VAAL - TUESDAY - 12 AUG 2014

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Good day's racing ahead, my selections for the VAAL 12th August 2014 {Races 1 & 2}

Race 1 : Confabulate {Not interested in the remaining runners cause this remains the absolute best bet on today's card}

Race 2 : Fleetfoot Mac {See above links regarding progeny - To complete a great double at 6/1 for Lerena, excellent value IMO and if you're on I confidently believe you'll be collecting}

Had a few jottings for the remaining races which I'll post a little later but honestly 6/1 is good enough for a good day's racing for me

Good luck to all those with runners and the best of luck!!

Englander wrote:

bayern wrote:

colors wrote: how does Confabulate's form inspire confidence ? Would love to know
Had there been 4 places my money would be on Super Club.Having said that 10/1 three places is tempting....

#13 SUPER CLUB
Pay places 3
Price: 9.33 Stake: 44.00
Potential Payout: 410.52

#13 SUPER CLUB
Price: 66.67 Stake: 15.00
Potential Payout: 1000.05

His mum was one of my favourite horses

Both the stable and jockey are in cracking form. If anything does beat him, it would be the fact that he is returning from a break. See he has been recently gelded, just maybe it has improved him a few lengths (or so I am hoping).

I can understand why people like Confabulate and the two main points for me are that the horse has been gelded and Lerena is now up and that trainer/jock pairing has proved a formidable partnership. I was tempted. But, there are 5 jockey/trainer combos in the race with a success rate of 20% or over and a fair case could no doubt be made for each. Lto Confab was beaten 9.75l by Iwo Jima over 1400, nto IJ was 1l behind Viking Castle over 1600. VC's recent form may seem to have fallen away somewhat but back on a straight course could see improvement again. Interesting race.

I understand your concerns Bayern, I shared the same sentiments - Has been gelded since and will win going away

Colin Dav wrote: Inside or outside track?

when i remember, i usually put what track in our racing fixture section on our homepage

E/w atc
Sea Knight
Misque's Storm
Cashmere Kid

Fancy a bit of Gambol in the 6th

Pa
1/2,13/2,7/3/2/1,7/2. R8

P6
2,5,7,13/2,3,5,7,8,12/3/2,4/1,7/2. R96

Wide in the first two legs as first race I want to make sure I get through.
2nd leg if form up doesn't win I make Matthew Ethan biggest danger (could take just those two if u have balls.) however il include a few others in case of a result. Backing LG/Stryker combo in next. Global power should be a banker BUT if Jenny green decides to jump she will be a huge danger. I like final score at the weights, should be enough to get through on Africa blue and FS. Last race I see as a minefield and cannot find candidates to win if I like beyond toughnuttocrack finally gets a good draw and Minnie up and should go very close. If I like beyond him it's almost a field race.

All the best.

fancy a bit of AMOUR DE LA BONTE a place ?

I could end up with egg all over my face but how on earth can Olympic Bolt ever be 12/10.. he comes out of what must be the worst formline in the country at the moment, granted the field he bumps today is not much good but 12/10??? ~ www.formgrids.com/subscriber/fgRaceResul...s=OLYMPIC+BOLT+(BRZ)

Selections Race 3 through 8

Race 3 : Latino Ice X Runaway Time

Race 4 : Looks a race to be contested by the top two in the betting but a really tricky looking race and there could be a lurker here, Music Affair makes strong appeal as she loves the track but the negative is she's taking on the boys, Form Up X Reign Victorious {Perhaps a slight preference for Form Up as he's consistently been up there}

Race 5 : Khumalo must surely be here today for the ride on Foyle, consistent recent form and the champion jockey aboard, Foyle X Gun Fighter

Race 6 : Another open looking handicap with claims for each runner, I'm going to side with Devious Tiger purely on his last run, he was almost stone last but burst through the last 80m to win what he should have never won, if he's handy today I believe he'll be very difficult to beat... Devious Tiger X Raging Torrent

Race 7 : Noble Wind X Madame Ming

Race 8 : Pity about the scratching of World Domination, looked the likely winner here, All I can suggest is including the lightly raced runners and hoping for improvement but really for exotic purposes field should apply to all bets here, favorite way too short and looks no good thing.

Titch wrote: I could end up with egg all over my face but how on earth can Olympic Bolt ever be 12/10.. he comes out of what must be the worst formline in the country at the moment, granted the field he bumps today is not much good but 12/10??? ~ www.formgrids.com/subscriber/fgRaceResul...s=OLYMPIC+BOLT+(BRZ)

Couldn't agree more Titch, absolutely unreal to be honest, should be 8/1 the field here.

Winning_Post wrote:

Titch wrote: I could end up with egg all over my face but how on earth can Olympic Bolt ever be 12/10.. he comes out of what must be the worst formline in the country at the moment, granted the field he bumps today is not much good but 12/10??? ~ www.formgrids.com/subscriber/fgRaceResul...s=OLYMPIC+BOLT+(BRZ)

Couldn't agree more Titch, absolutely unreal to be honest, should be 8/1 the field here.

Titch if OB wins then I'm sure the only guys in SA without egg on their face will be the bookies. I couldn't even back that horse if it was 10/1 let alone 12/10.

Excuse my ignorance WP, haven't looked at the card as yet, I see race 5, you mention Khumalo must be there for that ride on Foyle. Is that is only ride, cause yes then I am gonna climb on now, or does he have other rides? If that is the case, I shall rather skip it and take your double in the 1st and 2nd race, as he does ride everyday other than Cape, so I find it hard to back him thinking he is there for that race specifically... But like I say excuse my ignorance and if anyone has backed it, I hope it comes home lonely....

Karma wrote: Excuse my ignorance WP, haven't looked at the card as yet, I see race 5, you mention Khumalo must be there for that ride on Foyle. Is that is only ride, cause yes then I am gonna climb on now, or does he have other rides? If that is the case, I shall rather skip it and take your double in the 1st and 2nd race, as he does ride everyday other than Cape, so I find it hard to back him thinking he is there for that race specifically... But like I say excuse my ignorance and if anyone has backed it, I hope it comes home lonely....

Nice Avatar Karma He has two rides today, in the 1st for Zaki on a 1st timer called Play Zak at 35/1. He's only other ride comes in Race 5 on Foyle.