Turfontein 13/10/12

I am starting this thread cos I'm looking for help from anybody who does his own handicapping Justin,Pirates ,Frodo perhaps?
My dilemma is race 7 t'morrow.
On official MR No1 Final Score(86) is very well handicapped.I,however have the horse rated 71....... (outside chance only!)
I respect our handicappers so I look for another opinion..... so I check out Sporting Post who I also respect.They concur with Handicappers so I recheck my ratings and for the life of me can't see where the 86 comes from.I also notice that not Sporting Post ,or any of their tipsters TIP the horse in their first 4 selections....The tipping team must also think the horse is not well handicapped?????
I need another opinion or 2 please.

I have to firstly cuation that I'm not one to rely on when it comes to ratings - but will have a look anyway - secondly, at this stage I have to say that I doubt if racing will go ahead tomorrow - anyone with a weather update on weather conditions at Turffontein?

Thanks Frodo.

Darryl,I know you're lurking on the site ...........whats your take too please?

Had rain on and off today

Hi rob..if you look at the oaks run, the 2nd horse beloved betty was obviously used as a line horse..off her 99..the 3rd horse in the race europe to africa went from 81 in that race up to 94..and final score from 80 to 86..the winner tajmeel that beat the line horse hasnt run since but is probably 104/105..if you look at the formgrids profile of the race you can appreciate that beloved betty is the only possible line horse that could be used as if the 3rd horse is used the level is way too low..in saying this it is highly possible that beloved betty did not run to 99 that day..which means final score coul be a bit high..in fact she has run in handicaps off a 76 and 82 and not reproduced..but the oaks run was her best and she may have improved into that run..but overall looking at the oaks it looks like it could be high but the route followed is possibly the only one

:S:)o

Fire Wheel to come home smoking.

If they race Killua Castle.............game over.

I know they say even a blind person can tip a 5/10.
Will they back a first timer at 5/10

whats the verdict Cannon? Perigrine racing off a rest in steels and carrying 60 kgs seems strange so much money for him ? am i looking at the wrong formbook?

I rate Cannon - that Sand run not his form - Better grass and trip - The sand would have done a Link Man on him so expect a top two finish

race 1 MIZAR - if he can run half as fast as his half-brother's fans can talk then he could be in the money. (Woody horse the talking horse here) formgrids.biz/subscriber/fgBreedSearch.a...ve+The+Stars&cnty=ZA
Win or lose he must noted with Laird as his trainer.