Fairview 4/5/2012 (ODIE.GR - SA)

Fairview race 4

Press synthesis goes for the no 11 (Mr Vindaloo) in a uniform fashion.
The no 4 (Lake Albert) and the no 2 (Havasha) are the strongest also runs.

From winningform speed angle criterion the 11 is not a sure winner (it says 11 = 85.80, 4 = 86.00 so that's only a length separating them). I believe 3 to 5 lengths are needed to declare a "certainty". Winningform goes on to say that Mr Vindaloo is often a slow starter while the opposite is true of Lake Albert who tends to be found for finishing speed.

Prediction: 11-4-2-1

Fairview race 7

One section of internet tipsters go for the nos 9 (Count Dumani) and 7 (African Alliance) while another go for the no 1 (Bois De Var). The no 9 comes out stronger in the final votes count.

winningform says 1 = 70.5, 3 = 70.7, 5 -= 70.7, 10 = 70.7, so those too are huddled together. But 3-5-10 appear to come out as 9th-10th-6th chances in the overall tipsters vote count. The no 9 (Count Dumani) stands at 70.9 (not far from the top listed speed value).

Prediction: 9-1-7-5

In the first of those, a dismal performence from the favourite. The race result was 9-12 (Run Rorkus Run - Lemon Fizz). The no 12 had many late backers (Lemon Fizz) but the winner came out of the blue.
In the second race 1-7, as predicted more or less.

* The tv program has two indicators of price movements.
One is exactly the same as bookies.co.za.
The other is tote but I don't know where it comes from.

the other is the live tote dividends

Solotrama Wrote:

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> the other is the live tote dividends

Live tote dividends.
From what website ?
Who has the better predictability ?
In UK I believe it's the bookies (compared to some British tote site I 've been looking at).

kajamix Wrote:

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> Solotrama Wrote:
>

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>

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> > the other is the live tote dividends
>
> Live tote dividends.
> From what website ?
> Who has the better predictability ?
> In UK I believe it's the bookies (compared to some
> British tote site I 've been looking at).

Kajamix
Looks like I might have to dwelve into the third vice - ganjamix.
All these talk about indicators etc has got me all mixed up.

Well it's like this:
Most people like to gamble late in the day.
I believe if you gamble with fixed odds and if you know something I don't, you had better do it early to get a good price.
But if you gamble sp or if the system is such that you have only the sp option, then you place the money as late in the day as possible.
Anyway what we all observe is that late money talks. Go figure.
Sometimes it's a fools paradise but statistics say it talks,

The tote site talked about here is not known to me.
I believe, between the two, the one with more betting intensity (more money being wagered) is likely to be the more reliable to pay attention to.

I don't follow blindly. They for some reason went for a donkey at Wolverhampton, England in today's last - I did n't follow.

live tote odds here news.tabonline.co.za/LiveOddsResults/Cur...bid/154/Default.aspx

fixed odds www.interbet.co.za

Thanks. I will look into those as well on Monday afternoon.