Vaal Thursday

mr hawaii wrote: CHOIR SINGER in quartets
FLAMING HOT best e/w - unsound so risk but at 8-1 ...
VIBURNUM may be best 1800m plus but knew nothing on debut an ran on from hopeless position-
SOME SONG best bet

Tony T wrote: Well done to the guys who backed Some Song. Durbs was right !!!

mr hawaii wrote: I'm not really one to let facts get in the way of a good legend in the making BUT...

odds on wins for De Melo - 50% wins on horses even or less
< 1/1 (< $2) 12 50%
1/1 - 5/1 ($2.00 - $6.00) 179 22%

odds on wins for Hewitson- 38% wins on horses even or less

1/1 (< $2) 8 38%
1/1 - 5/1 ($2.00 - $6.00) 145 22%

I think we can agree that Lyle rides much better horses for much better stables so perhaps perceptions don't match facts?

DOCTOR R wrote: I think a penalty kick is coming on in the last race to force a P6 c/o...for Saturday?????

durbs wrote:

mr hawaii wrote: I'm not really one to let facts get in the way of a good legend in the making BUT...

odds on wins for De Melo - 50% wins on horses even or less
< 1/1 (< $2) 12 50%
1/1 - 5/1 ($2.00 - $6.00) 179 22%

odds on wins for Hewitson- 38% wins on horses even or less

1/1 (< $2) 8 38%
1/1 - 5/1 ($2.00 - $6.00) 145 22%

I think we can agree that Lyle rides much better horses for much better stables so perhaps perceptions don't match facts?

50% on even money shots is the average so if you include the odds on horses the strike rate should be better than 50%.Maybe it's just me who can never get him right when he's on a favorite.

mr hawaii wrote:

DOCTOR R wrote: I think a penalty kick is coming on in the last race to force a P6 c/o...for Saturday?????

and that it was