Turffontein Saturday 29/12

Discuss below

bad taste Greyville last fav
Lone Survivor x Rivarine
:lol: :ohmy: :kiss: :woohoo: :evil: :whistle: :lol: :huh: :blush: :huh: :sick: :woohoo:
they lovely aren't they 26

Lots of rain last night and still extremely overcast.


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FORT CAROL
ORAPA
TONGUE TWISTER
INVINCIBLE LADY
LEFTRIGHTGOODNIGHT
BRIGTNUMBERTEN
TALKTOTHESTARS
RUNNING BRAVE
MOUNT KEITH

Silver Thursday

Racing likely to be affected by the weather - official going currently reported as good - but I would wait until after the first race - they often change their minds

Key to the P6 obviously Silver Thursday and Oravar - if both win I can't see it paying too much .... ST imo very hard to beat - even if taking her last run at the lowest rating, I still make her at least 7 points better at the weights than Invincible Lady - IL though could be held by Sand Princess (on their last meeting) - IF SP stays the 2000; Fariha imo has a lot to do - held by Gottalottalove on their runs behind Excalibur's Return - and G is 8 points out with IL .... so all in all only wet going might prove a problem for ST - she has never run in soft conditions

Oravar has all the speed and blinkers could make him concentrate better - really seems to have found the right field; at a stretch Whorly Whorly, Shifting Shadows (better slightly further ) and Roman Evening (fair last two efforts) seem the only ones capable of beating him

So what could make the P6 pay .....the 5th is a handicap, so in theory the field is a possibility; the 7th I think Rebel's Champ looks hard to beat - but if he does fluff his lines, imo the upsets could come from Clever Guy and Isphan - this guy has as good a chance as any imo (if ignoring his last two efforts - one which was over 1160 which is too far for him); in the 8th for me it lies between Ouro and Running Brave - Made In Hollywood has the class, but that last run was very poor and I think she may now need more ground - but probably stupid to ignore her completely; in the last obviously one needs to include as many as possible - for sure I'd be including Baahir - who tries the blinkers which could just improve him a bit - 4 of his 6 wins came when wearing blinkers - Greasepaint also an obvious inclusion - down another 2 points in the ratings and has faced a lot stronger

Enjoy

CHIEF BLACK HORSE (PLACE)

4th to IDITAROD TRAIL over the 1450m TFI

Lerena to win on Fort Carol, Oravar and Ouros.... and place on all his other mounts is a 103/1 multiple with HB. I put R25 ..... worth an interest imo.

did we just get Greeffed by MDK

1 Lone Survivor
2 Orapa
3 Changing Seasons
9 Aurora Australis

Magi wrote: 1 Lone Survivor
2 Orapa
3 Changing Seasons
9 Aurora Australis

Add Striker


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