Clairwood 20/8/13

bloodshot Wrote:

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> Anyone at Clairwood tmrw? I will be making the
> trip from the lounge! If you feel like backing a
> few losers and getting drunk let me know !


((

Rambo Dancer Wrote:

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> Race 1: 15. Tiger Sight (R1.2 mil horse) 14.
> Seven Kings. 13. Sergeant Tibbs 12. Saint Barts
>
> Race 2: 1. Pablo Americano (rested a year and
> changed stables twice. Don't know what the story
> is with him, but he has run against horses and was
> not further than 2 - 5 lengths behind Yukon Gold
> mr:102, Living With Heart mr:101 and Desert Sheik
> mr:112. So if he is well... he should be the best
> value in the race, he also has a nice outside
> draw. He is currently 40-1 in the betting.
> Interesting. Horses 15. Steel Wing, 13 Nicklaus
> and 7 Black Balladeer will make pablo run whether
> he is fit or not.
>
> Race 3: 1. Storm Coast (3rd run after rest,
> draw 2, perfect distance) 5. Silver Sands (My
> outsider for the day. First time in 7 starts that
> she will be running less than 1600m, she is a
> Mullins Bay filly so the drop in distance should
> suit her. Draw 3). Horses 7, 9,11, 12, 14 to
> fight it out for 3rd and 4th
>
> Race 4: I personally think this is a 2 horse
> race: 1 Nitro Nori and 3 Shoes 'N Company (best
> exacta bet) They both like this course. The 3 has
> won over the c&d, and the 1 has placed 2nd over
> 1600m twice and will love the drop in distance at
> this track. Both are a little inconsistent lately,
> but in this field they are looking to get back in
> form. 7 Active Power will make them run.
>
> Race 5: 6. Fly at 'em 1. Icefire 8. War Path
> 2. King's Jet
>
> Race 6: 3. Orange Blossom. 5. High Horse Lady.
> 9. Guest El Grande 4. Tinchy Styder
>
> Race 7: 1 Afnaan. 8 Finding Neverland. 4.
> Roy's Royalty 7. Pacific Line
>
> Race 8: 2. Air Patrol. 5. Modern Royal. 7.
> Target Five 1. Victory Emblem
>
> Race 9: 3. Grey Beret. 2. Mr Royal. 8. Royal
> Mac. 14. Harba


Rambo, I alos looked at PA in r2, but the rest put me off. I still haven't found the winner in that race. Depending on how I sleep and what I think in the morning, Nicklaus us my winner so far.

I also make Tippuana Jet the best bet on the card.

Then Loopy, looking at your forecast of race 3, this must be the kakkest field ever assembled. Wish I could ignore it, but it forms part of the PA. Gonna load here. At least 6 runners

Pirhobeta Wrote:

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> nice write up Rambo Dancer....(tu)you also suffer
> from the Englander syndrome.... tire too
> easy...
> Blinkers or gelding....()()


Haha . I got tired at race 6. Only betting on races 2,3 and 4 tomorrow.

Haupie Wrote:

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> Rambo Dancer Wrote:
>

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>
> Then Loopy, looking at your forecast of race 3,
> this must be the kakkest field ever assembled.
> Wish I could ignore it, but it forms part of the
> PA. Gonna load here. At least 6 runners


Haupi take Wimoweh banker for the PA or if you must add Summertime... if you miss it here I will refund you for your PA <

Grey Beret looking like another banker and BB for me today, but I will go with more or less this PA that should get close IMO (expected payout R300+)

Leg 1 : Race 3 [7, 9, 14)
Leg 2 : Race 4 [3, 4, 8]
Leg 3 : Race 5 [2, 6, 9]
Leg 4 : Race 6 [5, 7, 9]
Leg 5 : Race 7 [1, 3, 4, 5]
Leg 6 : Race 8 [1, 4]
Leg 7 : Race 9 [1, 3]

Might have lots off egg on my face but hoping for a good day again.

Morning Loopy Would you like to explain why you strong on Wimomeh
Didn't look at the boys but if Grey Beret if blinkered he should win.

steelwing

Thanks Loopy and the other guys for their input. (tu)

Ben-Hur Wrote:

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> Morning Loopy Would you like to explain why you
> strong on Wimomeh
> Didn't look at the boys but if Grey Beret is
> blinkered he should win.

Hi Ben-Hur,

I am not particularly strong on Wimoweh Just purely analyzing the ratings given from all the aspects they look st am Wimoweh scores in quote a few categories to the 14 points , 11 categories To Be exact. The only issue for me is scoring very low (25%) on the Super rules though which is a concern, but since the highest Super rules in the field is Just 50% , One of them being 2nd highest rated Summertime I am happy from covering Both form and Super rules angles that these 2 should Be enough IMO for the PA

Craig Eudey

Today we have 3 runners. Neck or Nothing has ability but does not settle well in work or a race. Pulls very hard in both. Have got pacifiers on him today and if he settles he has an outside chance. Cools Style seems to have lost his old pace in the sprints down the straight so we are trying him over a bit further. Since he hit the fence at Clairwood he has not really shown his best form there but he has ability and looking forward to seeing him over further. An outside quartet chance. Finding Neverland has shown her best form at Scottsville but there are no races for her there so we take our chances here. she ran on well last time out and still expect a good run from her here. Don't leave her out of anything.

hibernia Wrote:

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> Craig Eudey
>
> Today we have 3 runners. Neck or Nothing has
> ability but does not settle well in work or a
> race. Pulls very hard in both. Have got pacifiers
> on him today and if he settles he has an outside
> chance. Cools Style seems to have lost his old
> pace in the sprints down the straight so we are
> trying him over a bit further. Since he hit the
> fence at Clairwood he has not really shown his
> best form there but he has ability and looking
> forward to seeing him over further. An outside
> quartet chance. Finding Neverland has shown her
> best form at Scottsville but there are no races
> for her there so we take our chances here. she ran
> on well last time out and still expect a good run
> from her here. Don't leave her out of anything.


Thanks Craig, all the best with your runners today. (tu)

Thank you Loopy.Yes I must agree with you regarding Wimoweh ticking a good few boxes.To be honest to my detriment I haven't studied your system with more then a quick look but I went with brassing her for a few reasons.The Lago formline and her defeat by Storm Coast in the Royal Denise race.When you look at Sundays results the older fillies (highest MR 73 Champagne Showers ) were being beaten by the 3yos.Caribbean Day ran 6,10 to Celtic Legend at Greyville though and today we can see that Apple And Spice was 5,85 behind Celtic Legend.Also we see that Champagne Showers was ,50 behind Tip Toe and today Summertimes form reflects 1,5 behind Tip Toe.The negative here is that Summertime has beaten Apple n Spice on the Love To Al run.This might suggest that none of these mentioned will win but I do respect your opinion that Wimoweh can surprise.Tough contest because the Drier inmate can make improvement and as Hibernia pointed out about watching the betting we need to take our pa as late as possible.The Trippi filly could improve and I see she's at the top of the boards presently.Not for me though.Good luck and I am also confident of having a good day.have struck 80 % of my bets already and most around my selection for the seventh

Winning Form & Magic Tips Best Bets - Clairwood