Durban July - 2011

Frodo Wrote:

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> Nothing really jumps out at me - Cask could be
> some each way value at the weights;
> Dancewiththedevil (why would she be in front,
> Punter?) has a lot against her - she is doubtful
> over the trip, her style of running will not suit
> Greyville and she has been set a lot of 'pudding'
> to carry imo

Different tactics Frodo , if no pace in the race and jock gets her to the front and with her acceleration ability she can steal it .

DWTD wil steal it.

Remember Ipi Tombi

Well I suppose we see it differently; I think St John is a guy who sticks to what works, and what works is that she comes from almost last (with a devastating burst of acceleration it must be said) to win going away; I don't think she will go to the front (if she even runs in the race) even if there is a slow pace - it will just be another factor against her - still she is a super filly - would like to see her take on Igugu at WFA

IGUGU IGUGU IGUGU

Sylvester Wrote:

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> IGUGU IGUGU IGUGU

Couldnt agree with you more. To be one of the shortest priced favourites ever? At 4/1 now, one really cant get that burnt if she doesnt run.
As a roughie - CASTLETHORPE is a much different horse now after recently being gelded. But I think I read something about Bass saying that he may stay put in Cape Town? We shall see after the Winter Guineas tomorrow.

Neighmaster Wrote:

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> If Dancewiththedevil stays the 2000m at
> Turffontein, at the end of the month, then she'll
> surely stay the July distance, at Greyville.
> Weight may then become an issue, but I don't think
> the Greyville track will be a problem. I have
> seldom seen a horse with such acceleration; she
> sweeps past the opposition in a matter of strides,
> once given her head. Freaky stuff.
As a Modus V I really think she will stay - She still seems a bit "dumb" to me - I hope and pray that she stays sound as she could be a really big crowd puller if she keeps on improving -

Tommy_Hotspur Wrote:

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> The early betting is out and a few of the
> contenders have run. This thread is specifically
> designed for punters that like to have an early go
> on long shots or on the shorter priced horses so
> they can make a book.
>
> Let's start posting what we fancy in the favored
> betting market as well as 1 long
> shot.........................
>
> My favorite pick: Run for It
> Longshot: Super Storm
>
> Let's have some fun and see who gets
> closest......you can of course change your picks
> as you go along, whatever you need to do to get to
> your pick come the first week in July


Let's see how everyone's pics have changed and adapted. Run for it no longer my first choice...in fact not in my top 5. Super Storm I still fancy.

Run for It to win it from Bravura.....

Stand by my December posting X( www.africanbettingclan.com/forum/phorum-...97,187843#msg-187843

Will stick with Castlethorpe

English Garden and past master

I agree with pirate's assessment on another thread - it's between Bravura and Super Storm for me - both have some negatives against them though - Bravura may not be ideally suited to Greyville and Super Storm has - imo - not the best rider in the July to 'assist' him. I make the 3yr old with the best chance Galileo's Destiny - he may improve more with de Kock and has the weight advantage with most of the other 3 yr old's (accept for Castlethorpe who has some stamina doubts).

I have some real doubts about Pierre Jourdan getting the trip and Past Master has too much (top weight and stamina doubts) against him imo.

So my top 4 are:

1. Bravura
2. Super Storm
3. Galileo's Destiny
4. Igugu