Turffontein Saturday 15/8/15

BP:
1,3/3,5/14/1/1,3,4,6/5-7

Feel like waffling a bit so here goes:

R1: Saraaba the obvious one, but not really convincing for me and maybe the Toreador first timer Hosanna can surprise here - drawn on what seems to be the better side of the track with an experienced rider abort - if somebody held a gun to my hand, I'd chance her each-way

R2: The recent runs of the older fillies are way below their current ratings, so I think the value lies with the younger fillies - I know Pacifica is supposed to need the run, but she comes out of strong form lines and I think she can upset her more fancied stable companion(s)

R3: I think this could be close between Belong To Me and Lazer Star - Belong To Me may have a problem with the firm going, but if reproducing his best is surely going to give Lazer Star something to think about

R4: The 2 fancied first timers do not have to be superstars (and talk seems to suggest that they could be much better than average) to beat these - not a lot between Ayrton and In the Moment, so Ayrton could be a value inclusion in trifectas and quartets - Red Special out of a Galileo mare, so may prefer further

R5: Seemingly not a lot between Felix M and Top Shot, so both need inclusion; Dublin Rebel's last run on the turf produced a lot of winners, Striker rides, so I'm including him in everything

R6: Moderate but competitive field of maiden fillies; Secret Angel is finally begin to show signs of life and needs inclusion along with the other obvious contenders like The Midnight Train, Spurwing Summer, Infinity Knot and Badger's Belle

R7: Mitraad comes back after a gelding, should be ready to go as the de Kock stable does not generally send them out needing the run; however Front Rank put a grand performance against some top class opposition in his penultimate and if the tongue tie has the desired effect, he will give Mitraad lots to think about; Majestic Bay also not out of it and Trading Profit an unknown quantity

R8; Two tough handicaps to close; Var Bay the obvious one and should be right there, for me the value could be with the recent maiden winner Gallico Quiver; ran on nicely to win his maiden and could be better than rated imo; both Beza and Arkansas are very moderate, but could feature in this handicap and the one to make the trifecta and quartet pay could be Global Power

R9: Fillies and mares 74 really says a lot; obvious ones for me are Dangerous Diva, Mystic Tigress, Hit the Big Time and Lemonade River; Antonia Major if not for the draw would be a major contender; could still run on to place imo

Enjoy

Hosanna for me each way
double with the other Marwing runner in race 6

Saraaba...looks the one to beat
Inyanga to follow it home...

exacta
11x13

Never in doubt, nice performace from the winner, Saraaba looks a bad in,or needs a step up in trip?

Pirhobeta wrote: exacta
11x13

Easy game this - if you boxed it

Under the race conditions, Drifting Dusk only need be pointed in the right direction - hard to see this one getting rolled.

Frodo wrote:

Pirhobeta wrote: exacta
11x13

Easy game this - if you boxed it

Knowing Pirho, that's what he meant, no doubt he'll confirm this :lol:

bayern wrote:

Frodo wrote:

Pirhobeta wrote: exacta
11x13

Easy game this - if you boxed it

Knowing Pirho, that's what he meant, no doubt he'll confirm this :lol:

exacta

Lumya
Vanda

wow that was an easy win by Drifting Dusk...