Turffontein Tuesday 12/9/17

Colin Dav wrote: Tricky card with some extremely well bred first timers.

R1 Candice Dawson runner does make some appeal with the money around, my preference will be for sweet Juliet and isn't a bad inclusion for a top 4 at around 8/10.

R2 Small competitive field and trickier then it looks. Joey Piper as well as Duke nukem make appeal for me.

R3 Like I said yesterday I won't be rushing to take evens about Boatswain. Of the exposed runners you have to include along with Sweet trial, however Power of Place as well as Sage rock are the money horses and I can see why. Both supposedly drawn nicely. The former related to the speedy one fine day whilst the latter related to the classy precursor. Took a chance on the early odds of the former at 10/1 and 12/10 a top 4 so nice to see some support there.

R4 Allsakhra the obvious inclusion on his cracking last effort. I however will be with the fit and improving Kings county. On the Dam side 1160 of his last run is far too short and ran on really strongly so at 3's may be the value here as he's bound to love the step up in trip.

R5 Nieuwenhuizen had a good Saturday and am inclined to side with him here but I really think Magner may have found the right race for King's creek finally. Has been kept to the inside track for months but how she's been running of late I feel may appreciate being back to more of a galloping track. No value at the odds but I think KC could finally get it right.

R6 Initially snapped up a bit of the 15/10 on Social order but the equipment changes does worry me a little and the drift in the market does smell a little of prep run for the Grand Heritage. Zouaves last effort was a cracking run and if the fav isn't quite ready Z could pick up the pieces. Roughie for inclusion is Tandava with the maestro aboard.

R7 Another very tricky race here where I think we could get a result. For me Master Boulder is the value. Style of running suggests up the straight may be more his game. On a line through Just as I said, Aramouse beat JAIS by 2.5 receiving 10kg, MB got beaten by JAIS by 4 when receiving only 4 kg. MB now receives 5 kg from A. So some 11kg swing in the weights for a some 6l beating. Yes weights over sprints don't mean a whole lot but 11kg I'd much rather be on the 12/1 about MB rather then the 7/2 about A.

R8 Another tricky end to the day and the betting suggests that at 5/1 bar. For me the value lies with the bottom weight Wottahottie. Supposedly nicely drawn and a bit of a weight turn around with a few in the race and at 10's and 16/10 a top 4 I think represented a bit of value. Gotta however include a bunch of runners here in order to watch the race in peace.

Tough competitive racing with hopefully a few decent dividends and some nice first timers to follow.

Play well.

MasterOfMyFate wrote: Play the Night 18/10

mydada wrote: nothing but a false favourite