Vaal Sand Thursday 22 Aug

The Happy Horseplayer Wrote:

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> Speed ratings for main contenders with previous
> Vaal Sand form
>
> RACE 1 MDN 1000m
> 85…Cosmic Tom 16/10
> 81…Tornado Twister 7/1
> 72…Salute the Sun 16/1
> 71…Golden Dollar 14/1
> 62…Play-Play 20/1
> 58…Don Vito 20/1
> 57…Im No Mickey Mouse 66/1
> ??…Flaming Sun 40/1
> Should the draw be a factor here the top 3 would
> at a disadvantage, yet the top 2 rated have shown
> form that is 3-5 lengths superior to the rest.
> A compromise…will float Golden Dollar in the
> quartet as a banker, with one of the top 2, find a
> place for Mickey Mouse and Flaming Sun, most
> probably at the expense of Don Vito. Noted that
> Salute the Sun has shown reasonable form from poor
> draws and should be included…yet more likely one
> to watch in future when running from a favourable
> draw.
>
> RACE 2 MR 84 1450m
> 101…Panjo 6/10
> 100…Dual Alliance 9/2
> ..95…Baron Zemo 11/2
> ..92…Funny Glory 8/1
> ..86…Romeo’s Reward
> Whilst the Dual Alliance comeback run was
> disappointing, on past form there is very little
> between him and Panjo. Not feeling comfortable
> with any of the contenders here.
>
> RACE 3 MDN-F 1450m
> 65…Calypso Girl 22/10
> 62…Berryfields 8/1
> 52…The It Girl 12/1
> 49…Temps Perdu 25/1
> Think this is the lowest set of ratings I have
> ever had for a race. Whilst Calypso Girl ran
> reasonably well on 1st Aug. she was last week over
> 1600m…some favourite!
> Looking at ‘sand’ stables and favourable
> draws…then Nondweni’s Filly appeals.(tu) (tu) (tu)
>
> RACE 4 MR 74 1450m
> 100…Velddrifter 8/1
> ..98…Lord Hawke 16/10
> ..97…Aces High 3/1
> ..97…Bareback 16/1
> ..95…Where’s My Chop 3/1
> ..88…Sermon 7/1
> Going to be needing your best problem solving and
> decision making skills here.
> Where’s My Chop is undoubtedly the most
> consistent sand performer around with 10 good runs
> during the last year…however his top figure of
> 95 does not look good enough to win here, place
> sure! Then we come to the ‘bounce’ patterns of
> the top 4 rated contenders and there are clearly
> more questions than answers around those
> performances, then there are the distance changes
> for them all and things get even cloudier! Keeping
> it at its simplest, that each horse puts it best
> foot forward – follow the ratings.
>
> RACE 5 MDN 1800m
> 75…Solar Energy 11/2
> 71…King 8/1
> 70…Atlas Grove 10/1
> 68…Big Lion 9/2
> 66…Border Patrol 14/1
> 63…Seldom Seen Kid 75/1
> ??…Ali 9/2
> ??…Glitter Ali 2/1
> An open looking event with two sand debutants
> topping the boards, in a very moderate field,
> along with Big Lion who’s main ‘claim’ to
> fame is that PS keeps the ride. Going with Ali in
> the PA.
>
> RACE 6 MR 68F 1800m
> 92…Elegant Bay 4/1
> 91…Olympic Spring 11/10
> 86…Summer Sari 12/1
> 85…Tizasmartdollar 8/1
> 82…Beautiful Dawn 7/1
> 80…Aloha Bay 16/1
> Shapes up as a 2 horse race with Elegant Bay
> looking the better ‘value’. Summer Sari looks
> a fair place proposition and Pretty Lady the
> lurker.
>
> RACE 7 MR 72 1800m
> 96…Blue Concorde 11/2
> 92…Hunter Valley 8/1
> 91…King’s Joy 6/1
> 90…Cockney Tiger 3/1
> 90…Giro Jet 3/1
> 89…Divine Invitation 12/1
> 88…Sugar Ray 20/1
> Blue Concorde put up his best performance of his
> ‘comeback trail’ last time out (after 10
> races) and looks fairly ‘well in’ here in this
> competitive event. Hunter Valley has the best
> history but with 2 poor runs from his last 3, and
> the appy strategy, not that confident. Was
> ‘undone’ by Cockney Tiger’s follow-up win
> lto and not that keen on him again today,
> especially with the 10 week break. Think Divine
> Invitation should be included in quartets and
> likely to have the stable companion Ganesh there
> as well.
>
> RACE 8 MR 78 1000m
> 101…Stavinsky 10/1
> 100…Maji Moto 6/1
> ..98…Authenticated 14/1
> ..97…Shine Tiger 5/1
> ..97…Gabronza 6/1
> ..95…Annaconda Moon 33/1
> ..91…Mr. Alfonso 12/1
> If the result of race one indicates a draw
> preference it may help to get clearer here.
> Otherwise, it seems very tricky, and the jockey
> engagements further cloud the issue.
> Maji Moto still looks competitive but this is very
> open and would not be surprised to see something
> like Princess Alberta sneak in.

That was a costly change of mind! lol

For jackpot purposes I am rooting for Atlas Grove and Seldom Seen KidB)-

Ali will earn

River Romance cost me dearly running into the quartet.

jackpot fancies in order of preference to boost payouts
Bermuda Bowl
Scarletto
Summer Sari
Pretty Lady
Beautiful Dawn

i will be shocked if Tizasmartdollar does not finished in the trifecta

mr hawaii Wrote:

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> i will be shocked if Tizasmartdollar does not
> finished in the trifecta


mr hawaii you better start looking for a shock absorber()

trifecta 1/6/7

Beautiful Dawn went down the same as last
place

mr hawaii Wrote:

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> i will be shocked if Tizasmartdollar does not
> finished in the trifecta


I will be just as shocked if he does , only left him and Aloha bay out of jackpot:

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Bad ride SS