Fairview Wednesday

zoro wrote: Had a little peck on Money Grubber,hoping for a good run.

All the best Zoro, hoping you and Oscar have a good day.

SLEEPINSEATTLE - 85/100 place bet of the day - Exacta float too

From the Shams

Race 1 Line of fire eachway chance .
Race 4 Chill factor eachway chance .Ultra silver working very well looking for big improvement ,eachway chance at big price .
Race 5 Galaxy gold big runner .Jeff airplane place chance .
Race 6 Money grubber and King of Indians big runners .
Race 7 Goldiva and Cuirass eachway chance both very well .
Race 9 Playboy big runner .Golden Rorkus place chance

Dean321 wrote: Seems like we could get off to a good start with the first three favorites landing. I have taken the treble and some mixed multiples onto Zorros horse and Little one. I went for win only.

correction I don't fancy the race 2 favorite. I do think that other sham runner in race 6 has a big chance today.

Race 4- Grand Lodge

Gift double Shake And Bake & O Jallad

Read very carefully, it is simple, if you don't want to read it, stop now!!

The waffle...

We are back to a more usual (and enjoyable, for me anyway!) Fairview card, much less of a CT feel to this one! I am not strong on anything and there are plenty in with chances. Anyway, my ramblings for the day...

R1 Well Informed way too short for me. Could win comfortably but I have my doubts and some collateral lines imply there may not be too much between him and Line Of Fire, Sleepinseattle and Arabian Bay. O'd rather look for an e/w alternative. Sleepinseattle is the "problem" horse, a couple of poor recent efforts on the turf (well behind WI and LOF on separate occasions) but is perhaps better on the poly, though I am not convinced of that either. To complicate the picture further, he has also finished infront of LOF on the turf previously. He is the biggest nagger, especially as a couple of the others have not raced on the surface before but, I also think he is the most risky, especially with a wide draw to overcome. He has beaten AA a couple of times on the poly though and that leads me to rule that one out too. So, partly by a process of elimination, I'll go e/w on LOF who has the lowest draw of the 4 mentioned and hopefully will get away better than lto. Forlan, stablemate to the fav, has run a couple of ok efforts in CT over this d (debut and likely drawn badly when returning from a rest) and should not be discounted, wouldn't be the first time we see an Agent operating in PE now would it?! I am also going to have R1 e/w on Thorn Prick. Why? A good question lol, no reason other than it is only R2 and, on second run after a rest, his time over 1000 was only about 0.7 seconds slower than AA in different races on Dec 29th. Do I expect him to run a place, no, but I am willing to risk R2 on the off chance. Noticed while waffling, lol... all the best Oscar.

R2 For me, could be as simple as 1, 2, 3.

R3 Smashville may improve for the step up on distance with a decent draw but had some long-time maidens not too far behind on PE debut so again at the prices I'll look elsewhere. A Bit Of Alright has had plenty of issues in recent runs, a chance but too risky for me. The Almond has been off 13 weeks and lto, on only his second career run, was 2.75l behind Patent Of Nobility over 1800. With the stable form having improved in the interim, if the horse continues to improve and is fit and well then he has a chance of overturning that form with the appie giving him a 4kg pull, the negative though is he goes from box 1 to box 12. PON has a decent chance too, and I suspect he will make it 3/4 times in front of Bollywood Babe, the latter also having a worse draw to contend with here. Slight concern with the drop in d for PON but worth noting in both his c/d attempts he was drawn 13/14. The selection though is Ideal Bloom who clearly seems to prefer this surface and has put in 2 creditable c/d efforts, including finishing 0.6l ahead of Sky At Night (beat Smashville 1l over 1300).

R4 Grand Lodge has taken to the surface very well and despite having the draw of death, unlucky 13 from where nearly all have failed to win over the 1600, he has performed well from wide draws before and may just be good enough to find the winner's box. If not, there are a host knocking at the door, I'll go with Kirby Ninja for second who is a c/d winner from the 1 box which he has again here and on comparative runs against Bolt Of Light could leave Chill filling the trifecta spot. Romeo Bravo could complete the quartet. R1 e/w on Ultra Silver who has had a series of desperate draws and had excuses the one time he got a better draw. Was only 1.85l behind KN three runs back (N-Again) and cracks a fair draw this time.

R5 With Aspen Winter's scratching, I struggled to find one that I had any great preference for, though Galaxy Gold likely to go very close if able to produce a repeat of her last run. I've decided though on two e/w's at decent prices. The first being Keynote who put in a decent effort 3 runs back behind Egregious from the 1 box over 1800 and after two lousy draws in finds himself back in poll. Jockey has yet to convince but does take 4kgs off and, based on that Egregious run, that results in a 6kg swing for 1.3l with Foam Party who is around 4/1 3rd fav here with Keynote 20-25/1. The other one is Take Off who has not been beaten more than 3.85l in her 5 c runs, all between 1800-2000 getting one gold (under this appie) and one silver despite being drawn in double figures in 4 of those 5 runs... drawn 2 here. Plenty have a shout but I'll possibly try a quartet by adding Valminoushe.

R6 Open but, if giving Money Grubber a chance, which I do back on the poly, then surely Lord Badger becomes big value, 5.5kg swing with the appie for 2.35l over 1600 and LB is better drawn this time and LB won his only c/d run to date. That said, MG's late burst could see him successful again but at the prices I'll chance LB in an e/w. MG around 3s. LB around 12s.

R7 Competitive field and while Shake And Bake has a chance, I am surprised she is as short in the market as she is. I prefer Little One and Sister Sybil and expect these consistent performers to be right there with my preference for LO. There are plenty in with a chance though, Crime Of Passion worth a mention for example, and I'll be chancing a few e/w idiots... Sissy Gray continues to have little luck with the draw but has nevertheless run in the mix for the most part and generally against slightly stronger and gets the in form Agrella up. Goldiva still probably wants further but, since relocating, has shown signs of a return to better form with 2 reasonable sprint runs (turf) and if enjoying the poly could prove competitive from the 1 box. That Russian Club is the least likely imo, especially from a difficult draw, but will probably appreciate the step up in d and the appie gives her a decent weight, not out of it. Irish Maid though will be my main focus, she put in a reasonable return run over the minimum trip on the turf despite a tardy start and is another who may appreciate the step up in d. Prior to her failed 3 run visit to Gauteng she had been running creditably on the poly despite some poor draws. Unfortunately, she has drawn badly again but with the stable in improved form, I think she is worth an R1 try.

R8 I'm siding with Benedict here but I confess to being pretty disappointed at the price so I will probably pass and just do a small e/w idiot on Icemberg who ran well on his only poly outing but does have a huge weight to contend with.

R9 O Jallad my clear choice and fortunately I had a small investment before the price chop which makes him much less appealing, Fort Ozark, Play Boy, Age Of Aquarius and New Spring are all potential contenders. Again, a few R1 e/w nominations are... firstly, Bellini Boy who has every right to be competitive here based on his penultimate outing and some decent prior maiden efforts around this d on the poly. Goddess Faustina has run well on both poly efforts and though they were against weaker both second and third from her maiden win are maidens no longer. Silver Gilt who has probably been below par in his last couple but four runs back was beaten only 0.75l by O Jallad over c/d and now has a favourable 2kg swing and in the run after that was only 2l back of OJ (1300) despite being drawn 13/14 and has a 4kg swing here.

Well done if you made it to the end lol

Be(s)t of luck to all

Race 1 For Luck Sake rested nice ruffie for quartets

Horse out of non-SA bred mares

Race 1 - NONE
Race 2 - 5
Race 3 - 5,14
Race 4 - 1,5,10
Race 5 - 7,8
Race 6 - 1
Race 7 - 1,3.4,8,10,12
Race 8 - 1,5
Race 9 - 6,10,11,16

Combining jockey form...last 30 rides...10% win and 30% places

Race 4 - 1
Race 7 - 12

Combining speed ratings

Race 7 - 12

As @Englander indicated, Shake and Bake a bit short in the betting now...drawn well, has been running on over shorter except for saddle slip in last run and 1 run for 1 second over course and distance...was once rated a 75 and now running off 54...

All the best to all Clanners for today...

IMO Money Grubber will show today how much better he is on poly only make the danger the stable mate ..

I thought Take Offs run behind Pure Elegance was eye catching.
good draw and apprentice lightens the load.
20/1 available in blighty

Long shots for the day:

R5 Terrybelle and Batman & Dave's choice Take Off both ew (that's Terrybelle and Take Off not Batman and Dave!)

R9 Godess Faustina ew

WELL INFORMED for a win. My only bet for the day. Happy punting.