his 30th run but possibly has a preference for this c and the last 2 runs here he went close, possible reasons for his 2 subsequent runs. At even bigger odds, a complete nutter 1 e/w will be invested on Caligari Carnival... Divine Wind x Make me Money x Sweet Orange
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