Bingo jottings 2nd June

A very difficult card imo and hard to have huge confidence. If I were to have a win double it would be Infinite Power on to Karlo. Wish I hadn't done the jottings for this meeting as in many ways it raised more questions and possibilities than it provided mw with "solutions".

The jottings were done for the most part before the prices went up. I would bot be supporting Campbell Black, He's A Nadoe or Active Power. All have a fair chance of winning but I find their prices very very short, the price for Dance To The Beat is also shorter than it should be imo. I originally had CB and DTTB down as winners looking for some value, I have changed my choices now as I don't see them as great value.

Advance notice, I will not have the time to do jottings for at least the next few meetings!

R1

1 IRON DRAGON - V.Rensburg/Miller. Debut. Respected combo but nothing in the breeding indicates to me he will definitely be an immediate taker to the surface, although with two exceptions is taking on girls here.

2 MODUS TOLLENDI - Wrogemann/Sham. 3 silvers in his 4 runs and had both Said and Done and In Conformity behind twice and Cosmic Strike once. Big runner who should hold all with c experience, only question is if a newcomer proves too good,.

3 SAID AND DONE - Nyawo/Smith. 4 moderate efforts here and looks well held. Pass.

4 BLUE POOLS - Maleking/Lensley. Debut. Nothing in the breeding indicates to me she will love the surface.

5 CORAL KEY - Naude/Spies. Seemingly not the stable elect and has faded badly in both runs on the turf but those were over 1200 (same again at the Vaal last week over 1000). A little in the breeding suggests she may improve on this surface.

6 COSMIC STRIKE - V.D.Merwe/Visser. Well beaten on c debut lto and that followed two poor turf runs. Blinkers are removed but hard to envisage the turnaround in form required even from this stable.

8 IN CONFORMITY - Yeni/Prinsloo. Two fair efforts in her three runs but has twice been beaten by MT (1,25l and 2.75l). No obvious reason why that form should be reversed but should not be too far off.

10 PEEDEE F - Chambers/Spies. Debut. Seemingly the stable elect but nothing in the breeding indicates to me she will love the surface.

MODUS TOLLENDI x IN CONFORMITY x PEEDEE F

R2

1 DIAMOND TIGER - Yen/Prinsloo. Sand debut. Still a maiden after 14 turf runs but has 2 silver and 2 bronze and was beaten under 3l in 7 of those attempts. Breeding suggests a good chance she will take to the surface. Combo currently in very good but the 14 draw won't make things easy even if taking to the surface.

2 INFINITE POWER - Herholdt/Von Willing. Good 2nd on c debut following a 16 week rest lto over c/d when drawn 12/14. The concern is that she races here off a 15 week break and that is her 3rd rest in only 4 career runs. Now drawn in 2 and on the form of that last run and collateral she appears to hold a number of rivals. If all is well then a big runner.

3 LITHUANIAN QUEEN - V.Rensburg/Human. C debut. Nothing in the breeding to suggest to me that she will take to the surface and has only one 3rd from 10 Kenilworth runs. 16 weeks off and drawn wide in 15 but an eye catching jockey booking of MVR... Ziets?

4 RETURN TO BASICS - Simons/Lensley. One third in 5 c visits (over c/d in penultimate run) and overall the form does not have a strong look to it. Decent draw in 5 but one that shouldn't win imo without impossible to predict improvement

5 FIT TO FLIGHT - Nyawo/Cason. All but two of her races have been over the minimum trip, with two thirds recorded ans she has not been beaten more than 4.25l in her 5 runs over 1000. But, she faded badly over 1200 (turf) and was reported not striding when well beaten coming off a rest over 1400. She has a good draw in 4 and with excuses for other runs it is possible she will stay the trip and be thereabouts. Not probable imo but possible.

6 ILISABETTA - Wrogemann/Sham. In form stable and put up as a possible idiot lto by yours truly and was supported in from 33s to 12s and ran a good race but tired late following a 23 week rest to run 3rd beaten only 1.75l over 1400. Drops in trip again but has only 1 silver in 7 d attempts, though that came here and in her only other c/d run she was a 4l 6th. Gunter now up and though she has a tricky draw in 9, must have a shout if coming on for that last run.

7 SUMMER STRIKE - Fourie/Borman. A silver and bronze (last 2 starts) in 4 c appearances but yet to place in 4 d runs including a 14l defeat in only c/d run though was drawn 12/12 that day. Drawn 8 but the d is the main issue for me, a chance if staying but not for me. .

8 SUN SILK STAR - Brown/Rugg. Sand debut. Drops back in d after 4 failed turf attempts over 1600. Off for 28 weeks, nothing in the breeding to suggest she will immediately take a liking to the surface and drawn 12. Watching brief.

9 RIVER MIST - Nhlapo/Myburgh. Draw in 16, only one 3rd in 8 c runs and looks well held by Ilisabetta, albeit over further. Pass.

10 CREDULOUS - Chambers/Von Willingh. Good draw in 2 but only one silver in 8 c runs, no top 3s in 5 d runs (3 over c/d) and 5.25l behind RTB lto. Hard to envisage her winning.

11 CHARMING AMANDA - Pretorius/Myburgh. Well beaten on c debut over 1000 and has been off 11 weeks since. The breeding does suggest she may enjoy the sand but on the form of that first run and the 13 box here, no more than a watching brief for me.

12 EYES FOR YOU - Khumalo/Prinsloo. Sand debut. Trainer/jockey combo has a very respectable record. Drawn high in 11. Perhaps not the most inspiring turf form but, she did finish a creditable 6th on debut with the 2nd, 3rd and 4th all winning in one of their next two runs, well beaten nto but that was in heavy conditions. Nothing in the breeding to say she will take to the sand and has been rested after each run. Improbable.

13 MARCHIONESS JANIE - Munger/Human. Sand debut. Rested 84 weeks since being well beaten on turf debut. Breeding suggests a chance she will like the sand, appie takes weight off and a fair draw in 7. Possibly worth a small e/w... Ziets?

14 ALL KNOWLEDGE - Naude/Smith. Not closer than 7l of the winner in 3 runs, two over 1000 and one over c/d. the latter with blinkers which are removed. From the 1 box can't be discounted completely but not for me.

A couple who might upset but, assuming fit and well, then I make Infinite Power very much the one to beat. The most interesting runner could be Diamond Tiger but that high draw is a big worry... INFINITE POWER x DIAMOND TIGER x ILISABETTA

R3

1 SON OF A P - Naude/Spies C. Probably best to ignore all form away from this c as he has 2/2 silvers here but is normally heavily beaten elsewhere, perhaps a horse for a c though unlikely he will ever be a world beater here either. Ahead of Fort Dixy by 0.25l on c debut over 1800 and then had that same rival a long way back over 1400, another three of these rivals were also well behind. If he repeats that run then he must have a big chance from a decent draw of 5. .

2 LIGHT YEARS - Greyling/Sham. Despite being drawn 11/11 finished in front of Fort Dixy, Beyond The Burg and Return To Red but was still beaten 9.25l into 5th over 1400. Was returning from a 10 week rest then and was making his sand debut so could come on for the run but has 9.2l to find with SOAP on that run and has the 11 box again.

3 DANCE TO THE BEAT - Yeni/Human. Sand debut. Occasionally put in a decent turf run but well beaten in last two, both over this d, and only one third in 12 career runs. Nothing in the breeding to suggest he will take to the sand, drawn 7 but, especially given the weak look to this field, an eye-catching jockey booking with Muzi up, despite the fact there is a Prinsloo runner for whom he has been riding regularly of late... Ziets?

4 SUN IS UP - Fourie/Rugg. Decent start to sand career when a 3l 5th in his penultimate run before being well beaten when slowly away. Was 1.75l and 1.5l behind SOAP and Fort Dixy over 1800 in that first run here and if breaking on terms here, a repeat of that effort would definitely bring him into the equation but is seemingly not the stable elect as Brown is on Beyond The Burg, though whether the jockey arrangements can be taken at face value is possibly another matter. Tough draw in 13 but not without hope.

5 BACK TO BOWLER - Wrogemann/Sham. A somewhat frustrating campaigner who lately has struggled to stay with the pack before running on late. Behind Fort Dixy in each of his last 3 runs and yet to finish in the top 3 in 4 d attempts but drawn well in 4 and can't be discounted if everything were to fall into place.

6 FORT DIXY - Khumalo/Prinsloo. Combo have a decent record but even so somewhat surprising to see Muzi aboard a Human horse having partnered this one in its last 6 outings. His last two efforts have been disappointing compared to the previous four but this poor field gives him an opportunity to get back to being competitive from a good draw in 3.

7 MERCILESS - Nhlapo/Lensley. Not been within 11l of the winner in 5 runs including a 17l defeat on sand debut over c/d lto when drawn widest of 8. Could improve but, especially from the 10 box, hard to see him showing sufficient improvement this quickly to mount a serious challenge.

8 BEYOND THE BURG - Brown/Rugg. Some ok runs in his 3 c appearances but still looks well held and unlikely for me that the 1 box and 200 extra will see him hit the line first.

9 RETURN TO RED - V.Rensburg/Miller. No top 3s in 12 career runs and beaten 21l over 1400 on c debut lto. Could improve but from the 16 draw difficult to envisage him being too close to the winner.

10 RACING DEMON - Munger/Human. Sand debut. Beaten 22l or more in 3 career runs and has had 2 rests already, returning from 16 weeks off here. Nothing in the breeding indicates to me he will take a liking to the sand. Appie takes weight off and has a good draw in 2 but that plus may be lost as he lost ground from the stalls on all three starts.

11 LORD ASTRONOMY - Simons/Borman. Debut. There is a little in the breeding to suggest he could go well on the sand and is drawn ok in 6. If he does, especially in this weak field, then opportunities arise, a potential idiot e/w if the price permits.

12 MISS ESMERALDA - Nyawo/Naidoo. Sand debut. Beaten between 6.15l and 9.75l in his 6 career runs perhaps suggesting he is not the worst but needs a weak field. He may have found it here but has a wide draw of 14 and nothing in the breeding suggests to me that sand will prove to be his preferred surface. Watching brief.

13 TATSUMAKI - Herholdt/Smith. One bronze in 13 c runs which came as a shock three runs back. That effort aside, she has not been within single figure lengths of the winner since her debut run. Is hard to recommend, especially taking on the boys but, a repeat of her one good run would give her a chance.

14 WINTER IN WALES - Chambers.Smith. Beaten 20.35l and 16l in his 2 c runs to date both over 1000. Big step uo in d might bring some improvement but I will need to see it first before he gets my support.

Son Of A P to some extent looks the obvious one but his form elsewhere is a concern and he has not faced the strongest of fields here. He looks vulnerable to me if not at his best and one shows up with improvement or whatever! The booking of Muzi makes Dance To The Beat much more tempting than he would otherwise be and Lord Astronomy wouldn't have to be special to win. The head says go with SOAP but the value hunter inside of me says take a chance so, hoping they will be big prices but far from sure that will be the case, I'll risk... (edited) LORD ASTRONOMY x SON OF A P x DANCE TO THE BEAT

R4

1 ROMAN LEGION - Brown/Rugg. Not the most consistent and yet to try this d here. Won maiden on 2nd run after a 23 week rest and is in the same position here after 33 weeks off, perhaps needed the last run when beaten 6.5l over his regular 1200 d when drawn 10/13. Prior to the rest was also well beaten when again drawn relatively wide, 9/13. If coming on for the last run and staying the d here then, from a much better draw in 5, it is not too difficult to see him being competitive in this field and I may nibble if a decent price.

3 NIGHT LANDING - Zackey/Rugg. Interesting runner. Disappointing last two but reported lame after penultimate and consequently was returning from a 15 week break lto. Prior to that though had shown some consistent form over c/d winning once and coming second once in the preceding 6 races, with a maximum of 4.5l between him and the winner in the defeats. If coming on for the last run and back to that earlier form then has a good chance from a useful draw of 6. Brown is on RL but that might not be significant as he has not partnered this horse in his last 6 runs. Potential idiot bet in the race.

4 VESTAL VIRGIN - Wrogemann/Sham. Has an uninspiring 1-0-1 record in 9 over c/d but last two have been fair efforts and stable has been in good form recently. Has a good draw in 3 and definitely in with a decent chance but might find things much harder back against the boys.

5 GIRO JET - V.Rensburg/Miller. Seemingly the stable elect, though it is his stable debut so could be simply fact finding. Takes a drop in d with the 1 box here, has run 4 times on the c, starting with a 1.5l 2nd over 1600 but has not really gone on from there with 4.55l, 12.75l and 7l defeats, twice finishing behind reserve Koenigsegg. Not without hope but at the same time difficult to have great confidence about.

6 TAQDEER - Herholdt/Von Willing. Was reported not striding when well beaten over 1200 lto in a race won by Rebel Assault but prior to that he had shown much improved form with consecutive wins over 1400 and 1200, racing wide both times so the 12 draw here may not be too great a hurdle. On other results he does look well held by some of these rivals but seems to be much improved since some of those runs. He had beaten his conqueror lto (RA) by 7.5l in his penultimate run with reserve Carry On Captain a 1.5l 2nd. If all well then a major player.

7 KING OF THE CASTLE - Simons/Miller. Somewhat disappointing in his last two and perhaps significant that MVR is aboard GJ. Has a decent 1-0-2 record though in 4 attempts over c/d. Was reprted coughing when well behind Jagerbomb over 1200 in his penultimate and was rested 11 weeks thereafter so could have needed it lto when a respectable 3.75l 6th over 1200 with Taqdeer and RL further back (reserve Carry On Captain 2nd 3l in front). Not badly drawn in 7 and if coming on for that last run then certainly has a chance.

8 DYNAMIC STAR - Yeni/Visser. Commenced sand career in penultimate when a 3.5l 3rd over 1600 when drawn in 10 with Taqdeer some way behind... 2nd won 2 runs later, 4th has won 2/3 since and 5th has won 3/4 since. Was reportedly not striding lto though and well beaten over 1400. Has been off 11 weeks since and will be in with a big shout if fit and reproducing that sand debut run, the wide draw in 16 is a big concern but he has overcome difficult draws before.

9 PRIZEFIGHTER - SNhlapo/Visser. Beaten 17l on sand debut over c/d lto and has been off 49 weeks since. Drawn in 13. Can be no more than a watching brief unless the market indicates otherwise.

10 JAGERBOMB - Chambers/Smith. Lost form along with the stable. Goes this d for only the second time in his career and was beaten 13.75l in his previous attempt though he was drawn 13/13 that day (race won by NL). A return to his best would give him a chance if staying but that would be hopeful unless earlier stable runners are doing well.

11 CHISLER - Nhlapo/Myburgh. Often not too far away and has a bronze from his 4 c runs when going down by only 0.6l over 1800 in his penultimate run. Takes a drop in d having been rested 34 weeks and may need it. Unlikely for me.

12 MASTER BARRY - Fourie/Lensley. Sand debut. On his 63rd run and is usually thereabouts but may find it difficult from box 15 though the breeding suggests he may take to the surface. Has possibilities but would be trusting that he will both enjoy the sand and beat the draw.

13 BROTHER SUBLIME - Greyling/Sham. Won his maiden at the 8th time of asking lto and not completely without hope but perhaps significantly Gunter deserts him in favour of VV. Drawn in 11 and will have to improve again imo if he is to feature here.

14 TERRIBLE GULCH - Munger/Human. A former regular on the Vaal sand, he has now had 2 runs at Bingo and lto saw a much improved effort but has little luck with draws. In his penultimate effort and debut here, he was a well beaten 4th over 1600 (drawn 9/9) and was 7l adrift of runner-up GJ. However, while GJ has not yet really go on from there, TG followed-up with a decent 1.25l 2nd to a stablemate Noah Forever over c/d (drawn 12/13). A repeat of that run would see him very competitive here but he has the widest draw of all here in 17 and on lines through NF he looks well held by Taqdeer.

16 CARRY ON CAPTAIN - Mariba/Sham. Consistent for the most part and only 1.5l adrift of Taqdeer over 1200 3 runs back (now 1.5kgs better off) but the d is the main concern with only one third in 4 attempts. In with a chance if seeing out the trip but I am not convinced that he will do so as well as others and draw 14 won't help..

A difficult race with a host of possibilities and many of the ones I like most are drawn high. Very few I think are without hope so either a tight finish or one will be fully tuned up on the day and win comfortably. Trying to narrow it down, and despite the potentially horrendous draws some have, I give a definite chance to sand newcomer Master Barry if taking to the surface, and of those with experience I think Dynamic Star could be the one with more to come but Taqdeer is very hard to overlook. Night Landing, could be a big price, and Giro Jet appeal most of the rest with good draws... DYNAMIC STAR x TAQDEER x MASTER BARRY

R5

1 KARLO - Yeni/Prinsloo. Much improved and even more importantly now seems to have found much greater consistency since moving stables from Visser to Prinsloo. 2-2-2 in 8 runs for the stable (5th and 6th in the other two) with the two wins coming her in last 2 attempts over c/d (2-1-1 in 4 c/d runs for Prinsloo and 1-1-1 in 6 previously). In form Muzi is back on and drops in class but gives weight all round from the widest draw.

2 REGAL BREEZE - Fourie/Miller. 3 wins and 3 3rds from her 8 c runs and won 2 of her last 3 including a convincing 4.5l win over 1600 lto when supported. Has a fair draw here in 5 and obvious claims if staying (has yet to go this far) but was beaten 1.8l by Cadillac Baby over c/d in her penultimate outing and is now 2kgs worse off.

3 CADILLAC BABY - Nhlapo/Myburg. Very consistent of late and has usually been there or thereabouts. Her only run over this d was lto when a 2.25l 3rd to Sylvan Vista and she is now 4.5kgs better off with that rival. Globe Trotter was 0.25l further back, Phantom Ride was a further 3.25l behind and Bruce P another 4.75l. CB is now 5.5kgs better off with GT. She beat RB by 1.8l in her penultimate run over 1800 and is now 2kgs better off. She has only been beaten by more than 3.5l twice in her last 10 outings, both times are the only occasions she has drawn higher than 6 in those runs, she is in box 4 here so another decent run can be expected.

4 SYLVAN VISTA - Zackey/Miller. Disappointing on sand debut over 1800 but came back from that to win lto over c/d with a number of these rivals behind (see CB!). Has a good draw in 2 here and he is likely to need to make that advantage to the full here.

5 BRUCE P - Greyling/Sham. Well beaten by Sylvan Vista in his only run over c/d in his penultimate outing and has only one silver in 6 c runs, normally being well beaten. However, that silver did come lto in a much improved effort from a wide draw over 1800 with Prove A Point closest of 3 rivals here but still 8l back of BP. A repeat of that last run over this longer d would give him a chance but he is again drawn wide in 12.

6 ICE KITTEN - Naude/Smith. 2-2-2 in 26 c runs but returns here from a 27 week break following defeats of 27l and 50l (not striding). Has been drawn widest in each of her last 3 starts and if not needing the run and returning to form is not completely without hope. An R1 horse if a big price.

7 RUN FOR WALLY - Penny/Smith. Has been rested 10 weeks after a somewhat disappointing run lto, though the 1600 may also have been too short for him. His penultimate run, over 1800, was much better finishing a 3.5l 3rd of 6 with the 4th 6.75l further back. The two tha beat him have run a total of 7 times since with a combined tally of 3 wins, 2 2nds, one tird and one 5th. Yet to go this d but has been further and if fit and repeating the penultimate run then has possibilities from a good draw in 3.

8 DANSILI EXPRESS - Munger/Human. C debut. Off 53 weeks and that immediately followed an 18 week break so quite possible there have been major issues. Only went as far as 2000 on the turf and very likely he will need this run but worth noting in his 3rd career run (of 9) he was 2nd fav for a 1450 maiden on the vaal sand and finished a 0.25l 2nd so quite possible he will have no issues taking to the c. Low weight and the 1 box will aide his cause but not many come off such a long break to immediate success.

9 PROVE A POINT - Appie/Cason. on his maiden over 1600 at the 13th attempt three runs back and has been beaten 23.25l and 10.5l in his two subsequent runs, both over 1800. Tried this c/d twice as a maiden and was beaten 22l and 6,5l. The 11 box won't make his task any easier and looks well held over the shorter trips, a pass for me.

10 GLOBE TROTTER - Pretorius/Borman. Has 2 3rds in 4 runs over c/d and is often not far off them. Well beaten lto over 1800 but was only 2.5l behind SV over c/d in his penultimate effort. Is 1kg worse off with the winner though and again has a poor draw in 10. Hard to see him winning.

11 PHANTOM RIDE - Mariba/Sham. Her three c runs have seen defeats of 21.5l and 14l (both over 1800) and a much improved 5.75l over c/d lto in the race won by SV. Still has a fair amount to find though to overturn the form and should not really be able to do so.

12 RUN GIRL WILD - Maleking/Human. Beaten 21l on c debut over 1800 and has been rested 15 weeks since. She was well beaten in her last 6 starts (5 turf, one Vaal sand) before coming to Bingo but, she did win her only turf run over this d, albeit not recently, and the breeding does suggest she might still take to the surface. Ziets may able to give more info? For me, not one to completely overlook at the moment and possibly an R1 horse.

13 MARX TIGER - V.D.Merwe/Visser. No closer than 12.75l of the winner in his 4 c runs to date over 1600 and 1800. tries this d for the first time but does look well held on those previous runs so the d will have to bring out considerable improvement if he is to be seen. Never know with the stable but should be a comfortable pass.

Despite the weight and draw Karlo looks hard to oppose to me given the form he has been in for the stable. Plenty of chances for a shock or two in the places but I will stick with the most likely imo... KARLO x CADILLAC BABY x SYLVAN VISTA

R6

1 JAGUAR - Yeni/Lensley. Consistent sort who has only been beaten more than 3.5l once in 7 runs between 1400 and 1800 since his debut run. Looks to me to have the strongest form of those with c experience and a decent draw in 6 but, would not be surprised if one or two either progressed or ran well on sand debut to leave him in a bridesmaid role again.

2 HE'S A NADOE - Fourie/Snaith. Sand debut. Nothing in the breeding to say he will definitely take to the sand but at the same time it is hard to envisage the Snaiths sending a horse here that they weren't confident would do so. Added complication of a high draw in 12 but with Fourie up he is presumably the stable elect. Could well win but a watching brief for me.

3 CAMPBELL BLACK - Chambers/Spies. C debut. After a promising turf start in his first two runs, his form has tailed off with 12 and 18 week breaks taken after his 3rd and 4th runs respectively. His one sand run at the Vaal was against some very decent sand horses and though he has continued to disappoint on the turf it is possible the sand could reignite some form, the breeding gives him a chance of doing so but he has yet to go this far. A small idiot if the price permits.

4 GARY THE GREAT - Herholdt/Von Willing. Has been progressing gradually through his 4 c runs, 7th and 3rd over 1200, 3rd over 1400 before winning his maiden lto, albeit in somewhat fortunate circumstances over Captive Consort, over c/d with the 3rd about 10l back. If progress continues then has a chance of following up, has gone from poor draws before so box 13 may not prove to be unlucky for him.

5 SECRET DELIGHT - Khumalo/Human. Seemingly the stable elect with Khumalo booked. Won his maiden at the 20th attempt lto but that was over 1000 and he has yet to go 1600. He was beaten 1.5l in his penultimate by Planisphere, who looks held by Jaguar, so it would seem he needs to improve at this d to feature.

6 PLANISPHERE - Maleking/Miller. Seemingly not the stable elect and has been beaten 11l (1800) and 8.5l (1400) since winning his maiden (1400), finishing well adrift of Jaguar on both occasions and no obvious reason why that form should suddenly be reversed.

7 ALBERTDOTCOM - Simons/Miller. Seemingly not the stable elect and has been beaten 10.85l (1400) and 17l (1800) since winning his maiden (1200), though he was drawn 13/13 on both occasions and has the 1 box here. Hard to envisage that being sufficient to bring about the large improvement that would seem necessary for him to make a serious challenge.

8 PRINCESS CREO - Greyling/Sham. Sand debut. Last two turf starts were poor and has not gone this far previously. Breeding suggests a decent chance she will take to the surface and if so doing and staying then has a chance from a decent draw in 5 but up against some boys.

9 JACK FRIDAY - Munger/Human. Sand debut. Khumalo is up on the stable's other runner and nothing in the breeding to suggest he will take to the sand like a duck to water (?? lol). No top 3s in 13 career runs but, on the plus side, he has a low weight and a good draw in 3.

10 CAPTIVE CONSORT - Wrogemann/Sham. Still a maiden, albeit an unlucky one, he was slowly away on debut but recovered very well to win over 1600 despite running green but was then relegated to 2nd (GTG awarded the race). The 3rd was 10.25l back. He completely blew the start lto and there is of course no guarantee that there won't be similar problems today but Gunter is up implying he could be the stable elect and showed signs of ability on debut. Difficult draw to overcome in 14 even if breaking on terms but I think a chance if doing so.

11 TOBE HEATHER - V.Rensburg/Miller. This will be only her 3rd career start, is seemingly the stable elect and goes from a good draw in 2. Won a weak looking maiden by 2l on debut over 1200 and followed that up, following a 24 week rest, with a 1.15l 6th to Mean Like Mom over 1400 and a 4.5l 2nd over c/d. Up against the boys for the first time but has a chance.

12 PRECIOUS PRISCILLA - V.D.Merwe/Sham. On jockey bookings would appear to be the stable's third choice runner but VDM has ridden her 3 times in CT so that may have played a part in the decision process. Destroyed not the worst Bingo maiden field when winning by 6.25l on sand debut lto over 1200 when drawn 10/13 (SD 2nd and 4th - Mean Like Mom - won next two). Has been the d in a Kenilworth maiden, beaten 6.25l when racing wide. Has a high draw again here in 11 but not without a chance.

13 TRUE GIFT - Brown/Snaith. Sand debut. Seemingly not the stable elect and has drawn poorly in 15. Breeding suggests a chance she will take to the surface and recent turf form has been good. Not without hope but the draw must be a concern and up against boys.

14 LA FLAMME - Penny/Smith. Poor form recently and often fails to fully see out the sprint distances. High draw in 10, takes on boys and stable quiet. A pass for me.

Another affair with possibles aplenty. The safest option is probably Jaguar but the two Snaith runners must be considered and all three Sham runners nag for different reasons, Gary The Great and Tobe Heather could still have improvement to come and Campbell Black could bounce back... (edited) PRECIOUS PRISCILLA x JAGUAR x CAPTIVE CONSORT

R7

1 WOLF IN WINTER - Wrogemann/Von Willing. Sand debut. Rested 10 weeks. Two moderate turf efforts since winning his maiden and nothing in the breeding indicates to me he is highly likely to take to the surface first time out. Watching brief.

3 FLY ME HIGH - Naude/Spies. Two silvers before winning his maiden on his 3rd c visit and form here appears better than elsewhere and was well beaten on the Vaal sand lto, though he was up against a few decent sand horses. This is a weak looking field and as such he is in with a chance but in his penultimate run here he finished only 0.5l in front of Beach Bar and that one looks held here.

4 RANDOM AL - V.D.Merwe/Visser. Not been in the best of form recently and had 4 of these rivals in front of him lto when well beaten over c/d, most notably has 8.25l to find with Black Pepper on that run.

6 JOHNNIE QUID - Fourie/De Beer. Fair 2l 4th on c debut was followed by 3 moderate turf outings. Has now had 42 weeks off and the likelihood is he will need the run but Fourie up and if fit then a chance based on that one appearance here.

7 BEACH BAR - V.Rensburg/Miller. Went close a few times before finally securing his maiden win at the 18th time of asking but was well beaten in his first effort out of the maidens lto and was behind Faboolosity, Fantasy Hostess and, most significantly, Black Pepper with whom he has to overturn a 7.5l deficit.

8 SECRET FLAG - Yeni/Prinsloo. Has done most of his recent campaigning on the Vaal sand over further with no great success. Returns to Bingo, where he is 1-1-1 in 13 runs, off a 12 week rest. Jockey and trainer in form but unless they have worked a little magic, an unlikely winner for me.

9 FANTASY HOSTESS - Greyling/Sham. Not the most consistent with a mixture of some fair efforts in with quite a few thrashings. Has only one top 3 in 11 c/c runs and 7l to find on their c/d meeting lto. Possible with the stable in form and if she is at her best but taking on boys again and unlikely for me.

10 ROUSSEAU - Herholdt/Von Willing. Sand debut. Interesting that the trainer has entered this one as still a maiden. Decent chance on breeding that he will take to the surface and if so doing then has a chance in this field. On 3rd run after a rest and trainer and jockey with good recent records.

11 BLACK PEPPER - Khumalo/Goosen. Good sand debut over c/d when being caught late and having to settle for a 1.75l 3rd. Had 4 of these rivals at least 3.75l behind. Khumalo now up and of those with sand experience, very much looks like the one they have to beat.

12 JANNU - Nhlapo/De Beer. Was racing against better but reported lame on is return run from a 23 week break and now comes back from a further 37 weeks off. If all fit and well then a chance but worth noting he was well beaten on his only run here over 1200 and despite a decent debut on the Vaal sand he was well beaten in 2 subsequent runs there. Can be no more than a watching brief for me.

13 BADI - Penny/Rugg. Had a spell late last year of good form but that has all gone and recent runs have been poor. Usually goes over 1200 and drops to the minimum d but his only effort over 1000 previously resulted in a 10.75l beating. Hard to recommend until a glimmer of a form return is seen.

14 BROTHER JOSH - Maleking/Lensley. Sand debut. Recent turf form has been moderate and there is nothing in the breeding that says to me he will take to the sand, no more than a watching brief.

15 FABOOLOSITY - Tolmay. Reserve now getting a run. Has done most of his campaigning on the Vaal sand and often was there or thereabouts. Has 3.75l to find with BP on their c/d run lto when on 2nd run after a 10 week rest and was reported as not striding that day. Pre-race I preferred him to BP based on the Vaal form and his decent silver in his only other visit to Bingo when beaten 0.05l by Wolf's Girl over c/d. It would be fair to say that the LG stable has hit some form of late but even so, assuming all is well now, and on 3rd run after a rest, then he could well be fighting out the finish here.

16 WAY WITH WORDS - ZackeyRugg. Has generally been poor in her 6 runs since coming out of the maidens but most of those have been over 1200 and her best form has probably been over the minimum trip. Not completely without hope if at her best but takes on the boys here for the first time

Not a great event and a shock not entirely out of the question. I have it between Black Pepper, Faboolosity and Rousseau with Fly Me High also considered. I would like to know who is aboard Faboolosity but assuming it wii be a competent jock and partly based on potential value, I have decided to try... FABOOLOSITY x ROUSSEAU x BLACK PEPPER

R8

1 THE PLUNDERER - Fourie/Von Willing. Beaten 11,5l in both c runs, the first back in August over 1600 and then lto over c/d with 3 of these rivals finishing in front of him. From a tricky draw in 10, it is hard to find good reason why the form should be reversed.

2 CAPTIVATOR - Wrogemann/Sham. Rested 28 weeks and usually goes over further but he is yet to fish outside the top 3 on this c with a 2-4-1 record in her 7 attempts. His only c/d run was a 1.75l silver in a decent field. Gunter is up implying that despite the break he is the stable elect and a good draw in 5. Big runner if he doesn't need it.

3 SPACE GIRL - V.Rensburg/Miller. Not the most consistent and was well beaten by LQ and WAYB over c/d in her penultimate run and by LQ again in the run prior to that. Everything points to the fact that she should not go close but the blinkers go on and she is on 4th run after a rest. Last time that was the case she also had poor form leading up to the run, had shown slightly improved form over 1400 the previous run and then, dropped back to 1200, she was backed in from 18s to 9/2 and ran a 1l silver. Could lightning strike twice? Stranger things have happened at Flamingo!! (Had the 1 box that day and was a girls only race).

4 LECTURE QUEEN - Zackey/Rugg. Two silvers and a bronze in her 4 c runs having placed in both c/d attempts. Was 1.4l behind Wind At Your Back lto and is now 4kg worse off but she did jump awkwardly that day. The blinkers are in with a definite chance from a decent draw in 6 but she is up against the boys again and jockey bookings could indicate she is not the stable elect.

5 SOLDIERSAILOR - V.D.Merwe/Visser. C debut. Has been off for 62 weeks and made his sand debut at the Vaal in his last run when beating a competitive field over 1200. Has the widest draw of 11 which won't help his cause but, If fit and well then potentially a big runner here, the market may be the best indicator as to his well being.

6 GIANT STRIDES - Brown/Rugg. Jockey arrangement would indicate he is the stable elect. Good winner over 1400 lto with 3 of these rivals behind behind (HT 4.75l, WAYB 6.5l, NC 12.5l). Is 0-1-1 in 3 runs over c/d and could be vulnerable to one or two perhaps more suited to this shorter d but has a good draw in 3 and won't be beaten without a fight.

7 KIRTLING TOWERS - Herholdt/Von Willing. Has a 1-1-1 record from his 3 c runs with the gold coming by 4l in his debut run here, and the only time he has run over c/d, when backed in from 40s to 12s. Has challenged strongly in his 2 subsequent runs over 1000. Has a potentially tricky draw in 8 but should be up there contesting the finish.

8 WIND AT YOUR BACK - Pretorius/Kotze. Probably his best trip and has been in good, conistent over 1200 recently. Likes to come with a late burst so the 9 draw might not pose a big issue. Was well behind GS over 1400 lto but likely to be much more competitive here. Was beaten 0.25l by HT over c/d 3 runs back but has a 3.5kg swing in his favour. Has to be respected and if in a position to make his late rattle count then gold could be his.

9 HOSTILE TAKEOVER - Greyling/Sham. Beaten 4.75l by GS over 1400 lto but was drawn 12/12 that day. Debut run on the c saw him beaten 5.75l over this trip but followed up by beating WAYB by 0.25l nto. WAYB is now 3.5kg better off. Seemingly not the stable elct but from a good draw in 4 merits consideration.

10 NEW CIRCLE - Penny/Lensley. Has a 1-3-1 record in 13 runs (1-1-1 in 7 over c/d), all here, and is not often disgraced but, at the same time, rarely close enough to bother the judge's cameraman. Well behind 3 of these lto when beaten 12.5l by GS over 1400 and 3 runs back was 3,7l adrift of KT over 1000. Hard to see reasons why those form lines should be overturned.

11 ACTIVE POWER - Yeni/Naidoo. C debut. Interesting runner. Seems to have periods of in/out form. First 3 runs on the Vaal sand saw him finish 2nd, 1st (maiden races over 1200), 5th (1450) but in 5 subsequent runs, all over 1450 or 1600) at that venue he got no closer than 10l of the winner. He has 3 wins though, all at this d (11 attempts, 0 wins in 24 attempts over other trips) and his last two turf efforts over 1200 saw him beaten by only 3.25l and 3.1l. Has the 1 box here, Muzi up and a light load, could well challenge if he takes to the c and not to be discounted.

Yet another difficult contest to decipher and once more it is hard to select one with any great degree of confidence. There are only a couple I give no hope to but enough thinking, decided to go against what seems to be the stable elect and go with a girl... LECTURE QUEEN x WIND AT YOUR BACK x KIRTLING TOWERS

R9

1 TUDOR STAR - Greyling/Sham. Good win lto over 1400 and prior to that was only beaten 2.5l by Sudden Surprise over 1200. She was 1.25l behind Wolf's Girl though and the latter is now 1.5kg better off, potentially of greater significance is that TS has been given box 15 while WG is much better placed in 7. Not without a chance but the draw could make it very difficult.

2 GYPSY FAIR - Wrogemann/Sham. Closely matched with stable mate TS who beat GF by 1l over 1400 lto with the latter now 1kg better off. Won penultimate over c/d from the 11 draw, which she has again here, with 4 of these rivals behind, Princess Chichibu coming closest 3.5l adrift. 3 runs back she was 0.4l behind Pole Star and 0.1 behind another stable mate, With Passion but is worse off at the weights with both now, PS by 2kg and WP 2.5kg. Other form lines too but the bottom line is that there are a few who are closely matched. Has a chance and won from this draw two runs back.

3 BOARDING CALL - Chambers/Spies. Fine recent form and has won on her last two visits to Bingo since returning to the c following a lengthy absence. Beat Prolan by 1.5l in her penultimate visit here, she is now 2kg worse off but was reported to have stumbled that day (Princess Chichibu beaten 4.25l, Theory 5,5l). Followed up with a win over c/d beating Pole Dance by 0.25l with the latter now 1kg better off. The draw could be a bigger issue though as she has a potentially tough one in 12.

4 POLE DANCE - Herholdt/Von Willing. 3-5-1 in 13 c runs and 1-1-0 in 4 over c/d (no top 3s in 4 other d runs) demonstrates her consistent performances here. Silver lto over 1400 when closely matched with GF and WP, silver in penultimate over 1200 when closely matched with BC. Drawn in 10 but was 2nd from the 12 box lto.

5 PROLAN - Yeni/Visser. Has been in excellent form since arriving in Bingo with a 2-2-1 record in her 7 runs all over the minimum trip, 4th in the other two and has been beaten no further than 2.25l in those 7 runs. Gets a 1,5kg pull with Boarding Call for a 1.5l defeat 5 runs back. However, this is her first c/d run and the draw has not been kind. She does have a silver in 3 d runs (debut) and has pace to possibly overcome the draw but it is still a big ask from the 14 box.

6 WOLF'S GIRL - Brown/Rugg. 3-2-0 record in 8 c runs with a silver lto in her only attempt over c/d. Finished 1.25l in front of TS, is now 1.5kg better off and has much the better of the draw of the two in 7. Does occasionally not turn up as in her penultimate run when beaten 8.5l over 1000 but if in the mood here then she has a decent chance with many of her likely main rivals drawn high.

7 THEORY - Simons/Von Willing. 3rd over 1200 lto when drawn 3 compared to BC in 7 and PD in 8 but about 4l back of both, now 4kg better off with BC and 3kg with PD. Well beaten by BC and Prolan in penultimate over 1000 but 3 runs back was 3rd, again over 1000, only 0.75l behind Prolan and is now 5kg better off with Prolan. Seemingly not the stable elect and probably held on that last run but not without a chance, drawn in 8.

8 AIRBENDER - V.Rensburg/Miller. Sand debut. Somewhat interesting contender. Takes a huge drop in d following heavy defeats over 2000 on the Poly and, following an 11 week break, 11.65l on the turf. Those were her first runs out of the maidens. The breeding gives her a fair chance of taking to the sand and she does have a good draw in 4. However improbable, not impossible perhaps sums up her chances best.

9 QUEEN BESS - Maleking/Lensley. An idiot bet for me. Won a fairly weak looking maiden on debut here over 1000 in her penultimate run by 2,5l with the 3rd beaten 5.25l. She was supported that day from 12s into 11/2. The 2nd has finished a close 2nd in his next two starts, with the 3rd about 4l and then 6l further back. Was sluggish away lto, again over 1000, when returning from a 16 week break, and although beaten 7l she came from a long way back finishing strongly. If she can break better, and assuming she will strip fitter for that last run, then the extra 200 may help. She does though have a poor draw in 16 but is not to be discounted as she could threaten if running on strongly again..

10 SMART SET - Khumalo/Von Willing. Came off a 15 week break to win her maiden at the 6th time of asking on her sand debut over c/d in her penultimate run. It was a relatively weak looking field but she destroyed them by 7.25l. Was then off a further 14 weeks but was heavily beaten lto on her return, again over c/d, when 12.25l behind GF. However, she was reported as in season and coughing in that run. Although Mean Like May may have improved in the interim, it is perhaps noteworthy that MLM was beaten 8.25l (4.25l in front of SS) that day, but had been beaten 8.75l by SS in the latter's winning sand debut. Weights and draw perhaps show GFs as the better performance but on that basis they are perhaps much closer matched than that last run would indicate. Perhaps not the stable elect but Khumalo booked and if coming on for that last run and all well then another I wouldn't overlook, drawn in 6.

11 KATE'S EMBLEM - Fourie/Rugg. She was only 1l behind TS in her penultimate run but on all other recent races she does look well held. Has the 1 box and Fourie up but has something to find with a number of these and, although not impossible due to the wide draws many have, I think it unlikely she will able to reverse all those form lines.

12 WITH PASSION - Mariba/Sham. Not for the first time today, the horse which is seemingly the Sham third runner is of some interest. As shown above she has some close form lines with a few others in with chances here but unlike them she has a decent draw in 5. The problem is that she is often thereabouts but rarely sees it through to the line, her stats of 1-1-4 in 14 c/d runs and 2-2-9 in 31 c runs perhaps demonstrates that fact but nevertheless she is yet another who could win.

13 PRINCESS CHICHIBU - Penny/Miller. Has run some of these rivals close but perhaps been behind them enough and by sufficient distance to make me think she will again find a few better than her on the day. Seemingly not the stable elect but I think she will be much closer than the 10l defeat she suffered lto over 1000. In the vicinity and a possible but not a probable.

14 CAROUSEL - Munger/Human. Low weight, good draw in 3, on 3rd run after a rest but although she could strip fitter, she does look held on those last 2 runs.

Yet another very tough one with plenty closely matched, a good number of the more likely candidates having high draws to overcome and a few who could surprise. Not going to debate it further, here's what I ended up with... POLE DANCE x BOARDING CALL x GYPSY FAIR

Resting now! lol

Be(s)t of luck to all (tu)

Brilliant stuff Engels

Thank You E

Thanks E much appreciated